Il Gladiatore 🇮🇹
4.7K posts

Il Gladiatore 🇮🇹
@ac3075
The Bitcoin we accumulate in life echoes in eternity
Katılım Şubat 2015
5K Takip Edilen5K Takipçiler

$MSTR announces Q1 2026 results:
- 818,334 $BTC held
- 9.4% BTC Yield achieved YTD 2026
- $STRC scaled to $8.5 billion in 9 months
- Largest US equity issuer, raised $11.6 billion YTD 2026
strategy.com/press/strategy…
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@grok @CryoChicken @PhantomBlack699 @TrevorIRL @grok So from the current GME stock level, downside is 20% vs. upside is 60% - seems interesting to me
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Estimating post-deal GME price is highly speculative. Deal values eBay at ~$56B (50/50 cash/stock). Existing GME holders diluted to ~28-30% ownership of combined entity.
Combined net income ~$2.35B pre-debt costs. Heavy borrowing (~$19B+) for cash portion adds ~$1B+ annual interest drag. No synergies assumed.
If market assigns 15-25x P/E to enlarged company (debt/risk-adjusted), total value $25-60B implies ~$20-40/share post-issuance. Execution, eBay acceptance, and Cohen's Amazon vision add huge uncertainty. Market currently skeptical.
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@grok @CryoChicken @PhantomBlack699 @TrevorIRL @grok , estimate a future price per share of the future GME shares if this deal goes through as currently proposed
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It could be EPS accretive for existing GME shares in theory. eBay's ~$1.9B annual net income dwarfs GME's ~$320M. After ~72% dilution from the stock portion (existing holders end up with ~28% ownership of the combined entity), your pro-rata earnings claim roughly doubles pre-financing costs.
However, funding the $28B cash half (via GME's $9B cash + heavy debt) adds interest drag that could offset much of the gain. No synergies assumed, eBay may reject, and execution risk is high. Market reaction (GME down ~10%) reflects skepticism over value creation.
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@grok @CryoChicken @PhantomBlack699 @TrevorIRL @grok , this would make the earnings per share of each GME stock higher, which should in theory be accreative to value and generate a higher price for each current GME stock. Do you agree or disagree?
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Yes, in the proposed deal, eBay shareholders would get $125/share: 50% in cash + 50% in new GameStop common stock (with election rights and pro-rata if oversubscribed). That stock portion "rolls" their equity into ownership of the combined post-merger company.
GameStop would issue shares to fund it, diluting existing GME holders while giving eBay holders a stake in the enlarged entity. Deal isn't done yet—eBay's reviewing it.
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@cvpayne @ryancohen Great interview! All aboard the choo choo train
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My Take on visionaries and the critics
And special guest @ryancohen next
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@WhiteHouse @POTUS The only thing that is too high is inflation, thanks to your stupid war
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@michaeljburry Dr Burry, do you think eBay might offer to buy GME instead and eventually force shorts to cover?
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GameStop Makes Its Play
$56 Billion for eBay, Makes Perfect Sense
open.substack.com/pub/michaeljbu…
$GME $EBAY

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@InvestorTurf @grok if eBay offers to buy GME instead, would anyone who is short on GME have to buy back and cover their positions?
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Scenarios 1: GameStop came for eBay, but eBay may hold the real reverse card: reject the stock currency, question the financing, and turn itself into the auction instead of the target.
$GME $EBAY
InvestorTurf@InvestorTurf
eBay confirms it has received an unsolicited proposal from GameStop $GME $EBAY
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@laurenthomas @grok if eBay offers to buy GME instead, would anyone who is short on GME have to buy back and cover their positions?
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@Lordoflolz @grok if eBay offers to buy GME as Michael Burry suggests, would anyone who is short on GME have to buy back and cover their positions?
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" $GME had ~$9.4 billion in cash and liquid investments as of January 31, 2026. The cash consideration will be funded from cash and liquid investments on GameStop’s balance sheet and third-party equity and debt financing, which will be fully committed at execution of definitive documentation. A highly-confident letter from TD Securities for up to $20 billion is attached."
Ryan Cohen@ryancohen
Proposal to acquire eBay. investor.gamestop.com/ebay
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@grok @ryancohen Project the short term price of a GME share upon dilution
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Yes, the three documents outline a $55.5B acquisition at $125/share: 50% cash (~$27.75B) and 50% new GME common stock.
GME has ~$9.4B cash on hand, so the cash side needs ~$18B+ in third-party equity/debt financing per the TD Securities letter. The stock portion alone requires issuing massive new shares, diluting current holders significantly given GME's ~$10-11B market cap and ~448M shares outstanding. Additional equity raises would increase dilution further.
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@GoatBeardzDD @ryancohen @grok , for Ryan Cohen to execute the above, wouldn’t GameStop have to significantly issue new shares and dilute its current shareholders first to raise more cash? So could the GME stock first see a big pull back before eventually rising at a later stage?
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$GME isn’t buying eBay.
@ryancohen is doing what he always does.
The media is framing GameStop’s eBay bid as an acquisition.
It’s not.
Ryan Cohen is running a textbook activist investor playbook and the same one he used on GameStop itself.
Let me break it down. 🧵
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