Red7 Capital

@MegatrendGlobal I would say this is more than a thesis. It’s likely to happen.

Here is what the Rheinmetall CEO said on the situation in Iran and the missile inventories 👀👇🏻

🚨 Just found a potential hidden short-term risk for Defense Tech stocks As you know, I'm super bullish on defense tech and the underlying megatrend. But I see it as my duty to also inform my followers about negative aspects. Going through recent earnings calls, an interesting pattern caught my eye. Both One Stop Systems $OSS and Red Cat Holdings $RCAT have subtly hinted at a short-term risk for Defense Tech that the broader market might be overlooking right now. The Thesis: The massive consumption of both offensive and defensive munitions is draining global arsenals at an unsustainable rate. Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger recently highlighted the severity of this issue in the context of the Iran war, warning: "If it lasts another month, I think we will nearly have no missiles available." If this high-intensity consumption continues, government - led by the US - might be forced into a rapid pivot. To maintain basic readiness, near-term budget priorities could shift from modernization (which fuels Defense Tech) to the urgent replenishment of traditional kinetic weapons and legacy stockpiles. This is a thesis we need to monitor closely. Should this budget shift materialize, it wouldn't necessarily mean canceled contracts for Defense Tech, but rather deferred revenue, potentially pushing major contract awards into later quarters or the next fiscal year. However, if the conflict de-escalates soon, the current modernization momentum might just continue uninterrupted. Definitely a dynamic to watch closely. 👀 What do you think about this?

@crux_capital_ I think this is more wishful thinking on my part haha. Love your work by the way @crux_capital_ Will be subscribing when you launch.

@Red7_Trading Anythings possible

$AAOI Is in a familiar place You can feel the tug of war going on in the price action Investors digesting the massive updates we just got And balancing this with the uncertainty of the overall market, ATM overhang and execution risk Looking forward to any further updates on new orders, LTA's, and qualifications to help wide spread investor confidence

@foliotrail Couldn’t agree more.

It cracks me up seeing people say “intelligence is now a commodity.” Sure, maybe it is. But that does not mean everyone knows how to use it. Getting in shape is also “available to everyone.” Yet most people are not in shape. Imagine every family suddenly had an Einstein in the basement. Do you really think they would ask the right questions or use that advantage properly? Of course not. We are heading straight into a K-shaped outcome. Those who know how to leverage it will pull further ahead. The rest will not.

@daniel_koss I say all this as someone who used to swear by all of it. But I finally saw the light and can now invest with conviction as an owner of something I believe in and it’s night and day better.

@Red7_Trading I toooootally get volume, resistance, etc. but the freaking drawings get me lmao

Interesting $MU observation: Almost all bulls argue fundamentals. Stock is cheap (not today, forward P/E). Many of them actually work in semis and understand how memory cycles play out (and why this time it might very well in fact be different due to structural demand exceeding capacity buildout for many years to come). The bears argue technicals. Charts, lines, patterns. Mostly finance bros who couldn't explain what inference means, why it matters for memory, etc. "AI bubble will pop soon" vibes. Understanding of AI and real world demands ZEEEEEEERO. Funny thing is, those charts only ever seem to appear *after* the dump. Every. Single. Time. But yeah "told you bro". No, you literally didn't. Almost like drawing lines through past data isn't a prediction. Sorry, feeling a bit frustrated with some TA bros lately.

@babyfolio I don’t understand why more people can’t see that there is a very high probability that both of these businesses are raging successes in their own right. It’s all very weird.

$IREN is just a matter of time The $NBIS vs $IREN debate is getting out of hand, but I keep it simple: growing company, growing sector, founder-led. Not apples to apples. Both have flaws, both can win. I hold both 💪

@_stockResearch I’m inclined to agree. Very little deep analysis on the Substack. He’s clearly very capable of it though but seems more intent on engagement farming and putting memes out. Very entertaining but not really worth paying for.

Honestly guys, it's not worth it! He posts crazy screenshots on Twitter to hype it up, but hasn't provided any meaningful value in the Substack or the Discord. Very few posts and largely noise in his discord. I've been a member for three months, and I definitely won't be renewing. i'd rather recommend you subscribe to @aleabitoreddit !

@Agrippa_Inv Excellent work as usual @Agrippa_Inv

New $IREN Deep Dive: Childress Unlocked I’ve spent the last couple of weeks writing the most important $IREN deep dive I’ve published to date. Air-cooling at Childress is a MUCH bigger deal than the vast majority of investors and analysts realize. Honestly, $IREN price targets across the board should be well above $100 at this point. But Wall Street missing the forest for the trees is nothing new. I’ve extensively modelled out the company’s near-term pipeline using conservative assumptions (below management’s guidance), and it’s clear as day that the market isn’t properly pricing in $IREN's industry-leading earnings power. $IREN is going to make BILLIONS of actual net income over the coming years… not just meaningless EBITDA or top-line figures, but real profits flowing to the bottom line. If anyone is the next hyperscaler, it’s $IREN. Remember, real hyperscalers are actually profitable… At the same time, every investor should be aware of looming industry risks that affect all neo-clouds in the sector and evaluate how they could impact the investment thesis. That’s exactly what I’ve done for all our readers. These are the topics this new report covers: ➞ Breaking down the new GPU orders + new guidance ➞ Implications of air-cooling ➞ Extensive pipeline modelling ➞ Comprehensive analysis of the new $6b ATM ➞ Risks to the investment thesis ➞ + Plenty of bonus topics This 40+ page mega deep dive covers everything $IREN investors should be aware of today. It’s written in a very reader-friendly way, with many graphics & embedded video clips throughout. I chuckle when I read so-called “analysts” on X give their takes on $IREN after doing nothing more than surface-level analysis (at best). Most investors have no idea where this is heading… If you’ve read the new deep dive, I’d love to hear your feedback in the comments. Appreciate all of you, cheers! ✌️ agrippa.investments/p/iren-childre…

@daniel_koss @Sandeman52 Fully agree with this. How anyone could see this raise as bad in the long term and not a buying opportunity just doesn’t understand what they own.

@Sandeman52 This is another reason why it's good to have a highly concentrated portfolio of stocks you know well and follow (listen to earnings, read all the updates, etc.), so you know what's going on. Can't do that if you have 1-2% positions each and don't understand any of them.

$NBIS raise is really no big news. In their last earnings call they announced $20B in capex. They described how they think about it and what methods they will use. Anyone surprised by companies doing what they said the'll do should maybe start listening instead of reacting. What I like is that the company executes, ships and wins deals. So we don't have to speculate, hope and dream about why they need money, we know what they are doing with it. I also like their efficiency and trust the money is well invested. tl;dr dip buying opportunity imho

@SJCapitalInvest Kind of intrigued why the market hasn’t reacted to it yet. It was fairly digestible information.

$IBRX FWIW I don’t think this 7-8% premarket move captures the importance of the two pieces of news we got in the last week. - Scaled cheaper production - Insurance acceptance - 6X larger TAM The floor here just got a lot higher.

@MegatrendGlobal Pretty sure that one’s a bot dude.

🟢 Well, $OSS closed green today, even though the haters are doing their hater stuff. I believe in positive earnings on Wednesday, and the market seems to as well. Nick Smith doesn't, but he has no arguments. 👀👇🏻

@Sandeman52 @daniel_koss As a proud $IREN investor having him associated with the new business they are trying to build is only harming that in my eyes. Most of his stuff is just rage bait, but still would rather not have it.

@daniel_koss He’s such a clown

Is this real? 😂😂 Mike Alfred sitting at home, watching $NBIS on TV, mad af, trying to come up with a reason why Nebius' $27B deal with $META is bearish. We all know Mike is such a Nebius fanboy. That's why he calls us kid analysts. He secretly wishes he were as hot and young as Nebius investors are. Thx for spotting @MktMavPro

@DavidDin @MK2forU @DrPatrick I second that.

@MK2forU @DrPatrick . . . and looking forward to hearing more from you!

Thank you, @DrPatrick, for your kind words. I truly value your support, especially coming from someone whose scientific articles I greatly respect, and whose presentations and patents I have followed for years. As you mentioned, I form my own conclusions and envision possible future scenarios. I understand that the actual projects implemented may differ because I am not aware of all factors, or I may have reached different conclusions. What I especially appreciate about you is your drive and determination. You prefer to prioritize immediate project implementation for patients' benefit, rather than waiting for future versions with the latest research findings, which are delayed by regulatory approval and additional requirements. The key is to start a project; improvements can always follow. Thank you again, also on behalf of many patients, and I look forward to seeing the Leonardo platform come to life. $IBRX

@SJCapitalInvest @daniel_koss And the software and platform offerings. And the 100’s if not more clients that are only at the concept stage of the products they’re building with $OUSTs products. Big TAM expansion possible on this one.

@daniel_koss 👀

$OUST Asymmetric Deep Dive coming this weekend. It’s now a decent sized position for me, need to do the research for myself. Will try to publish by Sunday night.

@accounting_ds @SJCapitalInvest @T1_Energy @stelmobrewing That’s what my money is on. They really have to try in order mess this up now I think. Too many tailwinds.

@SJCapitalInvest @T1_Energy @stelmobrewing 100% dude Im praying this is just them being tone deaf and having a good time knowing they crushed🤣🙏

...It's live. 🍻 The T1 x @stelmobrewing Solar Haze Hazy IPA is now pouring at both St. Elmo locations in Austin. Limited supply for #SXSW2026. Get there before it runs out. 📍 440 E. St. Elmo Rd, Austin 📍 8110 Springdale Rd, Austin

@firstadopter I see no clear winner at this stage. Nor do I think there needs to be or will be.

Crazy how evenly split it is

@Sandeman52 So you have like 6 mil in NBIS. Maybe like 50% of your portfolio? Can you do a deeper post on your journey to this? You started off with like $50k right?

$NBIS $950k gain on my portfolio today, plus the $50k in premium I made from puts I sold, blessed to say $1M gain today. Will it come back down? Maybe. Does it matter? No. Why not? Because this is just the beginning. That simple. Let’s go fam! 🫡👍👊

@MegatrendGlobal I can’t invest in ONDS for many reasons and this is one of them. Just seems like a venture capital / private equity type approach to me instead of enduring value.

$ONDS announced today that it has acquired BIRD Aerosystems 🤔 It seems to me they announce a new acquisition every other day. I wonder: 🔹Are there really that many high-quality companies to acquire? 🔹How thorough is $ONDS' due diligence before an acquisition? 🔹Will management succeed in integrating all these different companies into the group without losses in efficiency and conflicts arising from differing cultures and philosophies? I'm generally impressed by ONDS, but the sheer number of M&A activities makes me skeptical.

@_stockResearch Where do you get these alerts from?

$NBIS is my largest holding & I am thrilled to read such news!!