Adam Black

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Be patient: Please read through my entire post thread carefully again. I believe I’ve already provided you with plenty of important data points and TA: 1. Signs of profittaking in the 82k area (from MM and retail traders) 2. Two key liquidity zones that need to be tested: 78.1k and 75k From here, if the bulls truly step in, they can still push the price up to the 83k area before heading back down to the 75k zone. However, it’s the weekend now, so any strong moves will be a MM game and are usually very unpredictable. Let the price action give us more confirmation. I’m heading out with my family, so I won’t be able to monitor the signals closely. I’ll be back in about 3 hours. be careful!

$btc - my bias and expectations on every timeframe (summary). Just a quick one for the newcomers and the ones who don't have a full feeling on how to interpret direction on each separate timeframe, or don't have a grasp on my system, which is heavily influenced by bias on every timeframe, here is a quick summary on my directional expectations. Because when I take a long on the hourly, doesn't mean I am bullish on the overarching timeframe (H * 12 ~ daily), and vice versa for shorts. Timeframes are often misinterpreted. Because somehow when someone takes a short on the hourly, on X it's typical to sometimes comment: he is short, therefore he is bearish on the weekly and expects 50k, but wait a minute, he said he didn't expect sub 50k? I believe my audience is one of the best at understanding this discrepancy so far. But that's exactly because I go over all timeframes and every now and then summarize with posts like this so I simply continue to "educate" you on that. Timeframe separation and multi-timeframe vision is key to understand direction. And understanding how a multiple of 12 in them only mildly affects each of the underlying or overarching one step up or down, and almost negligibly two steps up or down. (H2 could create a bullish move, while the daily (H2*12) is still bearish. Etc.) Also included are my actions, because making calls without clear trades isn't trading, it's spectating. Drawing a bridge can be done by a toddler, building one takes teams of engineers. Weekly: I am bullish My actions: I am holding 4 long runners and spot and looking to ad whenever it allows. My analysis: given in very clear ways. Every single one of my high timeframe posts commented on 60k being the low, in live time, and with reminders after the fact. Confirmation by sentiment: yup. Most people are macro bearish and expect sub 60k. Daily: bearish. I expect sub 75k and have been expecting it for a while. Longs stacked, more active shorting recently, etc. My actions: shorts from 82.3k to target 75k with one re-attempt remaining of taken out. Sentiment: less clear, but lately, many macro bears went quiet or flip flop all the time saying they were wrong followed by "i am still in swing shorts" sometimes the next hour. Clear loss in conviction locally. Hourly: bullish (invalidated). I took two longs this week to catch internal bounces. One succeeded, one failed. Currently not expecting a bounce anymore (invalidated) and therefore just riding swing shorts. Sentiment: mostly order flow with some deep searches on socials to confirm. Order flow seemed bullish first, then faulted clearly at 80.2k and sure enough, we slid down further at 79k. Summary: W: bullish D: bearish H: bullish (invalidated) -> neutral/bearish So, indeed when they point in different directions, and I trade it, I notice in my stats that most of my new followers get confused sometimes. Continues to be my goal to prevent that with extra emphasis such as posts like this. Especially useful in times where they are not all bearish or all bullish (unidirectional alignment). This is a tough mission. But it's only a natural consequence when being on top of the market on all timeframes which is key imo to not miss anything and trade successfully.

Made the right choice in Inner Circle closed long at the top and dca’ed the short $btc

$BTC $STRC Anyone else notice that STRC did 100m less volume on Tuesday than it did on Monday? It *should* be ramping... How about STRC failing to hold 100 during STRC 100 week like it did in previous weeks? That is why crypto is struggling as equity alt season continues.

$BTC This month’s volume is running at just 25% of a typical month. I filtered for every month where, at this point in the month: - Volume was below normal - Price was trading above the monthly open There were 22 similar cases. What happened next: - 81% closed bullish - 95% put in a higher monthly high later - 43% still swept the monthly low Caveat: small sample (22 of 86 months).

$BTC LONG UPDATE I'm still waiting for my limit long on Bitcoin to get filled. We could of course test 83 000$ first so that's why I'm not starting a short either. I believe the 78 350$ area is where most stop-losses are placed and thus the best area for longs.