
In my opinion USDINR in range of 92 to 94 will be the biggest trigger for FII/FPI to enter Indian Market once this war settles down as Rupee will appreciate after war cools off and crude prices tapering down. Rupee Appreciation will boost FII/FPI return in near term.
I don't see crude / gas shortages to continue for very long even though war may go on. Price of crude will also cool off boosting appreciation of Rupee.
There is deep value in certain pockets of Indian market. Overall Valuations are looking stretched because of new age businesses being included in index.
Our biggest problem is lack of liquidity in Smallcap, Midcap, Microcap.
Return of FII/FPI on the backdrop of corrected valuations (Time + Price correction) will be icing on the cake.
Remember this is not the time to sell.
Counter views are welcome.
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