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The world is now facing the largest oil supply shock in modern history.
Nearly 20 million barrels per day of supply has effectively disappeared from global markets. That is about 20% of global oil consumption, which normally sits around 100–102 million barrels per day.
For perspective:
The 1973 oil crisis disrupted about 4–5 million bpd.
The 1979 Iranian revolution shock was roughly 5–6 million bpd.
Even the Gulf War disruption in 1990 was smaller.
This shock is several times larger.
Oil is not just fuel. It sits at the foundation of the global economy. It drives transport, agriculture, petrochemicals, plastics, fertilizers, and industrial supply chains.
When supply shocks reach this scale, the consequences are rarely limited to energy markets.
They reshape inflation, global trade, monetary policy, and geopolitics.
The real question is not whether prices rise.
The real question is how the global system absorbs a shock of this magnitude.
Invest in hard assets now, or risk being left behind.
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