Arthur Kroeber

@RnaudBertrand Fyi @RnaudBertrand Bill Bishop's Sinocism posted a translation and comment on this document the day it was published.

This is an extraordinary document written by the research arm of China's spy agency (the powerful MSS, basically the CIA and the FBI all wrapped in one) that absolutely zero media has picked up on. As far as I can see, I'm the first person to write about it even though it was published (in Chinese) on May 13th on chinadiplomacy.org.cn, a website of China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The document contains perhaps the most authoritative description of where China thinks its relationship with the U.S. stands, and where it’s headed. The title of the report is “The Great Global Transformation and the Path to U.S.–China Coexistence” and I provide a full translation of it in my article, the link of which is at the bottom of this post. To summarize briefly the most important - and, perhaps, surprising - aspect of the document: China's spy agency - the one institution whose entire job is to worry about the U.S. threat - has largely stopped worrying. That's really what transpires from the document. They use a strategic framework borrowed from Mao's "protracted war" theory and, according to this framework, America's offensive phase is finished and China weathered the storm intact. The question is no longer "how do we survive America?" but "how do we manage America?" - and they're proposing a six-step relationship recovery program. I'll let you read the full document as well as my analysis of it here: open.substack.com/pub/arnaudbert…

Good luck @RedPillMediaX

@Noahpinion This may or may not be correct but the argument even if poorly expressed is coherent.

Progressive anti-neoliberalism is not going to work. But that doesn't mean Democrats should entirely return to the policies of Bill Clinton. noahpinion.blog/p/should-democ…

@Noahpinion So yes big chains charge less for eggs but the bad result is the indies go out of business=>food deserts.

@Noahpinion Noah, on grocery stores you should at least address the argument Teachout actually makes, which is that failure to enforce Robinson-Patman enables big chains to get illegal preferential discounts (not just bulk discounts) for which wholesalers compensate by charging indies more

@beijingscribe It's that ol' Shanghai magic

a) this is crazy. b) it's also amazingly efficient c) how accurate can it be?

Gavekal Dragonomics is hiring a China macroeconomist. We're looking for a smart, creative person with a strong knowledge of how China's economy works and an interest in being part of a world-leading research team. Job description attached. # #china #econ…lnkd.in/d8icFMf

#hiring Gavekal is hiring for its research teams in Hong Kong and Beijing. Three positions are open: - Deputy China editor (Beijing) - China finance sector analyst (Beijing or Hong Kong) - Emerging Markets economist/strategist (Hong Kong) For more info on…lnkd.in/dhQQ9Cb

Whois@triptilahiri

@KennedyCSIS very good typology, but are you suggesting a United Front? I say, let a hundred flowers bloom...

A couple of interviews china-economy-book.com/2016/06/21/a-c…

Q&A with Quartz china-economy-book.com/2016/05/05/qa-…

Agree w/ F. Sisci's excellent piece: China must recognize cooperation with rest of world is not the enemy. capx.co/china-at-the-c…

Q&A with the New York Times china-economy-book.com/2016/05/05/qa-… via @arkroeber

Q&A with the New York Times china-economy-book.com/2016/05/05/qa-…

Review in The Economist china-economy-book.com/2016/04/29/rev…

Yet more on the Japan trap china-economy-book.com/2016/04/29/yet…

@niubi Xi ought to make the rest of the economy more like the internet. Instead he's making the internet more like everything else. Sad.

More on the Japan trap china-economy-book.com/2016/04/14/mor…

More on the Japan trap china-economy-book.com/2016/04/14/mor…