

Alien OPS
12.3K posts

@alienopstrading
🧠 Psychologist & Liquidity Trader · Trading Since 2016 📊 Market Psychology | Risk Management | Order Flow 💎 Premium Discord → @AlienTradingLab




The bad days will pass eventually. The most frustrating aspect of markets is those painfully long, depressing consolidation periods. *Range= buy lows, sell highs *Expansion = hold your trade with HTF bias That's a cycle.

Since Q1 2025, $BTC had this pattern where, usually, the first move that came right after a new quarter started was manipulation. The manipulation always went into important pockets of liquidity such as Highs, Lows, Gaps and once it got there, it served as an inflexion point where price reversed. The real move for this quarter already happend, we can see that and this is why I think the next real move will not come until next quarter. Now, here is my assumption based on this pattern. At the moment, we really do not know what will be the next move therefore we have to take 2 scenarios into consideration. First scenario is, we get another expansion lower and then the bottom will only be possible in Q4 by a manipulation into the Low. Second scenario is, we will not get another expansion lower but we will form the bottom around these prices by manipulating into the current Low. Note how the Top was formed into 2 quarters by manipualting twice into the High. This is how I think the bottom will now form also, by manipulating into the Low into 2 quarters. Therefore, the bottom will be possible to have either in July or in October. No expansion next quarter means bottom in July. Expansion next quarter means bottom in October.






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GOLD I'd like to see continued selling pressure after a small pullback.