august bear

750 posts

august bear banner
august bear

august bear

@augustxbear

Insightful commentary and in-depth analysis on business, technology, and finance from a retired professional and seasoned entrepreneur.

Katılım Kasım 2024
96 Takip Edilen59 Takipçiler
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
Not sure why Uber even tried to acquire Foodpanda, that would have it controlling 90% of market. Grab is a great app but it serves primarily in developing countries which means volatility. And the growth rates have slowed, still high but not quite the 30%-40% in the past. This is a great acquisition, food delivery is a huge market in Taiwan and Foodpanda is established taking some of the risk out. The ride share business will be tougher as public transportation is extensive and there are several players including LINE which is also a Super App.
English
0
0
0
44
amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$GRAB GRAB IS EXPANDING TO TAIWAN. They are scooping up FoodPanda’s delivery business in the region for $600M with the deal expected to close in H2 2026. Okay, I really like this. Here’s why: 1. The company has $6B in cash. We have been waiting for them to start using it in more strategic ways and this is one of the first expansions outside of SEA that makes sense given how synergistic the acquisition is to Grab’s overall business of delivery. Spending the cash pile they have on growth and expansion, especially if they can get discounted deals, is very good. 2. $UBER tried to buy this business for $1.25B last year. Regulators didn’t allow it. Grab is getting a 50% discount. 3. FoodPanda Taiwan did around $1.8B in GMV and is also profitable on an adjusted. EBITDA basis from last year. $GRAB did $14.2B of GMV last year so for $600M, they are adding 12% of GMV to the business in a profitable way. I really, really like this use of cash. Ultimately, I own $GRAB for the broader thesis around the SuperApp becoming much bigger and more entrenched in different parts of the world. They have the cash, are guiding for 20% topline and 40% ebitda growth for the next 3 years, and can use these deals to consolidate within various regions to create continued operating leverage. Their fintech business is going to begin showing significant leverage this year as well which should compound the overall growth. At these prices, I do think the stock is intrinsically undervalued BUT it is not in the thematic of drones/nuclear/energy/etc and the rising oil prices have been a very ugly headwind for them. Probably better opportunities out there short term but long term, these are the types of moves that continue to give me confidence as a shareholder.
Gab@GabGrowth

BREAKING: $GRAB has acquired Delivery Hero's FoodPanda Delivery Business in Taiwan. The deal has been agreed for $600 million in cash.

English
55
54
878
262.7K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
The market selling off hard today, no one believes the Trump narrative that the conflict in the Middle East is under control and will be over soon as he continues to rant about the lack of support and sends more troops to the area. His lack of business savvy is on full display.
English
0
0
0
10
Cole’s Trades
Cole’s Trades@ColesTrades·
I want to follow everyone that is buying $SOFI right now. Drop a comment if you’re buying!
English
104
1
173
11.1K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
@GrindeOptions Muddy Waters alleging financial engineering and hiding debt. They made accusations about $APP last year around fraud and scammy tactics. The name took a huge hit (Muddy Waters no doubt profited) but has since recovered.
English
0
0
6
2.1K
Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
Can someone explain to me like I’m 6 as to why $SOFI is crashing right now? 😳
Cole Grinde tweet media
English
372
52
671
397.9K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
Muddy Waters disclosed a short position on $SOFI alleging financial engineering with fees and Loan Platform Business and hiding $312 million in debt. This has sent the name down 6%. Muddy Waters is known for their investigative due diligence and short positions, their track record is mixed. SoFi Technologies was a Chamath SPAC.
English
0
0
0
271
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
SoFi is an all in one financial app focused on banking (savings, checking, and lending) and long term investing. Robinhood is more a trading platform. It includes access to riskier products like prediction markets and have more tools for active traders/investors. Different target audiences.
English
0
0
1
125
Jv
Jv@CoxEmpireHQ·
@rokajoska True but Robinhood can easily expand into what SoFi Technologies is doing they already have the users just more upside optionality imo
English
2
0
1
69
Robert Fekete
Robert Fekete@rokajoska·
$SOFI is a no brainer BUY here's why: - Noto’s $1M share purchase at $17.88 - Management guided for 30% revenue growth to $4.7B in 2026, they always sandbag... - Adjusted EBITDA up 52% to $1.6B and margins reaching 34%. - The stock only trades at 14x adjusted EBITDA targets for 2026, far below targeted growth rates. NFA of course...
Robert Fekete tweet mediaRobert Fekete tweet media
English
28
23
290
28.7K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
@Variety All of that was accomplished in his first stint as CEO. He stepped away in 2020 and his return in 2022 has not had as much success. It will be interesting to see how Josh D’Amaro does.
English
1
0
1
1.8K
Variety
Variety@Variety·
Bob Iger is stepping down as #Disney CEO tomorrow. Under his tenure, the company acquired three divisions that have generated massive returns: • Pixar (2006): $40B+ • Marvel (2009): $13B • Lucasfilm (2012): $12B Read more about Iger’s legacy: wp.me/pc8uak-1lH1AU
Variety tweet mediaVariety tweet mediaVariety tweet mediaVariety tweet media
English
232
334
2.7K
197.9K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
@canyoudugit8 @PauloMacro But that should still be a revision up from what was captured in the Bloomberg terminal which is showing total revenue. Blackwell and Rubin should make up a significant portion of that but Hopper and networking revenue are in that total.
English
1
0
0
33
Hoboken Squat Cobbler
Hoboken Squat Cobbler@canyoudugit8·
@augustxbear @PauloMacro No, he is playing numbers games, just like with his stupid GPU counts. He is saying the Blackwell and Rubin demand through the end on 2027, including the chips he already shipped. He is talking about total demand for all things called Blackwell or Rubin through the end of 2027.
English
1
0
1
59
Paulo Macro
Paulo Macro@PauloMacro·
This NVDA is hysterical First it's red bar *NVIDIA CEO SEES 2027 AT LEAST ONE TRILLION DOLLARS OF REVENUE Now it's $1T for 2025-27. Now look at the revenue line from bloomberg table... ummm $216bn 2025 + 364b 2026 + $470b 2027 = $1.05T did Jensen just guide down??
Paulo Macro tweet media
English
72
122
1.1K
271.4K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
Rivian has done a good job with reducing their vehicle costs and opened a new source of revenue with the VW partnership. This has allowed them to be gross margin profitable despite lower number of deliveries. The next step is to deploy the higher volume models and expanding the joint venture with VW who will be including the software into their 2027 models thereby unlocking more financing. Cash will be a problem if the R2 demand isn't there but so far, its been positively received.
English
0
0
0
152
Whole Mars Catalog
Whole Mars Catalog@wholemars·
Rivian believes that they have enough cash to continue operating for at least 12 months. Sooner or later (probably sometime this year) the company will have to raise "significant debt or equity financing" to continue on. Existing shareholders should expect dilution.
Whole Mars Catalog tweet media
English
46
14
326
23.7K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
@TheMaverickWS There has been much confusion around his statements, it seems like the $1 trillion is cumulative for Blackwell and Rubin series which means it covers 2025 to 2027. Still an impressive number and shows accelerating growth.
English
0
0
2
407
The Maverick of Wall Street
The Maverick of Wall Street@TheMaverickWS·
If Nvidia is projected to make $1T dollars in 2027 as CEO Huang says, then why are the company's executives selling shares instead of buying them? Market calls bullshit $NVDA
The Maverick of Wall Street tweet media
English
56
90
539
28.7K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
@jimcramer There is much confusion about the numbers which may explain the price action.
English
0
0
1
247
Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
Jensen just raises his $500 billion in demand through 2027 at $1 trillion!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Double from just a few months ago..
English
191
106
1.8K
385.8K
joe
joe@joe76905797·
@munster_gene It’s because growth is still growing, but it’s decelerating or it’s at least not accelerating
English
2
0
1
959
Gene Munster
Gene Munster@munster_gene·
The fact that Jensen guided CY27 revenue about 7% ahead of the Street, yet the stock only moved about 1% higher on the news, speaks to investors' willingness to believe. $NVDA
English
63
21
382
52.4K
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
NVIDIA's Jensen Huang says he currently sees $1 trillion worth of demand (of Blackwell and Rubin) through 2027. The stock sold off after a short pop. Some people have insane expectations. $NVDA
English
0
0
1
64
august bear
august bear@augustxbear·
Waymo has 2500 vehicles and providing 450k rides per week across 6 metro areas. Tesla operates in 2 cities with ~400 vehicles doing a few thousand rides. Huge scale gap. In autonomy, a traffic jam is a nuisance; a crash is a systemic failure. Tesla has a higher rate despite a fraction of the exposure.
English
1
0
0
20
cicohipe
cicohipe@cicohipe·
@augustxbear @hamids If that’s the only benchmark then sure, but there’s many other things to consider. Waymo frequently get stuck and have sensor dysphoria. These aren’t accidents but they can block traffic. Recently they infamously blocked emergency services for example.
English
1
0
0
22