@mikewinddale Profit, wages, interest, and rent are claims on output.
They are validated ex ante through money and credit—
long before production catches up.
@ab202r You seem to assume that investment is riskless and profit guaranteed. You're trying to model something risky (or even uncertain) as if it is riskless.
Profits are not earned—they are pre-claimed;
and the system survives only if credit arrives like rain after the fire, validating what was already decided in advance.
Any theory of inflation that omits Marx's surplus-value and social price formation, and Kalecki’s markup logic, remains trapped at the surface.
Because prices are not signals floating in equilibrium.
They are the form through which profit claims fight for realization.
Before him, thinkers mapped the river.
He asked who built its banks,
who redirected its force,
and who paid when it overflowed.
Political economy, for him,
was not the study of prices,
but the grammar by which societies endure,
written through time.
He exposed utility an equilibrium as ideology, not science.
That’s why Sraffa is cited and sidelined: he leaves no room for psychology, expectations, or market morality—only structure, power, and surplus.
Sraffa gives us the grammar of reproduction,
Marx gives us its history
".....by moving from aggregate validation to selective validation.
It reframes inflation not just as incomplete validation in the aggregate, but as a rationing process that preserves some claims while eroding wages and weaker claims first."
@ab202r@baoshaoshan Utility determines whether a claim can exist at all; validation determines whether it can be realized nominally; and tradable capacity determines whether it can be realized in real terms. :)
@mikewinddale No, no firm is using gov data but Firm A producing Z isn’t alone.
An entire field of firms is producing the same Z, each embedding profit in price ex ante.
Banks don’t wait for profits to appear—they finance them in advance, expanding balance sheets to make those claims feasible.
@ab202r And your equation is obviously a red herring. No firm is using data on govt spending, net exports, etc. to set its prices or forecast profit (or loss).
@mikewinddale Kalecki speaks of the total storm.
He never promised to track every drop of rain.
You’re asking a macro identity to explain micro selection.
@ab202r Also, the Kalecki equation cannot possibly explain firm behavior because some firms earn profits while others suffer losses despite the same shared macroeconomic environment.
@artpricedotcom if you want a real deal with Iran, stop chasing half-measures.
Push for a democratic transition as part of the agreement. Tie legitimacy to the people, not just the regime.
In return, allow strictly civilian-level enrichment under full international oversight.
@mikewinddale You’re conflating legal entitlement with economic claiming. If it were merely an “expectation,” why do banks finance production on that basis?
@ab202r But it's not a claim. It's an expectation. A firm cannot claim a profit ex ante. A claim is something you are entitled to and/or have a very high probability of achieving. A profit is neither.
@mikewinddale Uncertainty doesn’t erase the claim---it exposes it.
Firms price with an expected profit embedded; the market later validates or rejects it.
They are residual claimants ex post, but profit is still pre-claimed ex ante, with λ coefficient of 85-95% chance of validation in USA.
@ab202r Nobody is saying that the firm must wait before it sets a price. What I am saying is that the profit is uncertain and may turn out to be a loss. So there is no claim to a profit. Firms are residual claimants, not profit claimants.
♤
Interest is anchored in the rate of profit— but it doesn’t wait for it.
It moves ahead as a claim on future surplus, then gets forced back by what production can actually deliver.
Between anticipation and realization—
that’s where instability lives.
.
@mikewinddale ....
They must price before they sell. That is the pre-claim.
Competition doesn’t eliminate this—it disciplines it.
Too high, and you fail.
Too low, and you disappear.
But in both cases, you still had to state a claim first.
@mikewinddale Michael, you want the world to begin at the moment of sale.
But capitalism begins earlier—in the ledger, in the loan, in the price tag not yet tested.
If firms truly waited for demand before pricing, production would never begin. .....
>>>
رفیق سابیر (۱۹۵۰–۲۰۲۶) دیروز در زادگاهش شهر قلادزه در باشور (جنوب کردستان/عراق) به خاک سپرده شد. او در ۲۸ فوریه در سوئد، جایی که از دهه ۱۹۸۰ در آن زندگی میکرد، درگذشت. سابیر از برجستهترین چهرههای شعر معاصر #کردی بود. شعرهای او با شجاعت، زیبایی و عمقی بی نظیر، اندوه جمعی ملت کرد را ترسیم میکند و مقاومت و مبارزه بیامانشان برای آزادی از سلطهٔ استعماری و نیز پایداری شگفتانگیزشان را بیانی شاعرانه و پرقدرت میبخشد. من عاشق اشعار سابیر هستم و برخیشان را به انگلیسی و فارسی ترجمه کرده ام. در ادامه یک نمونه آمده است.
به سوی مرز میروم
یک رگه خون چونان ماری پشت سرم میخزد
تکه ابری به پاهایم در میپیچد
به سوی مرز میروم
تنم را بر یک درخت بَنِه حک میکنم
روحم را بر یک صخره
از کجا آغاز کنیم؟
چند جنگل و قله و مرز را باید درنوردیم
تا این آسمان را از پوستمان بربکَِنیم.
چند بار باید به گاه کشته شدن برخیزیم
تا ردّ پای گم شدن و
نیزه و
تبعید
اثر زخم ترکه و زنجیر را از خود بزداییم؟
[رفیق سابیر – ترجمه از کُردی – ۹سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴]
#ڕەفیق_سابیر #رفیق_سابیر #شعرکّردی #شعر
ادعاهایی مثل بیهوده بودن یا ناموفق بودن سفر شاهزاده به اروپا بخشی از برنامه جمهوری اسلامیست. بخش اول برنامه جمهوری اسلامی فشار بر دولتهای اروپایی برای لغو سفر و برنامه بود. بخش دوم تبلیغ بیهوده یا ناموفق بودن آن است.
اگر بیهوده است چرا اینقدر میکوشید لغو شود. اگر ناموفق بود چرا اینقدر جوش میزنید؟
@kshahrooz مشکل امثال تو با آزادی ایرانه. وگرنه این که چند نفر برای یه پرفورمنس سیاه پوشیدن هیچ جای دنیا عیب نیست. شماها فقط دنبال یه سوژه می گردین انقلاب ایرانو ببرین زیر سوال که مبادا یه وقت رژیم سقوط کنه از نون خوردن بیفتین.
@widdacyg@baz_migardim@VOAfarsi متوجه نیستی؛ افسران توده ای در ارتش معتقد به پیروی از دستور رهبران حزب بودند و هیئت مرکزی حزب معتقد بود کودتا توسط مردم شکست خواهد خورد. وگرنه افسران حزب اگه عاملیت داشتند راحت میتونستند مانع کوتا بشند.
@ab202r@baz_migardim@VOAfarsi فرق بین کوتاهی و خیانت رو وقتی بفهمی که ببینی کی داشت برای بقای یه نظام وابسته به آمریکا زمین میسوخت. حالا اومدید با روایتهای ساختگی سیا، گناهان سلطنت رو گردن بقیه میندازید. واقعا خندهداره که فکر میکنید این دروغهای تکراری هنوز کسی رو باور میکنه.
@GrkStav Surplus is produced beyond the time required to reproduce labor power, but its realization is not guaranteed and is conditioned by effective demand.
Marx–Kalecki Validation Circuit
Firms set prices and claim profits ex ante via markups.
Realization is conditional on effective demand and credit.
Only validated claims are realized as profit.
The problem is not transformation—
but the conditional realization of surplus.
@TruthTrumpPost Obviously they are not; they want enrichment without accepting a peaceful democratic transition of power. They want to remain a theocratic regime while pursuing uranium enrichment.