george abboud
213 posts







He hablado con el presidente de Egipto, @AlsisiOfficial, con el rey de Jordania, @KingAbdullahII, y con el Emir de Qatar, @TamimBinHamad. Todos deseamos un Oriente Medio próspero y en paz. Una escalada del conflicto supondrá un devastador retroceso global. España exige el fin inmediato de esta guerra.







في إطار مساعي التواصل الدبلوماسي المكثف الذي تشهده المرحلة الراهنة، أجريتُ سلسلةً من الاتصالات الهاتفية مع عددٍ من وزراء الخارجية الإقليميين والدوليين، ومن بينهم وزراء سلطنة عمان وبريطانيا وبلغاريا وكندا والأمين العام لمجلس التعاون الخليجي، وأطلعتهم على مضمون القرار الصادر عن مجلس الوزراء في جلسته الطارئة الذي تضمّن حظر النشاطات العسكرية والأمنية لحزب الله، وإلزامه بتسليم سلاحه، فضلاً عن تكليف الجيش اللبناني بالمباشرة في تنفيذ المرحلة الثانية من خطة حصر السلاح. وتطرق البحث إلى ضرورة وقف التصعيد الإسرائيلي، والسبل الكفيلة لحماية المدنيين اللبنانيين والمرافق العامة في ظل الظروف الراهنة.





Israeli violations: Joe Rajji files complaint with Security Council lorientlejour.com/article/1492769



🇱🇧🇮🇱 EXCLUSIVE: ISRAEL PLANS TO BOMB LEBANON AT, MAYBE, 10X INTENSITY WHILE PEACE DEAL OF THE CENTURY CRUMBLES – NEW WAR COMING? According to close and multiple sources from the U.S. State Department, the guardrails to sustain the “sloth pace” static status quo in Lebanon are quickly dissipating, with Israel quickly gaining consensus support for a limited, but brutal bombing campaign against the remaining military remnants of Hezbollah. Over the next few weeks, shortly after the Pope’s visit, air raids are expected to increase at least 10-fold in intensity. Central to the equation is very recent, and compelling intelligence that Hezbollah has successfully managed to stall Lebanese miliary inspection, disarmament, and an alarming pace of rebuilding armory, depot supplies, particularly in cheap-made but effective lethal drones. Despite multiple warnings, Israel has been largely ignored, until now. The consensus in Washington is that there is no way to credibly deter a new military campaign to eradicate the most recent progress made by Hezbollah. Washington's patience has officially run out. The Trump administration abruptly cancelled all scheduled meetings with Lebanese Army Commander General Rodolphe Haykal just hours before his planned departure to Washington this week. The Lebanese Embassy was forced to cancel a reception arranged in his honor, and American officials have essentially stopped talking to Lebanese leadership entirely. Senator Lindsey Graham blasted Haykal's "weak, almost non-existent effort to disarm Hezbollah," calling the Lebanese Armed Forces "not a very good investment for America." Senator Joni Ernst piled on, saying Haykal was "shamefully directing blame at Israel" instead of seizing the opportunity to free Lebanon from Hezbollah. The trigger? A Lebanese Army statement that referred to Israel as "the enemy" (standard terminology in Lebanon, which has been technically at war with Israel since 1948) and condemned Israeli violations of Lebanese sovereignty after Israeli soldiers shot at UN peacekeepers. The matter has been reportedly escalated directly to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who now oversees all US military assistance to Lebanon, putting over $3 billion in aid at risk. The Americans are furious that despite receiving firsthand intelligence about Hezbollah's rapid rearmament, Lebanese leadership – with the exception of PM Nawaf Salam - hasn't grasped the gravity of the situation or acted with the urgency Washington demands. Here's the tragic irony: the Middle East has never been closer to an actual breakthrough peace deal. Jared Kushner has somehow threaded an impossible diplomatic needle, assembling the U.S., Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey to push through an expanded Abraham Accords. The majority of Israelis want peace. Most Lebanese want peace. The foundation is there. Lebanon's been handed the deal of a lifetime: unlimited support for their army and president, massive economic rebuilding packages, and solutions to their frozen banking system and corruption nightmares. All they need to do is “enter” direct and deliberate negotiations with the Israelis. It's legitimately the best opportunity they've ever been offered, far better than the gas field negotiations that heavily favored Israel. But two fringe groups are torching everything. Iran is pulling every lever to maintain influence through chaos. They're pressuring Hezbollah and Lebanese special interests to reject all negotiations with Israel, even though accepting would make Lebanon prosperous. Iran doesn't want resolution, they want perpetual war and division because that's how they maintain regional power. On the flip side, radical Israeli ministers Smotrich and Ben-Gvir have Netanyahu by the throat. Two days ago, Netanyahu walked into southern Syria completely uninvited, parading around like he owns the place, deliberately antagonizing everyone while Kushner's desperately trying to hold fragile coalitions together. Meanwhile, Syria's new leader Shara'a has been remarkably restrained and progressive, refusing to take the bait despite Israeli troops violating Syrian sovereignty. This is because he made a personal commitment to President Trump, Saudi’s MBS and Turkey’s Erdogan to turn the page, open Syria’s highly industrial and educated populace to engine global prosperity, and seek peace at any cost, including direct talks with Netanyahu. What does he get in return? A complete humiliation by the forever war-mongers of Israel. Syria’s committed to being a pacifist partner in whatever regional peace framework emerges. In concert, America, France, the Gulf states and the UN are frantically pushing Lebanon toward direct negotiations with Israel. The majority of Lebanese, thinking about economic interests and stability, would welcome it. Even Shiites are forming a “silent” block on a peaceful path forward. But Iran keeps vetoing every move, blocking their own ally from prosperity. The cruelest part? Kushner, through direction of Special Envoys Steve Witkoff and Thomas Barrack, managed to get Qataris, Saudis, moderate Israelis, and Palestinians closer to agreement than anyone thought possible. A legitimate two-state solution framework exists. But the radical Israeli minority refusing to ever accept Palestinian statehood and Iran's commitment to endless regional conflict are sabotaging everything. And now Israel's about to massively escalate violence in Lebanon, potentially destroying months of painstaking diplomatic work. Nothing says "we're serious about peace" quite like preparing to bomb your neighbor into submission while simultaneously cutting off all diplomatic communication. Sources: U.S. State Department sources, Arab News, Al-Monitor, The National, Israel National News, @marcorubio, @StateDept, @IDF, @USAMBTurkiye, @jaredkushner, @SteveWitkoff, @UN_Lebanon, @USEmbassySyria









