
Atalantis7
4.4K posts

Atalantis7
@atalantis7
Not Financial Advice
Goblin Town Katılım Ağustos 2017
3K Takip Edilen14.4K Takipçiler


Mean reversion is tricky because you will get busted during strong trends. It has a high win rate, but you'll get steamrolled on outliers (it's like selling VOL). So, you should combine it with a trend following / momo set of strategies. That said, here's how I would go about developing a meanrev system:
1/ To get a high quality mean reversion signal it’s best to combine several (semi) independent features into a ranked forecast -/+20. These features could include:
- Price
- Relative price (e.g. SOL/BTC)
- Volume
- Volatility
- Aggregated Open Interest
- Spreads
- Liquidations
- CVD Divergences (Absorbtion)
2/ For each of these inputs you should develop + backtest a mean reversion strategy and then combine them into an overall forecast. You can equally weight them 1/N or weight them based on their P3M or P6M performance.
3/ The best mean reversion signals happen when multiple timeframes align. So, as not to overfit I would use geometrically spaced timeframes (30 min, 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) and combine them 1/N into a forecast for each feature. Then combine the different feature forecasts into an overall mean reversion forecast as mentioned under point 2/.
4/ Then create an hourly screener using python or even pine screener in tradingview to give you a universe of things you can trade.
5/ If you are click-trading these signals, I would also look at orderflow and passive orders before entering positions to increase your winrate/edge.
Hope that helps!
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@atalantis7 Hello! unrelated but do you have a way of ranking likelihood of reversion/quality of a setup when your system gives you multiple reversion signals? I have a hunch my signals are not created equal but I’m helpless filtering
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he basically said that the US equity market is all leverage. the semis/AI boom is driven by rotation from gains from software. equity rallies were financed by buybacks but now all cash is going into AI CAPEX and on top of the FCF hyperscalers have started tapping into debt to finance the buildout. The bust likely comes when these companies IPO and employee vesting cliffs (unlocks) are reached.
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one of the best interviews in a while. highly recommend. hints on how and when the bubble bursts 👌
DCP@Dcpcooks
The first ten min carry the best message I’ve heard in a long time
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Atalantis7 retweetledi

@playerwunza he’s just saying it pays to put in the hard work during bear markets and focus on crypto right now. while this may have been true in the past there is a hige opportunity coat of not participating in the .com 2.0
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listen to flood or camillo?
Chris Camillo@ChrisCamillo
Crypto traders, time to pivot your skillset? selfishly hope you don’t
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@MyFalseImage nah it’s just flows into earnings. dealers unwinding hedges imo
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@atalantis7 saved by STX strength. Agreed on the quarter though, guess street expected stronger guidance
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@short_cap yo-it’s generally -ve ev to advertise your short. why do it?
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$MWYN raising our stop to $1.14
We will
Not
Lose on this short
Benjamin Yo@short_cap
$MWYN we are short Stop loss $0.8 22% of float
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@atalantis7 miss ya bro,
We live on 3rd world country been rough.
But finally back to trading full time.
Got hired by a options desk.
I am them news guy, they trade single stock options
Gud stuff
Looking better now brother
@atalantis7 wish you the best man!
Salutes from Mexico! 🇲🇽
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I am still polishing some stuff but mostly done, I will be using this for my stack, Think is handy, You can spect improve on Analysis some signals.
I am not thinking on doing execution for now, but yes for the order books.
For now the MATCHING engine is just a taker, nothing complex, good as a toy, and compares with bid/ask,
Will improve with time.
Here is the github:github.com/Sylar963/OAgrr…
I also added new venues @Coincall_Global and @ThalexGlobal
We all know where the most volume is but worth watching.
it's Live" oggregator.xyz
taggin some chads
Creator: @0xdivergence
the gang : @JeffLia12309881 , @satoshiheist , @josedonato__ , @CL207 , @0xLoris , @Grand85 , @TealFinance, @loraclexyz missed some more

(Aladhi) 🕯️ 🕳️@FvckYourHedge
oggregator.xyz As I Promised my fork I up. You can make some paper plays. Tomorrow I will post the follow up correctly
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@Arya__Deniz selling call spreads or do you expect a breakdown today?
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@atalantis7 Will add there also - $CAR $1,000 is a gift for short sellers
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@Macroedg3 this is not only beta. there have been dozens of names that have been up-only since november
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@0xShual SNDK is probably a recent textbook example of this. you had so many 4% breakouts that ran for 3-5 days

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Momentum burst (4% breakout) is a very well known setup from Pradeep Bonde. Below is a quick summary for what he screens for. Key is really to find sectors that are breaking out and trade leaders or find stocks with catalyst/narratives (in play).
Universe Selection
- leading / narrative sectors
- stocks with relative strength vs. sector
- sectors: tech, biotech/health, consumer cyclicals
- price > 10 and < 100
- float < 20M shares
- mcap < $10bn
- liquidity > 100k shares daily volume
4% breakout Setup Filters
- linear moves : persistent institutional buying
- young trend : 1st or 2nd breakout from consolidation
- narrow day before breakout : lack / exhaustion of supply
- quality of consolidation : shallow pullbacks, low volume mean lack of sellers
- short consolidation : urgency of buyers (when > 10 days = lack of interest)
- close near the high on 4% breakout : persistent buying on breakout day
- not up 2 days in a row before breakout : stocks typically move in 3-5 day increments
You can refine this much further, but this is the basic gist of it.
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