ayan

@jnnl36 @Razorfin_Hunter @GLASSPARX fat and ugly pick a struggle im begging

@afn0pn @Razorfin_Hunter @GLASSPARX if you think you have to reply to every tweet on your feed, YOU Dont know how twitter works

i hate my stupid fucking chud life

@jnnl36 @Razorfin_Hunter @GLASSPARX do you understand how twitter works?

@Razorfin_Hunter @GLASSPARX you looked for a tweet you weren't tagged in and had nothing to do with you to reply to. arrogance is a little better than desperate attention seeking

@mEdia_creates @XCannedyX @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 If 2 grand is life changing money to you it is irresponsible for you to be betting any amount of money lol if that's hard for you to understand you're poor and retarded

Dude placed $175 bet and cashed out without even giving the guy a chance first at bat smh. If you can’t afford to bet $175 then you shouldn’t risk so much.

@KlinKypoo @XCannedyX @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Not the exact same but I agree to a point because at the end of the day the underlying market structure of both is ridiculously similar. I don't agree with betting stupid shit like hr lottos but yeah that 2ks probably already gone lol

@afn0pn @XCannedyX @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Yup it works the same in the stock market. People who cut their winning early or cut losses early usually get wrecked in the long run. Dude definitely has money if hes putting 150 on a 4 leg HR lotto. That 2k will be gone in 8 bets lol

@masonjarsusa @BlxseBlah @deuceisthegoat @AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Show me a pnl above 5 figs and I'll off myself because there's no way anyone with your intelligence can win money doing anything that requires competency

@afn0pn @BlxseBlah @deuceisthegoat @AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Its okay if you dont take profit and let it ride man everyone is different

@probablythenuts @mittal_rahil pm bubble going to be worse than ai bubble if twats like this continue to spew out the first thing they can think of

@mittal_rahil I mean even if you get firms to provide direct index liquidity, you'll still be constrained by the underlying markets your indices derive their price from. A derivative having more liquidity than the underlying creates perverse incentives.

i'm trading two top-tier quant internships and my UIUC stats and CS degree to go all in on this. i'm building the bridge between institutional money and prediction markets. think vanguard for polymarket/kalshi. and an (extensive) execution layer API. imagine trading geopolitical instability like an index fund. spoken to wealth mgmt funds, prop trading firms, and excited retail traders.. all of them are asking for this. if any VC's or cracked builders wanna know more, hit my DMs.

@XCannedyX @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 if you're betting to pay off credit cards or pay rent you might as well just work another job or find an easy side gig. my point is if you're letting external issues like rent influence how you bet, you shouldn't be betting in the first place due to the undue risk it may cause

@afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 2k can pay off your credit card and make rent easier. Be realistic?

@XCannedyX @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 if 2 grand can change your life stop betting forever your priorities are in the wrong place

@afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 He chose him to up the money, same reason all of us make lottos but realistically when it's not gonna hit, and gas is $5 a gallon it's hard not to cash out. Not everyone is rich, 2k can change your life.

@masonjarsusa @deuceisthegoat @AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 your two brain cells fight each other every day for air please do us all a favor and disable your brain

@deuceisthegoat @AdamsKenne80866 @afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 He got nervous and took profit regardless bro all this he couldve done this and that is meaningless

@chrisxthames @AdamsKenne80866 @carnepierre199 everyone betting is betting to win. its simple arithmetic and people like you advocating and believing what ur saying is why sportsbooks take advantage of you lol the cashout button is objectively the worst feature for a rec bettor to have access to

@afn0pn @AdamsKenne80866 @carnepierre199 The average bettor just wanna make some bread, they don't give af about EV, when they see $100 bet and a 2 band payout brother. Y'all Twitter people really gotta understand perspective. Everybody professional gamblers on here.

@AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 person to person but for people like the moron who posted the cashout he'll place this bet 100 more times and cash out 100 more of them and leave mid 5 figs on the table doing so. drake baldwin also immediately launched a homerun and they were playing in coors so just funny lol

@afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Is hindsight i understand completely what youre saying, what i also understand is nothing is a guarantee not even consistency of numbers, turning $175 into $2400 in the real world is alot better than the bet potentially not hitting and ending in 0 smackaroos

@AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 As I said it's a simple math problem. fanduel is quoting a cashout offer that is worse than the true ev of drake baldwin hitting a homerun. he's +360 to hit a hr which is like 22% and 0.22*16600(total payout if hit) is 3650. in total, he lost more than 10x his wager in reality

@afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 I mean to be frank with you the only reasoning im getting is he cashed out early which didn't maximize profits? Which im still confused as to how that would be determined as an "extreme loss".

@AdamsKenne80866 @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 if you can't figure out why cashing out is a complete negative for the taker you should be lobomotized

@afn0pn @chrisxthames @carnepierre199 Am I fucking retarded? How is 175$ -> 2400$ an "extreme loss".

@chrisxthames @carnepierre199 are you retarded? its not about being rich or poor its a simple math problem. He bought drake baldwin hitting a homerun at a certain price and sold it at an extreme loss. People like you and him are exit liquidity 99% of the time

@carnepierre199 Yeah I agree he should've waited at least, but a return like that staring at you? Idk. I'm not rich yet so maybe that's why I'm taking it lol for the right price

@clbrni jewish and retarded pick a struggle

dear hockeytwt, here is a list of jokes that just arent funny 1. israel jokes 2. hitler jokes 3. jokes about real debilitating disorders 4. creepy jokes about young players when you are way too damn grown thank you for your attention

@MrGreenBread @davidpollack47 being as close to exchange adjacent as possible/mm helps significantly downsize vig, which is why sites like pinnacle can run 2% vig margins and winners can still come out on top but the underlying market structure will always exist as a zero sum game at the end of the day

@afn0pn @davidpollack47 The vig makes it technically not a zero sum game Congrats— it’s not an easy thing to do

One of the brightest financial minds of our time. Probably nothing.

@MrGreenBread @davidpollack47 probably ~99.5-99.6% in reality no matter the juice its still a zero sum game at the end of the day. i've cleared six figs betting pph/offshore in a couple yrs with large margins but yeah need a lot of good variance your way

@davidpollack47 lol didn’t need Buffett to know the average person can’t beat the juice and if you are a smart bettor w/ any sniff of an edge, they limit your bet amounts 99.9% of people should realize they are losing in long run (esp volume bettors)

@yyxtine2 @wizardkekw @nishikoripicks His competence exceeds whatever the issue was with Alcaraz's management. At the end of the day he will find his way back into tennis if he wants to and any personal stuff will subside

@wizardkekw @nishikoripicks Stay polite . I m informing to be cautious ⚠️ and that there is at least 5 interviews that you can easily google to understand how he did undermine his own reputations . You are all able to create a promp on google to ask to list all jfc interviews since dec 17

Rafa Jodar: "The team has always been my father and me. For now, we’re not going to change that because it’s something that is working, so I don’t see any reason to change it. Everything will stay the same." "For now". I’m sticking with my theory: Ferrero will coach Jodar.

@two_forth @FastbreakHoops5 volleyball

@FastbreakHoops5 Chase Budinger. For real. Where is he?

Name an NBA player who was everywhere for a minute, then basically vanished from the league. Not retired normally. Not faded slowly. Just one day you realized, “Wait, what happened to him?”

@_______idkdcfv @FirePeonPose @Elon0wnsMe letting mikel bridges touch the floor

@FirePeonPose @Elon0wnsMe Name one

Rick Brunson raped an innocent girl and he’s somehow still a better man than Mike Brown