Alkindus

each market cycle so far has tested participants for a different attribute ex. research discipline aggressiveness risk management this one has been about adaptability ie. agility to new rotations fluidity in accepting new paradigms

Your entire life changes when you realize 99% of society is stupid and you can just do things and no one will stop you because they’re too lazy or distracted to even try.

Existing blissfully as a trader is one of the GREATEST life hacks. The BIGGEST LOSERS are the ones who are CHASING, CHASING, CHASING and CHASING. They tell you, "You need to be locked in, grinding hard, 100 hour weeks crafting your edge!" I don't think there has been a bigger lie told. MAYBE for the little guys who are trying to DESPERATELY find a way out of poverty [and even then, there are much better options out there in these conditions], But for the rest, the ones who are remain here, The MORE you RUSH and envision a specific lifestyle or material items to be in your possession because of social media programming, The more you're FORCED TO ACT and PANIC. Time is not running out. If it was, you'd ALREADY be cooked right now. What's 6 more months? Even a year? You've already been here X amount of years anyway. Opportunities COME to you but you MUST ACT when the time is right. In the fight game, when you LOOK for shots, you sometimes put yourself in unfavourable positions JUST to land. But if you're EXISTING and wait, The mistakes of your opponent COME TO YOU and you CAPITALIZE on it. Let the retards capitulate whether it's price or time based because they need the "fastest horse" in the moment. Look at the best trades made as of recent: ZEC and HYPE. Do you think "those guys" sat there overtrading? They SAW the trade, let it come to them and then blocked out all the noise. They had REASSURANCE AMONGST each other. A team on the same path. You have the same thing too. The "privacy supercycle" has already been identified and now ALL it takes is to exercise patience with additional plays in the same category. Do you agree that BTC will set a new ATH? You do, of course you do, otherwise you wouldn't be here. And if it's the case, you already know how to profit from that occurrence when institutions or big players look for "the next" catchup to ZEC or HYPE after BTC goes mainstream again. Perhaps mid or late into the bull cycle, but it'll happen. It's a tale as old as time, human nature doesn't change. The stage is set, you have to merely EXIST. ~ Dr. Axius.

What you really want is a challenge at the edge of your capability.

Hot take: There is a limited window of time, like any new industry, where a new tool appears and people don't understand it fully yet, and it's powerful enough to change your entire life, but not so powerful it's been completely taken over by corporate interests yet. And when this tool appears you have two choices: use it to skyrocket your life and take advantage of this TEMPORARY moment, or resist/hate/be angry/complain/, do nothing, and the moment is gone forever. These brief moments in time are when shifts in the game board happen. It happened with Crypto, its happening with AI, it happens with any NEW thing. These shifts in the game board allow people who came/come from nothing, to elevate, using nothing but DEMOCRATIZED tools, moving first, their creativity, and execution. Our take is that instead of poo poo-ing the tool, USE the tool, improve your life, try applying the tool to the industries/things you know best, get creative, and catapault your way into a new class. You'll fine the sense of fulfillment you get as you're building, growing, expanding, learning, elevating your life, to FAR OUTWEIGH any feelings of superiority you get by hating and rejecting the tool. If you don't use this time, VERY likely chance in the future, whether 5 years, 10 years, when you are older, have more family, more weight/responsibility, and the realities of life are much more tangible, you'll wish you had acted more during this time. You don't want to be filled with regret because you chose to hate/dismiss, instead of build/grow, which ONLY helps you and the ones you love. TLDR? Instead of hating/dismissing a new tool, use this BRIEF WINDOW of time to elevate/improve your life. The window is temporary and if you don't use it because you want to please a small niche of people who don't really care about your success anyways, you may very highly regret that decision. Disclaimer: Post written with care and consideration and in a good spirit. Please don't be hateful for no reason. This is to benefit those who these words get through to.

FOMC today:

I’m ngl macro trading was more fun before the defining edge was whether you were in the inner circle of people who knew what the president was about to tweet.

abandon monetary goals completely. they are results-oriented and therefore inevitably lead to anchor bias. one should strive to be process-oriented instead. the goal should not be to make x amount of money in y amount of time. the goal should be to make good decisions constantly. "A samurai has no goal, only a path" - Yamamoto Tsunetomo

when you finally became profitable but it’s all too late because WW3 just started so you lowkey just accept your fate

"In a world of change, the learners shall inherit the earth, while the learned shall find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with a world that no longer exists." -- Eric Hoffer

All the smartest people you know are in a generational lock-in season right now

Citrini predicts a S&P drop by 38% and unemployment hits 10.2% in their latest article 1h ago they dropped one of the best pieces i've read this year and it's for free - other would charge $60,000 it's a thought experiment written as a perspective from june 2028, looking back at how AI triggered a full blown economic crisis not because AI failed because it worked too well (?!) the core loop is brutal and honestly hard to argue against: AI gets better > companies cut headcount > displaced workers spend less > consumer demand drops > companies lean harder into AI to protect margins > repeat step by step they walk through how it plays out, first software valuations collapse because agentic coding tools let anyone replicate SaaS products within 24h then consumer agents kill friction based businesses $13 trillion in residential mortgages threatened not by bad underwriting but by structural unemployment labor's share of GDP collapses from 64% to 46% output goes up but doesn't route through households anymore and government needs to spend more while collecting less the key insight that stuck with me: being right about AI being transformative doesn't protect you from the financial crisis it creates, yet the circular flow of money breaks when intelligence stops being scarce s&p drops 38% in their model unemployment hits 10.2%

You need to realize that there is almost no competition right now. More and more people are drawn to escapism. Dopamine traps such as TikTok and Reels have effectively fried about 70% of humans. Attention spans decrease, ambitions drown. You have no competition. In a few years from now, you will be able to see a clear elite.

Careers are dead. Jobs are dying. Opportunities arising.

Understand the Universe

Give them bread and circuses, and they will never revolt.

You can’t “seize the means of production” when the means of production are human ingenuity and hard work. All you can do is stamp them out.

Your inherited scars mean nothing Can be born into a family of addicts or a broken home. Lowest rungs of poverty. Damaged genes Doesn’t mean you have to accept the explanation the world gives you Buying into the therapyspeak turns you into a eunuch You always have the power to metabolize your circumstances into accelerant What everyone calls a disadvantage is just potential energy. Slingshot was primed from day one The worse your starting position the greater distance you can travel. Asymmetric returns for anyone with the gall to use it Avoid treating your origin like a verdict. Life depends on it Otherwise you join the majority of people born in the grime they didn’t choose Immobilized on the floor. Hamstrung by a “generational curse” they can’t cope with You don’t have the luxury to wallow in excuses. No matter how heavy they are Only one run at this life. Never accept the story forced upon you

one of the rarest skill sets on earth is modality fluidity. most ppl are trapped in a single channel.. they can either write or speak or think or build. but rarely more than one. the outliers are able move cleanly between each one of these. a thought starts as intuition, becomes language, turns into speech, compresses into text, & lands as action. zero lossiness & no distortion. a great writer who can also speak with clarity & grace is unbounded. their ideas aren’t imprisoned by format & they’re able to travel freely. this is why these people feel disproportionately powerful. these individuals just suffer less impedance mismatch between mind & world. most communication failures are modality failures. most leverage is gained by escaping a single one. this is an insanely rare trait with compounding returns. if you want to have great influence, be insanely great at different modalities of comms.

the only consistently proven path to success is being completely delusional about your own abilities and refusing to let reality update your priors until the universe eventually gives up and lets you win. every founder who made it was told they were crazy. every artist who broke through was "unrealistic." every person who built something from nothing had friends and family genuinely concerned about their mental state. the "rational" people who "knew their limits" and "had realistic expectations" are all working for the delusional ones now. you literally cannot achieve anything extraordinary while maintaining an accurate assessment of your odds. the math never works. the market is always saturated. someone more qualified is always already doing it. if you actually internalized the statistics you would never start anything. success selection bias means we only hear from the delusion that worked out. but here's the thing - the cautious realistic people didn't make it either. they just failed quietly at things they didn't care about instead of loudly at things they loved. fake it till you make it isn't a hack. it's the whole game. you act like the person you want to become until your skills catch up to your confidence. there is no other way. the gap between who you are and who you're pretending to be is called growth. stay delusional.