Ivan from Ivanhoe
416 posts


I just want a guernsey that feels like a real Dees guernsey. 🥛
LIMITED STOCK 👉 | mfcde.es/4lRwdbz
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Not listed in any match report’s “best players” (anywhere from 5-9 players from each side) @davidking34 @Hoyney35 @kanecornes
Baffling
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Did I watch a different game @davidking34 @Hoyney35 @kanecornes Tom Barass got BOG from one coach (5 votes)
Yet rated 32nd best on ground AFl ratings and rated 41st Champion Data. Game was played largely in Haw front half?????!!!!!!
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Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi

Asking for a friend…. If Tom De Koning @stkildafc is getting $1.7 million a year what is Max Gawn @melbournefc worth ?
#footylesson
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@SquiggleAFL when will squiggle update it's premiership cup for Brisbane in 2025?
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Sydney by 3 with a 53% win chance. Sydney v Brisbane Lions @ S.C.G. #AFLSwansLions squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=38503

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@MatterOfStats thanks. Guessing that is a formula for the week/total exp wins accumulating each week. Do you have one for a projection for exp wins by season's end?
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@_tjch I use an optimiser in R to find it, but only at season end
FWIW I have a similar equation in my Team Dashboard that I use each week, and it is:
Exp Wins = 1/(1+exp(-(0.164 x (SSPGF - SSPGA) + 6.18 x (Own Conv - Opp Conv))))
with SSPG = Scoring Shots per Game and Conv = G/(G+B)
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@MatterOfStats Thanks - ladder I was using had incorrect PF and PA!
How do you work out the season exponent each week?
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@_tjch I get 10.1 wins
1902^3.54 / (1902^3.54 + 2038 ^3.54) = 0.439
0.439 x 23 = 10.1
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@MatterOfStats thanks. Based on using 3.54, some of the pythagorean wins seem off from media reports e.g. Melbourne wins in 2025 7 pythagorean 9.1 (many outlets reporting 10)....
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@andrew_whelan Can you clarify:
Champion data points = SC
What’s the rating metric you use?
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Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi

Melbourne forward-line realising Petracca, Oliver & Viney won’t be kicking the ball inside 50 in 2026:
Callum Twomey@CalTwomey
Melbourne midfielder Jack Viney is set to have surgery on his Achilles on Tuesday. @AFLcomau
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How is your #supercoach team looking one day after launch?
Leave a screenshot in the comments for a fast review!
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@shanodeee @Racing @HKhutchi @BenAsgariRacing @brentzerafa @m_felgate Same issue time and time again @Racing
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Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi

In his latest piece for Rampart, @mrjoeaston reflects on the Adelaide Writers' Week debacle and, in his words, the "two parallel universes" of public discourse in Australia.
Read the full article at rampart.news or at the link below.
rampart.news/antisemitism-i…
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Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi
Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi














