Andrew

The current plan is to strike and weaken Iran's forces for a month, then seize or blockade Kharg Island to force Iran into talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and surrender. This is a terrible idea with zero chance of working: 1) That "month of degrading" is a month of continued global economic damage from the closed strait. Then talks will mean more time for the global economy to feel pain. That works in Iran's favor. It plays into their hands. 2) It doesn't actually work. Iran can just shut off oil production; holding the island doesn't force them to reopen anything. 3) The shooting ducks problem. Occupying an island 15 miles off the Iranian coast puts soldiers in an extremely exposed position 4) Why would Iran negotiate? If you've already bombed their island and seized it, what's their incentive to negotiate rather than escalate? They are already in crisis. Their best weapon is to put the US in crisis too. There is no clear mechanism by which holding Kharg Island translates to a peace deal on US terms. 5) Mission creep. Once you put troops on Iranian soil, even a small island, you've crossed a threshold that's very hard to walk back. Iran has to respond or look completely defeated domestically. Then the US has to respond to that response. And suddenly you're in a ground war with Iran that nobody voted for and nobody has a plan to end. The American plan is as bad as it could be. It will take an awful situation and make it worse. The best thing the US can do is cut its losses and declare victory.

Man I bought $SPY puts around 674-672 yesterday and showed on here. And some people missed it.

here we go again. It’s a pretty common theme to attack me and discredit everything I do, regardless of what I share to prove otherwise. Why? Because it gains traction for all the influencers. i wanted to address the “paper trading” allegations on X, but before i do i want to point out that the ones capitalizing on the engagement are the same ones who have flip flopped their narrative on me again and again. the same people saying i’m a paper trader suddenly decide my trading is real when im losing or in drawdown. whatever positioning gets them the most engagement is the narrative they run with. I’ve been trading for 11 years now and have a longer track record than most in this space. If you go back and watch my YouTube videos you’ll see my broker statements presented. I can appreciate healthy skepticism and will continue to show the statements to those it benefits. Now let’s address the paper trading allegation. A video is floating around that I posted where you see “paper trading” on my screen. Yes, I had paper trading open. But why is the first assumption that I’m a paper trader? Am I not allowed to open paper trading? If I do, I’m immediately a paper trader? That window was open because I tell everyone in my community to paper trade first and I walk them through how to do it. See the attached video that I recorded for my community where you can clearly see paper trading open while I’m walking them through TradingView paper trading. Now let’s assume I’m lying about that and people still want to call me a paper trader simply because I had paper trading open while teaching my community. That would mean I don’t trade real money and that I’m not profitable. Well I’ve posted my broker statements for the last four years, all on YouTube. See attached. Let’s also address my recent trade where I made $18k. When I posted it, people on X said it was fake and that it was paper trading because of certain settings. Here is the attached order ID number for that trade. I’m up $57k this year so far and I’ve stopped sharing trades and updates with the trading community because regardless of whether I share or not, people will continue to come at me because it gets views. All items are attached below. I’ll make a YouTube video soon to address this as well. But give it a break at this point.

I see many people mocking him & that makes me sad. We ALL make mistakes trading. I BLEW my entire account on a SINGLE options trade in April of 2000 after having a multi-year run of gains. I did advise him twice last week to take a breather & not trade so often. But we're all human. We all have to learn the painful lessons that trading teaches. I'm hoping he comes back stronger. 🤝