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Andy Raskin
4.4K posts

Andy Raskin
@araskin
Strategic narrative
Oakland, CA Katılım Ağustos 2007
2.9K Takip Edilen11.2K Takipçiler

you can overcome any frustration in life by listening to this song youtube.com/watch?v=Z3oY4B…

YouTube
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The #pluribus hive mind apparently knows everything except "press # to skip this message"
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@FounderCoHo And then once you have alignment on the pitch, it drives alignment on so much — sales and marketing, but also product direction, fundraising, recruiting, culture, everything
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@FounderCoHo I wouldn't say that you need alignment *more* than a better pitch but rather that the most difficult part of getting to a great pitch (for a large team) is alignment
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Loved Nakadai's performances so much. This NY Times obit, however, leaves out my favorite — his lead role in the 1962 "Seppuku" ("Harakiri" in the US) nytimes.com/2025/11/11/mov…
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@MandellConway @Medium @Zuora @tientzuo I recorded this talk in 2023 — you can think of it as an update on the framework linkedin.com/posts/andyrask…
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@ttunguz Yes publisher creates the value. Used to be search engine mediated between consumer and publisher, somewhat screwing publisher out of value. Now AI (or AI-annotated search engine) still mediates but publisher gets more screwed out of value
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@araskin Well, I would think the publisher is the creator of value, at least in a lot of cases.
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In 1999, the dotcoms were valued on traffic. IPO metrics revolved around eyeballs.
Then Google launched AdWords, an ad model predicated on clicks, & built a $273b business in 2024.
But that might all be about to change : Pew Research’s July 2025 studyreveals users click just 8% of search results with AI summaries, versus 15% without - a 47% reduction. Only 1% click through from within AI summaries.
Cloudflare data shows AI platforms crawl content far more than they refer traffic back : Anthropic crawls 32,400 pages for every 1 referral, while traditional search engines scan content just a couple times per visitor sent.
The expense of serving content to the AI crawlers may not be huge if it’s mostly text.
The bigger point is AI systems disintermediate the user & publisher relationship. Users prefer aggregated AI answers over clicking through websites to find their answers.
It’s logical that most websites should expect less traffic. How will your website & your business handle it?
Sources:
- Pew Research Center - Athena Chapekis, July 22, 2025 (pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…)
- Cloudflare: The crawl before the fall of referrals (blog.cloudflare.com/ai-search-craw…)
- Cloudflare Radar: AI Insights - Crawl to Refer Ratio (#crawl-to-refer-ratio" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">radar.cloudflare.com/ai-insights#cr…)
- Podcast: The Shifting Value of Content in the AI Age (podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…)
tomtunguz.com/who-is-talking…

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The camera was better than humans at a narrow range of capabilities. AI will soon be better than humans at most/all capabilities (including leveraging AI). I hope the way previous innovations played out is significantly predictive, but it's not clear to me that it will be.
Garry Tan@garrytan
AI is like the advent of the camera - when that came out, visual arts didn't go away— it grew. There were new skills and far more appreciation for visual arts, not less. New industries like cinema sprang up. We are just learning what those will be now.
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@ninja_padrino visiting tokyo next summer for the first time since livng there during the 90s, so assuming most places I knew/loved are gone — thank you for this
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Just created a new ‘Best eats in Tokyo’ board, this time breaking down categories to feature more varieties and shops across Tokyo - let me know if you have other ideas or category suggestions
pin.it/40drCx2
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"The best ideas are extremely fragile and there is an unbelievable amount of value in figuring out a setup for not killing very fragile but potentially very great ideas."
~ @sama from @OpenAI
This is one of the the biggest lessons I've learned in my professional career.
The more potential an idea has to be something big and impactful, the more fragile that idea is, and will need to be defended. This is because there are lots of brilliant people in the world that will come up with brilliant reasons why any given idea will not work.
What's particularly problematic is that these brilliant people will be right most of the time.
Here's the challenge:
If we allow every controversial idea to get killed by well-intentioned criticism, we will miss the brilliant ones.
It's hard to know a priori which ideas are brilliant, and which ones are not. Most brilliant ideas are not *born* as brilliant ideas but grow up into brilliant ideas because someone decided to try them, iterate on them and maintained the courage of their conviction all along the way.
Success is about guarding those fragile ideas so they have a chance to turn into something fantastic.
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@robertsietsema Wow I used to go there as a kid. Do they still have tables for eating in?
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Words that I and @nprfreshair Terry Gross say that reveal our Brooklyn roots:
inaugural/inauguration
daughter
(sometimes) law
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