Ivan from Ivanhoe

416 posts

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Ivan from Ivanhoe

Ivan from Ivanhoe

@_tjch

Katılım Mart 2010
338 Takip Edilen169 Takipçiler
SEN Breakfast
SEN Breakfast@SENBreakfast·
Who is the greatest ruckman of the modern era? Tomorrow's debate - between Garry Lyon and Tim Watson. Featuring Mike Sheahan, in studio.
SEN Breakfast tweet media
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Ivan from Ivanhoe
Did I watch a different game @davidking34 @Hoyney35 @kanecornes Tom Barass got BOG from one coach (5 votes) Yet rated 32nd best on ground AFl ratings and rated 41st Champion Data. Game was played largely in Haw front half?????!!!!!!
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Ivan from Ivanhoe
Ivan from Ivanhoe@_tjch·
@MatterOfStats thanks. Guessing that is a formula for the week/total exp wins accumulating each week. Do you have one for a projection for exp wins by season's end?
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Tony Corke
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats·
@_tjch I use an optimiser in R to find it, but only at season end FWIW I have a similar equation in my Team Dashboard that I use each week, and it is: Exp Wins = 1/(1+exp(-(0.164 x (SSPGF - SSPGA) + 6.18 x (Own Conv - Opp Conv)))) with SSPG = Scoring Shots per Game and Conv = G/(G+B)
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Tony Corke
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats·
REPOSTING If you follow a men's AFL team, imagine they are scheduled to next meet an average opponent at a fairly neutral ground On average, how much better would the final margin be if you had your best 23 versus if you lost a key player & had to field your next-best 23
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Ivan from Ivanhoe
Ivan from Ivanhoe@_tjch·
@MatterOfStats Thanks - ladder I was using had incorrect PF and PA! How do you work out the season exponent each week?
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Tony Corke
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats·
@_tjch I get 10.1 wins 1902^3.54 / (1902^3.54 + 2038 ^3.54) = 0.439 0.439 x 23 = 10.1
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Ivan from Ivanhoe
Ivan from Ivanhoe@_tjch·
@MatterOfStats thanks. Based on using 3.54, some of the pythagorean wins seem off from media reports e.g. Melbourne wins in 2025 7 pythagorean 9.1 (many outlets reporting 10)....
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Tony Corke
Tony Corke@MatterOfStats·
@_tjch Here's what I get as the optimal exponent for each season
Tony Corke tweet media
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Andrew Whelan
Andrew Whelan@andrew_whelan·
Getting a few drive-bys thanks to Champion Data's Nick Diacos player ratings.
Andrew Whelan tweet media
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Al Paton
Al Paton@al_supercoach·
How is your #supercoach team looking one day after launch? Leave a screenshot in the comments for a fast review!
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Ivan from Ivanhoe retweetledi
Rampart
Rampart@rampart_news·
In his latest piece for Rampart, @mrjoeaston reflects on the Adelaide Writers' Week debacle and, in his words, the "two parallel universes" of public discourse in Australia. Read the full article at rampart.news or at the link below. rampart.news/antisemitism-i…
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ralph horowitz
ralph horowitz@rtralphy·
Paywalled. Highlights with context
ralph horowitz tweet mediaralph horowitz tweet mediaralph horowitz tweet mediaralph horowitz tweet media
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SEN WA
SEN WA@SENWestAus·
The reason why Gerard Whateley hates the AFL Draft. #AFL | #AFLDraft | @tab_touch
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