Luminara Stocks

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Luminara Stocks

Luminara Stocks

@_stockResearch

Growth Investor | Ex-Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs | MSc in Robotics & Machine Learning | Immigrant | CFA |

Berlin & London Katılım Eylül 2025
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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
Full Transparency Portfolio Returns: Firstly, I am a small account trying to grow to $1M. Total return this year: +98.80% 🚀 What a ride. We were knocking on the door of 180%% YTD before the recent correction in neocloud names cooled things off, but nearly doubling the account after being down -35% in Q1? I’ll take it. The volatility was wild, but the conviction held. Looking ahead to 2026, I am incredibly bullish. I believe the Semiconductor and Data Center supercycle is just getting started, and Bitcoin is primed to play some serious catch-up. The setup for next year looks massive. ⚡️ Majority of my holdings : $NBIS $RKLB $GOOG $AMZN $ONDS $TSLA $IREN $CIFR $BITF $TEM $PATH $PRME $NVDA $KRKNF $EOSE $QS
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Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch

Full Transparency Portfolio Returns: Firstly, I am a small account trying to grow to $1M. October portfolio performance: 19,67% YTD: +104,60% Q1 was a pretty grim situation when the portfolio was down almost 35% at one time, but this has largely recovered. My portfolio is still 5% away from the all time highs it recached in August/September. My largest holdings are $NBIS $RKLB $IONQ $GOOG $AMZN $RDDT $TSLA $IREN $CIFR $BITF $TEM $PATH $PRME $NVDA $KRKNF $EOSE

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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
@Red7_Trading That is true. But I buy sell ATM 2 months out so have time to recover provided market doesn’t gap down!
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Red7 Capital
Red7 Capital@Red7_Trading·
@_stockResearch Be careful with the long tails on selling options. It has a high win rate but the loss on those few trades that go bad can be devastating.
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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
There are two ways to look at this: 1. The Growth Mindset: Wow, this is phenomenal. There is so much to learn from him, and he gives me something to aspire to—especially since he shares his research completely for free (he doesn’t even charge for a premium Substack). 2. The Cynical Mindset: Give in to jealousy, dismiss him as just another micro-cap pumper, and hunt for negativity instead of learning from a fantastic trader. What you think of usually depends on what sort of a mindset you have. I am personally a big fan of @aleabitoreddit !
Serenity@aleabitoreddit

I may have outperformed the index just a tiny bit? It’s as simple as riding the Photonics and Memory Supercycles from $AXTI to $SNDK. Just doing this for fun now.

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Nate Endicott
Nate Endicott@EndicottInvests·
Sold $NBIS weekly puts for $560 in total premium Sold $ZETA weekly covered calls for $77 in total premium $637 in profit this week ✅✅
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Jordan
Jordan@HyperAICapital·
🚨 BREAKING: Metaverse land just officially dethroned NFTs as the single worst investment of all time
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Jason Luongo
Jason Luongo@JasonL_Capital·
Selling options changed everything for me. I generate thousands every month in premium income. It's not complicated. Here's my entire strategy broken down:
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Bruno Hautenfaust
Bruno Hautenfaust@BrunoHautenfau1·
@_stockResearch He is basically a momentum trader/investor anyway so don't expect any ground breaking insights from him. I get the sense he knows who to follow (like Serenity) on here and then makes their picks his own when he sees the price action confirm the thesis.
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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
Honestly guys, it's not worth it! He posts crazy screenshots on Twitter to hype it up, but hasn't provided any meaningful value in the Substack or the Discord. Very few posts and largely noise in his discord. I've been a member for three months, and I definitely won't be renewing. i'd rather recommend you subscribe to @aleabitoreddit !
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RJC@RJCcapital

If you found this thread useful, I publish deeper analysis and earnings breakdowns on my Substack. Link to Substack: @rjccapitalgroup" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@rjccapitalgro

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Red7 Capital
Red7 Capital@Red7_Trading·
@_stockResearch I’m inclined to agree. Very little deep analysis on the Substack. He’s clearly very capable of it though but seems more intent on engagement farming and putting memes out. Very entertaining but not really worth paying for.
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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
Great breakdown, man. The Stockholm exchange factor makes total sense as to why institutions are completely missing the boat here—total structural discount. Also not many willing investors have an easy way to buy this one. I also think your point about co-designing the lasers to fit $POET’s specs is the strongest part of the thesis. Vendor lock-in at the engineering level creates a massive moat against giants like $LITE. Captive revenue flowing all the way up to MSFT Maia by 2028 is a great anchor. I’ll be watching closely for that Win Semi qualification. One quick thought on the timeline: If the captive model really scales up for MSFT Maia in 2028, the next 12 -24 months are crucial and can be very interesting. Just wondering what the bridge looks like between today's inflection point and the 2028 supercycle. Appreciate you sharing the alpha
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
All good questions! My thoughts: - With $NVDA GTC, CPO is hitting their inflection point today. So I think the timing is right. Before, it was too early. - Largely undiscovered, as I mentioned in supply chain mapping, most institutions don't go upstream to pinpoint major players (as seen with $AXTI). - Stockholm market so very niche, not as many people pay attention to it. - They refinanced, so it's in a healthy spot. Debt is $12M convertible loan (10.85%) and a $5M term loan (12%), which is pennies to hyperscaler supply chains. As for scale: Win semi qualification is very critical. It's more derisked in my view from captive models like $SIVE (light source) $POET -> $MRVL Celestial -> $MSFT Maia in 2028 kind of guaranteeing revenue in the future from hyperscaler supply chains. Then there's a lot of potential with Ayar, and others. It's the upstream laser supplier so wins either way across the board, but it does need to compete with $LITE, $MTSI, $OCHR and others. My argument was that it was early enough to tailor and co-design cw dfb lasers toward companies like $POET specifications so it's more designed in. Same argument with $POET and Marvell Celestial.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Sivers is up another 29% to a $282M marketcap today. I genuinely think $SIVE could be the next $LITE. As they’re positioned as the light source for the next generation of hyperscaler supply chains. When scale up-scale out architectures transition to CPO & Silicon photonics. For the start of next Photonics Supercycle. The companies that buy and package their laser arrays/cw dfb lasers from $POET to Ayar? Are worth ~$1B-$4B+ (not including o-net or undisclosed). With current pluggable transceiver cycles: Laser suppliers typically command higher valuation premiums than their packaging counterparties that buy the light source. So, I do think $SIVE is largely undiscovered by markets and far from being priced in.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$SIVE is the upstream laser supplier for CPO and Silicon Photonics. They're the likely $COHR / $LITE type future light source for: - $AMZN Trainium Clusters - $MSFT Maia Clusters and possibly other hyperscalers like $META MTAI and $GOOGL TPU clusters. At a ~$200M MC. Relational Mapping (speculative): $SIVE (light source) -> $POET (optical interposers) -> $MRVL (Likely Celestial Captive) -> $MSFT Maia + $AMZN Trainium. $SIVE (light source) -> Ayar -> AiChip -> $AMZN Inferentia/Trainium $SIVE (light source) -> Enablence -> O-Net -> ? Asia Hyperscalers _ Ongoing: $SIVE (light source) -> Ayar -> GUC -> ? (Google $TPU) $SIVE (light source) -> Ayar (TeraPHY/SuperNova)-> Wiwynn (captive CPO) -> ? ( $MSFT, $META historically Wiwynn's largest clients). Because of captive models like $MRVL Celestial, they get a free ride. However, they do compete multi-source ELS against Lumentum, Coherent, and $MTSI with Ayar and win anyway in merchant models. But they win either way. For high-volume production ramp up, a large part of it depends on the ongoing Win semi qualification, but this will likely be a large indicator. Again supply chain BOM is extremely confidential. $AMZN will never tell anyone "Hey, we use $SIVE ". But if you put 1+1+1+1+1 together, you can piece together the likely suppliers. Most people see "Poet Starlight" uses $SIVE. Or Ayar uses $SIVE. But don't map all the multi-hop relations to see where they end up. I do think $SIVE is an extremely undiscovered opportunity as the next possible mini $LITE for Silicon Photonics at $200m MC. As they're the likely upstream laser supplier for hyperscaler supply chains for future CPO/Silicon Photonics scale up with cw dfb lasers and scale out with laser arrays.

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Jordan
Jordan@HyperAICapital·
@_stockResearch That sucks, super lame you lost money like that. To be honest there is enough free information on this platform/internet that you shouldn’t need to waste your money on Substacks.
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Luminara Stocks retweetledi
Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
Generated quick lunch Money with $RKLB options in 24 hours! Sold May 15 105 call for 3.25 yesterday and brought it back today for 2.3.
Luminara Stocks tweet media
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch

Locked in a quick $1,110 profit on $NBIS in less than 24 hours using Covered Calls! Here’s the play: Yesterday, I sold 7 covered calls on $NBIS at a $200 strike expiring May 15. I collected $3.25 per share in premium (Total credit: $2,275). Fast forward to today. The premium of those exact contracts dropped drastically from $3.25 down to $1.65. Instead of waiting two months until May to see if they expire worthless, I decided to "buy to close" the position. I paid $1,155 to buy back the contracts, effectively canceling my obligation to sell my shares. The Result: I keep my 700 shares of $NBIS, and I pocketed the difference between what I sold them for and what I bought them back for. Sell: $2,275 Buy: $1,155 Profit: $1,110 (after fees). A Quick Review of Your Trade Mechanics Just to ensure you have the exact terminology down if anyone asks you in the replies: • Selling a Call (Sell to Open): You are generating income (premium) by selling someone else the right to buy 700 of your shares at $200 each. You are betting that the stock will stay below $200 or that the option's value will decrease over time (theta decay) or due to a drop in volatility (vega). • Buying Back (Buy to Close): Because the price of the contract dropped from $3.25 to $1.65 in one day, it became incredibly cheap for you to simply buy it back. Doing this closes your contract, removes your obligation to sell your shares, and lets you keep the price difference as pure profit.

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Luminara Stocks
Luminara Stocks@_stockResearch·
Locked in a quick $1,110 profit on $NBIS in less than 24 hours using Covered Calls! Here’s the play: Yesterday, I sold 7 covered calls on $NBIS at a $200 strike expiring May 15. I collected $3.25 per share in premium (Total credit: $2,275). Fast forward to today. The premium of those exact contracts dropped drastically from $3.25 down to $1.65. Instead of waiting two months until May to see if they expire worthless, I decided to "buy to close" the position. I paid $1,155 to buy back the contracts, effectively canceling my obligation to sell my shares. The Result: I keep my 700 shares of $NBIS, and I pocketed the difference between what I sold them for and what I bought them back for. Sell: $2,275 Buy: $1,155 Profit: $1,110 (after fees). A Quick Review of Your Trade Mechanics Just to ensure you have the exact terminology down if anyone asks you in the replies: • Selling a Call (Sell to Open): You are generating income (premium) by selling someone else the right to buy 700 of your shares at $200 each. You are betting that the stock will stay below $200 or that the option's value will decrease over time (theta decay) or due to a drop in volatility (vega). • Buying Back (Buy to Close): Because the price of the contract dropped from $3.25 to $1.65 in one day, it became incredibly cheap for you to simply buy it back. Doing this closes your contract, removes your obligation to sell your shares, and lets you keep the price difference as pure profit.
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