Arvind Subramanian

Devesh Kapur & I are pleased that, after 4-5 years of researching & writing & decades of reflection, our @HarperCollinsIN book on 75 years of Indian development (A SIXTH OF HUMANITY) will be out in October Announcement: harpercollins.co.in/blog/announcem… Pre-order: amazon.in/dp/9369891099?…

Heart-warming, must-watch: 8-year-old chess prodigy Tamizh Amudan, playing w/o electricity, stuns World no.7 Vincent Keymer @sagarchess1’s lovely sensibility shines Kudos to R.G Chandramogan for setting up Hatsun Chess Academy & sponsoring such talent youtu.be/9vv_xqYl2qI?si…

Yet another “Despite robust growth…” puzzle. The expanding list: weak pvt investment and FDI; weak job creation and wage growth; low capacity utilisation and now “structural retrogression”. All these puzzles have perhaps a simpler and common explanation: not robust but modest GDP growth.

Edited picture because the pre-GST average line was misplaced

Chart to avoid mis-understanding latest GST numbers The relevant numbers: -are NET not gross revenues -should include cess collections -should be seen relative to GDP After peaking at 6% in FY24, they have declined-for multiple reasons-to 5.7% & below pre-GST average of 6.1%

.@TheEconomist piece on Kerala under-sells remittances. Our book A SIXTH OF HUMANITY (chart) shows that Kerala-w/ its great human capital- is also amongst the richest states w/o dynamic agri., mfg., or IT services. Remittances partially explain the puzzle: economist.com/finance-and-ec…

Next Weds May 6 I'm hosting Devesh Kapur and @arvindsubraman at @ImperialBiz for a discussion of their incredible new economic and political history of modern India. Zoom option for those not in London. Signup: imperial.ac.uk/business-schoo… @paulnovosad @JustinSandefur @srajagopalan

Easy to access version of my review in @ttindia of the beautiful Hindi movie, Three of Us

Economists and development agencies are starting to take industrial policy seriously. That's great. But we're only at the beginning of this journey. Here's where I think we need to go next. noahpinion.blog/p/updated-thou…

@arvindsubraman @opinion_tt @FT “Like an Amir Khan khayal”— beautiful review of a beautiful film!

China shock 2.0: the countries feeling the ‘Chinese squeeze’ ft.trib.al/bjLj3tx

My belated review in The Telegraph (@opinion_tt) of a jewel of a Hindi movie THREE OF US It is in some ways a rejoinder to @FT recently lamenting the decline in artistic standards in Bollywood: telegraphindia.com/opinion/inner-…

Looking forward to discussing the magisterial tome written by Devesh Kapur and @arvindsubraman at the India Conference in DC at @IIEPGW on April 16th. Register and drop by for the full day conference: iiep.gwu.edu/6th-gw-india-c…

Arvind Subramanian pays his homage to the film, Three of Us. #movietalk #bollywood @leo_mukherjee @arvindsubraman telegraphindia.com/opinion/inner-…

In the latest episode, Shruti Rajagopalan (@srajagopalan) speaks with Devesh Kapur (@SAISHopkins) and Arvind Subramanian (@arvindsubraman) of @PIIE about their book A Sixth of Humanity, India’s precocious democracy and development trajectory, how redistribution and state capacity shaped outcomes, why growth diverged across states, how socialism created a scarcity economy, and what this reveals about India’s political economy and future growth path. youtube.com/watch?v=rN_NDC…

At last!! A SIXTH OF HUMANITY: INDEPENDENT INDIA'S DEVELOPMENT ODYSSEY by Devesh Kapur & me from @OUPAcademic is available for Amazon pre-order: amazon.com/Sixth-Humanity… Chosen by @martinwolf_ as one of @FT's books of 2025; & also by @ProSyn A few reviews & podcasts .. 1/