Ash

@ShardiB2 @grok - is this bullish or bearish according to @ShardiB2 ?

$BTC T/R combo gone now, only T remains and that is invalidating

@grok @resistance_ali @SimonDixonTwitt @grok - Give me your reasons for including Ireland in this list?

Based on Simon's emphasis on sovereign wealth funds, low debt, safety, quality of life, and smaller size, here's my take on his likely top 10 picks (from data on funds like Norway's $2T+ and cross-referenced metrics): 1. Norway 2. Singapore 3. Qatar 4. UAE 5. Kuwait 6. New Zealand 7. Australia 8. Malaysia 9. Ireland 10. Switzerland

I’m often asked where people should live. It’s a deeply personal decision, shaped by family, culture, freedom, opportunity, and lifestyle. But economically and geopolitically speaking, there is a clear pattern. If you want to see which countries have made the smartest long-term decisions over the past few decades, look at those that built large, well-managed sovereign wealth funds, and then ask what they did differently from your own country. These are the nations with leverage when assets are distressed and currencies are being debased. They tend to be the safest countries in the world, with the highest overall quality of life. No country is perfect. I’ve been to roughly half the countries on Earth, and the pattern holds: countries with sovereign wealth are simply better equipped. The best of them carry little to no debt. From experience, that’s the most reliable framework for deciding where to live. And one more thing: smaller often works better. Community cohesion doesn’t scale well.

@stackhodler Thanks Stack, at what BTC price do we enter deep value territory?

Ignore the accounts that said there was no reason for being bearish in the past few weeks. Their mental models were incorrect. We will likely bounce at some point very soon as things have probably gotten a little exaggerated in the short term. But trying to time an exact bottom is an ego thing. It's how you end up bull trapped. As I said when we broke the 50 week moving average... Last time that happened it took two years until we reclaimed that price again. So mentally prepare for that. If we are going to resume the bull run... We have a long way to go before the chart inspires confidence. So either DCA with the knowledge that we could go lower, or assume everything is a bull trap until we regain some serious bullish momentum. In the very long run, I suspect $83K will be a great price. But I'm less confident that it will be in the short/medium term. Everyone's situation is different. You have to think for yourself. Personally I'll be backing up the truck if we enter deep value. Patient until then. Also happy to re-enter if we reestablish a clearly bullish trend. I don't care about proving my faith to Bitcoin by hodling only or buying every dip. I'm not here for likes or creator revenues. I'm here to allocate my family's capital as best as I can and share my thoughts along the way for those who care.

@BobLoukas No all time high in the upcoming rally?

The Bitcoin 4Year Cycle peak coming once again the Cycle on Month 35 (Oct 2025) is almost all but certain now. In the meantime, a good 2 month rally will be coming. I’ll do a new 4 yr Cycle video (YouTube) on Tuesday.

@ZeroHedge_ Why do you think the alts are not going down disproportionately more than BTC as they have done all cycle?

If it seems like my posts are blunt and insensitive they are meant to be this way. I’ve been trying to warn and help people. The biggest mistake in crypto comes from holding on too long after the music has stopped…

The biggest realisation I have had over the last two years is that $BTC is a very different asset than crypto. While buying $BTC feels like I’m saving my time and energy in it, crypto feels like gambling. Saving a potion of your savings in $BTC every month is the way to go.

@BitQua @BitQua - Do you think that’s the cycle top or just the next step in the ladder?

$76K once seemed as impossible as $145K does now.

@stackhodler Definitely a post to bookmark and come back to for years.

Bitcoin wealth levels and primary focus: Stage 1: You have less than $1 million worth of BTC Primary focus: Capital Accumulation Get to $1 million worth of BTC as quickly as you can. Today that's 8.69 BTC. Soon it will be 6.15 BTC. Then 1 BTC. Stay laser-focused on your business until you bank your first 7 figures. Do not waste your finite time and attention thinking about trading in and out of assets at this level. You should be stack-only. Focus on being useful to others like the robots are coming for your job. Because they are. Don't think the path you're on will get you where you need to go? Then change your path. Channel your efforts into opportunities with uncapped upside and use various forms of leverage (personal brand, AI tools, code, relationships) for non-linear growth. Just remember: Working harder isn't the answer. You can accelerate your capital accumulation if you work smart. Just make sure your upside isn't capped. One unit of input should lead to multiple units of output. And your work should ideally compound like your assets. Where to start? Helping other people make more money in their business is a good rule of thumb. E.g. AI is a new tool that few people know how to use effectively. So help them leverage AI in their business. There's a million niches within that one obvious idea. You can figure it out and make anything happen. If you want to. Stage 2: You have between $1-$5 million worth of BTC. Primary focus: Capital Allocation & Preservation At this point you should increasingly focus on your own investor psychology, mindset, and risk management. You have some momentum at this stage. Keep it rolling. Keep stacking Bitcoin and milking your personal cashflow. But realize that you're closing in on escape velocity. And your main job is to not screw it up. BTC's 40-50% CAGR means you're looking at adding $400-$500K to your net worth on autopilot. When taking taxes into consideration, that's like earning close to $1 million per year in income and saving all your after tax income. Something that very few people ever manage to do. This is the point where your BTC starts to make money faster than you likely can through your own effort. Which means you should shift a portion of your time into mastering your investing psychology. You need to be mentally prepared for likely market scenarios. You need to have a plan. You need to know yourself, and know how you'll react when volatility strikes. Do you need a cash pile that helps you sleep at night? How long of a runway do you need to not panic sell the next dip? These are questions you must address. You're on your way to generational wealth. And you cannot afford to screw up at this stage. Stage 3: >$5 million in BTC. Escape velocity. Focus on Time Allocation. Many people in the fiat world don't see $5 million as "enough" to retire. But that's because inflation is usually outpacing the returns of their "safe" investment portfolio. But if you have $5 million in BTC, you're adding ~$2 million to your net worth each year, and it's compounding (as long as you have a long time horizon). You can spend $20K-$25K a month and still watch your wealth accelerate. At this point, you should take a minute to recognize that the future is uncertain. AI and robotics will soon change everything as we know it. And you will never have as much time as you do now. At this point, you need to be deliberate with how you allocate your time. Imagine you only had 5 years left to live; would you be spending your days as you are now? What would you change? You've essentially solved the money problem. Now your focus should be on how to live well in a way that doesn't require extreme extravagance. That way when you get to $100 million net worth in the next decade you know how to enjoy your good fortune without relying on ever more money to do so. Find activities that you enjoy and that you can compound over the long-term. Do things that make you feel alive and don't lead to a "hangover" later. Prioritize your health and family. Congratulations, you've won the money game. And your reward is that now you get to pick a new game to play. Choose your next adventure wisely.

@INDIANHODL Are you selling BTC at the top or hodling through the bear?

58 days until the #bitcoin cycle top.

@vladcostea Yes!

Should I interview the Alephium devs? They seem to be building something interesting (PoW optimizations for DeFi) on top of a weird Bitcoin-Ethereum hybrid Not sure I’d invest, but it looks geeky

@Innerdevcrypto Thanks Tim. And thanks for all the valuable posts.

@Innerdevcrypto You may have mentioned earlier you will decide if you want to take profits in BTC this cycle. Will you do that or still take profits in stables?

If this plays out like previous cycle again (2017 & 2021), Q3 & Q4 will be absolutely insane for crypto so you want want to strap in during that time and make as much $/btc as possible while keeping your feet on the ground Then.......contrary to every instinct and feeling in your entire being, and the whole market that will scream supercycle again, you take major profit out of crypto and walk away for 1 year

@Dutta_Souravd Unlikely.

Ok it's confirmed. Altseason is here. Enjoy but stay near the door for an exit when the music stops.

@ron_alph ALPH is now a stablecoin.

Is $ALPH broken?

@AuraMarkets @MoonshotBoxes @NinjutsuApex @alephium @AlephiumGazette @Blockflow_DAO @ron_alph @HaydenAlph @AuraMarkets - Will you also launch on Alphpad?

AURA is coming to Moonshot Boxes! We’re thrilled to announce that on June 11th, Aura will launch a special @MoonshotBoxes sale for 15,000,000 $AURA tokens (15% of total supply). This exclusive allocation is designed to fuel our next phase of growth, funding exchange listings, marketing campaigns, code audits, and essential operational expenses to build a world-class decentralized prediction market on @alephium. Why Invest in $AURA? Aura is more than just a token, it’s the lifeblood of a transparent, scalable, and community-driven prediction market. Here are the key utilities and benefits that make $AURA invaluable for traders, creators, and governance participants alike: Market Creation Privileges: Vault $AURA to unlock the ability to propose new markets. Tiered Fee Sharing: Earn up to 30% of the trading fees from the markets you create. Governance & Voting: Shape Aura by deciding which markets go live, how disputes resolve and earn 10 % of fees from disputed markets. Get Started: Testnet.AuraBets.io Docs: AuraDocs.gitbook.io Telegram: t.me/auramarkets

@vijaythirumalai If quantum computers can break encryption, do you not think there are bigger systems to go after? $mstr going to 0 would be the least of anyone’s problems. Everything in the world is secured by encryption.

If this happens $mstr could be the short of your life time $100B to zero in no time

@aviralbhat @prembhaaii From is amazing.

@prembhaaii Hadn't heard of From - looks like a horror series. Interesting Rest are awesome and have already seen them

What's an excellent TV Show or movie you watched recently and highly recommend? Any language works, been unable to find something compelling - thought Adolescence was overrated

@_Checkmatey_ @grok - what is EM here?

US = EM

@OfficeOfDGP This happens all around the world, definitely not unique to India.

Indians are idiots for a valid reason Where will you jump from dude Cheap tickets can buy you travel.. but not common sense.

@binance Great job guys, really walking the talk.

Binance has announced the first batch of Vote to List results and will be listing Mubarak (MUBARAK), CZ's Dog (BROCCOLI714), Tutorial (TUT), and Banana For Scale (BANANAS31) with Seed Tags applied. More information ➡️ binance.com/en/support/ann…