Aude Lancelin

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Aude Lancelin

Aude Lancelin

@alancelin

Fondatrice @LibreQg, hier l’Obs, Marianne, auteur Le Monde libre, prix Renaudot essai, « Je pense aux matelots oubliés dans une île. Aux captifs, aux vaincus! »

Paris, France Katılım Şubat 2012
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Aude Lancelin
Aude Lancelin@alancelin·
🔴 EXCLUSIF: « Iran: les États-Unis sont-ils en train de perdre la guerre? » En direct ce jeudi 19 mars à 20h30, retrouvons-nous sur QG avec @karimbitar de Saint Joseph de Beyrouth, @russeurope, économiste, et @iranoscop pour une soirée de débat en live ! #IranWar‌
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Nikola Mirkovic
Nikola Mirkovic@1NikolaMirkovic·
Divide et impera. Diviser pour mieux régner. C'est ce que fait la caste dominante pour nous opposer et nous diviser. Pendant que le peuple s'entredéchire, il ne s'occupe pas de ceux qui la fragmentent. Pendant qu'on se bat sur des sujets souvent secondaires (que la caste nous impose par ses médias), on laisse de côté les piliers fondamentaux de la survie de tout peuple comme la justice, le bien commun, la liberté, la culture et le désir de vivre et de se projeter ensemble. Ne tombons pas dans le panneau des divisions artificielles entretenues par le système. Sachons identifier les vrais semeurs de zizanie et concentrons-nous sur le renforcement des véritables piliers, valeurs et principes qui font qu'un peuple regagne sa souveraineté pleine et entière. Cette défense se fait dans la vie de chaque jour, par notre participation active dans le tissu social français. Elle passe aussi par notre capacité à créer des réseaux qui défendent nos principes et valeurs fondamentaux. Je terminerai sur cette phrase d'Antoine de Saint-Exupéry dans Pilote de guerre qui exprime bien mieux que moi l'importance de l'action : «Ainsi devient-on l’homme d’une patrie, d’un métier, d’une civilisation, d’une religion. Mais pour se réclamer de tels Êtres, il convient, d’abord, de les fonder en soi. Et, là où n’existe pas le sentiment de la patrie, aucun langage ne le transportera. On ne fonde en soi l’Être dont on se réclame que par des actes. Un Être n’est pas de l’empire du langage, mais de celui des actes." Si vous voulez en savoir plus sur les moyens de s'en sortir, je vous rajoute les liens pour se procurer mon dernier livre Déclin et Renouveau, dans les commentaires.
QG le média libre@LibreQg

🔴 "Les Français n'ont jamais été aussi divisés" @1NikolaMirkovic essayiste, auteur de « Déclin et Renouveau : Comment les Français se relèveront », aux Éditions des Syrtes était sur QG « 12 chantiers pour redresser la France » en replay ➡️ qg.media/emission/12-ch…

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franceinfo
franceinfo@franceinfo·
🔴 🗣️ "Ce que veut Israël, c'est détruire complètement l'Iran [mais] aussi susciter ce chaos dans l'ensemble de la région", analyse la chercheuse @alevallois75. Le champ gazier iranien South Pars a été touché par une frappe israélienne. #CestTouteLaQuestion #Canal16
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QG le média libre
QG le média libre@LibreQg·
🔴 "Les Français n'ont jamais été aussi divisés" @1NikolaMirkovic essayiste, auteur de « Déclin et Renouveau : Comment les Français se relèveront », aux Éditions des Syrtes était sur QG « 12 chantiers pour redresser la France » en replay ➡️ qg.media/emission/12-ch…
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QG le média libre
QG le média libre@LibreQg·
🔴 « Pendant longtemps, les élites de gauche et de droite se sont entendues pour trahir leur mandat, tout en se légitimant face au “diable de la République” Jean-Marie Le Pen » François Meyronnis était sur QG avec @alancelin L'émission en accès libre ➡️ youtu.be/zcbaseVVig8?si…
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CNN International
CNN International@cnni·
Israeli settlers have increasingly used violence against Palestinians in a bid to drive them from their homes in the occupied West Bank. But sexual assault appears to be a new weapon in these settlers’ arsenal of intimidation, pointing to a troubling new level of violence. cnn.it/4du8vj6
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COMBATE |🇵🇷
COMBATE |🇵🇷@upholdreality·
Prof. Mearsheimer: "The mightiest naval force on the planet cannot open the strait by itself. That tells you how much trouble we're in."
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Oil analysts are saying they “wouldn’t be surprised” if oil went to $200-$250 a barrel.
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AFP News Agency
AFP News Agency@AFP·
BREAKING European gas jumps more than 30% after strikes on Qatar LNG hub
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86·
JUST IN: President Trump just published the most extraordinary statement of the entire war. It was not a press conference. It was not a briefing. It was a Truth Social post. And it contained more strategic architecture than every NSC meeting of the past nineteen days combined. Read what he said. Israel acted “out of anger” and “violently lashed out” at South Pars. The United States “knew nothing about this particular attack.” Qatar “was in no way, shape, or form, involved in it.” Iran “unjustifiably and unfairly” hit Qatar’s LNG. No more Israeli strikes on South Pars “unless Iran unwisely decides to attack a very innocent, in this case, Qatar.” If Iran does, the United States “will massively blow up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field at an amount of strength and power that Iran has never seen or witnessed before.” One post. Six moves. He blamed Israel for acting without American knowledge. He shielded Qatar as innocent. He condemned Iran for retaliating against the wrong target. He ordered a halt to Israeli energy strikes. He created a tripwire around Qatar’s LNG that makes the next Iranian attack on Ras Laffan an automatic trigger for the destruction of South Pars in its entirety. And he told Iran he does not want to authorise that level of violence but will not hesitate. This is not diplomacy. It is a Truth Social post that restructured the security architecture of the entire Gulf in approx 200 words. The production asymmetry makes the threat existential. South Pars and Qatar’s North Field share the same geological reservoir, the largest gas deposit on Earth at roughly 1,800 trillion cubic feet. But Iran produces approximately 2 billion cubic feet per day from its side. Qatar produces 18.5 billion. Iran’s side funds a fraction of its budget. Qatar’s side funds 80 percent of government revenue and the world’s largest LNG export operation. Destroying the entirety of South Pars would eliminate Iran’s gas production while risking catastrophic reservoir pressure migration that could damage Qatar’s North Field for decades. Trump is threatening mutual geological destruction. He is telling Iran: hit Qatar again and I will destroy the gas field you share, knowing that the destruction migrates through the rock to the asset I am claiming to protect. The threat is credible precisely because it is disproportionate. Nobody bluffs with geology. While Trump posted, four Gulf states were burning simultaneously. Ras Laffan in Qatar: explosions and fires at the world’s largest LNG facility. Riyadh, Jubail, and Samref in Saudi Arabia: confirmed hits. Habshan, Bab, and Al-Hosn in the UAE: shutdowns from missile debris. Bahrain desalination: incident confirmed. The IRGC’s Shekarchi threatened to reduce it all to ashes. The sealed packets in Bandar Abbas continued executing. Qatar expelled Iranian military diplomats within 24 hours. The Fed held rates with PCE revised to 2.7 percent and Middle East “uncertain.” China draws commercial reserves at a million barrels per day. The farmer in Iowa plants soybeans. Trump created a tripwire around Qatar’s LNG. He handed Iran a choice: stop hitting the ally or lose the gas field permanently. He distanced the US from Israel’s strike. He capped the energy escalation. He preserved the threat of total destruction as leverage. All on Truth Social. All in one post. The strait runs on sealed orders. The war runs on Truth Social posts. And the urea at $610 does not read either. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

Abu Dhabi intercepted the missiles. The debris shut down the gas fields anyway. Habshan gas processing facilities and the Bab field were both taken offline today as a precautionary measure after falling debris from successful missile interceptions struck the sites. Abu Dhabi authorities confirmed it. No injuries. Both facilities shut down. The public was told to rely only on official sources. The air defense system worked exactly as designed. The warheads were destroyed before impact. And two of the UAE’s most important gas production facilities went dark because the wreckage from a successful interception is still wreckage. This is the paradox that no interception rate can solve. Gulf air defenses intercept 90 to 96 percent of incoming projectiles. Those rates are extraordinary. They save lives. They prevent direct detonation on target. What they do not prevent is debris. A missile destroyed at altitude does not vanish. It fragments. The fragments fall. They fall on the same geography the missile was aimed at. And when that geography contains gas processing infrastructure with pressurised systems, heat exchangers, and pipeline junctions, falling metal at terminal velocity is sufficient to trigger a precautionary shutdown regardless of whether the warhead detonated. Ras Laffan was hit directly today. Riyadh was hit directly today. Habshan and Bab were hit by the defence that worked. Three countries. Four facilities. Two by Iranian missiles. Two by the wreckage of intercepted Iranian missiles. The result is the same: offline. Iran does not need to penetrate the air defense shield. It needs to overwhelm the geography underneath it. Every missile that is intercepted over an energy facility still deposits debris on that facility. The interception prevents the warhead from functioning. It does not prevent the airframe, the motor casing, the guidance section, and the fuel residue from falling on infrastructure that was designed to process gas, not absorb ballistic fragments. The mathematics of this are devastating for the Gulf’s energy posture. Three hundred fourteen ballistic missiles and 1,672 drones launched at the UAE since February 28. At 90 to 96 percent interception, roughly 280 to 300 of those missiles were destroyed over UAE territory. Each one produced debris. Each debris field covered a footprint measured in hundreds of metres. Across nineteen days, the cumulative debris footprint covers a significant fraction of the UAE’s coastal energy infrastructure corridor. Even perfect interception rates produce imperfect debris patterns over the geography they are defending. Shekarchi threatened to burn Gulf energy facilities to ashes. He may not need to. The interception debris is doing it for him. Not through fire. Through precautionary shutdowns triggered by falling metal from the missiles his forces launched and the defenses that successfully destroyed them. The Fed just raised PCE to 2.7 percent and flagged Middle East developments as uncertain. Trump just directed no more strikes on Iranian energy. The IRGC just published satellite targeting images of five Gulf facilities. And Abu Dhabi just shut down two gas fields because the defense that saved lives could not save production. The interception rate is 96 percent. The shutdown rate from debris is 100 percent when the debris lands on a gas plant. And the urea at $610 does not distinguish between a warhead that detonates and one that falls in pieces. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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@russeurope @karimbitar @iranoscop @sciencespo @alevallois75 @1NikolaMirkovic @elonmusk @BarackObama