austin cooper
399 posts


Will AI rival the industrial revolution? Is it already happening? Who’s going to win: DTC vs incumbents? @FoldesCraig (formerly Global Head of AI at Crocs) and @matthew_kruer (CIO, BISSELL) sat down with @Seanfrank (CEO, Ridge) to discuss: - How to rip 250 ads in 2 days - What executives should code - Why AI for the DTC “rebels” And most importantly, the best ways to grow your brand right now.

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Followers - I have been flooded with DM's and messages tonight about Tropical Storm #Juliette, or what is left of her. Some people now thing she is similar to TS #Hilary, 2 years ago. Folks, I have imputed my data into my Gen AI program, and this spit out. It is pretty accurate. Folks, Orange County northward, will not any rain.....no rain folks. San Diego County might get light showers off and on. Read below and this tells you why: Here’s why Southern California and the Los Angeles area likely won’t get much rain from Tropical Storm Juliette—mainly due to weak upper-level dynamics and unfavorable structure of the system: 1. Exposure and Vertical Structure Juliette’s low-level circulation is now fully exposed, meaning the system’s convection has become stripped away by southwesterly shear. This indicates a weak tropical cyclone in terms of vertical integrity. (National Hurricane Center, Zoom Earth) The forecast indicates that Juliette will continue weakening, transitioning into a remnant low by late Thursday and dissipating thereafter. As it weakens, it becomes a more shallow system, with the low-level steering flow dominating the future track. In simplified terms: without strong deep convection and vertical alignment, tropical systems struggle to produce organized widespread rainfall, especially far from the original center. 2. Upper-Level Dynamics and Shear Persistent southwesterly shear is disrupting the storm’s vertical structure and limiting continued convective development. That shear further prevents upward motion and breaks up moisture–cloud organization. Additionally, the environment around the cyclone is described as dry in the mid- to upper-levels and stable, which again suppresses convective activity. These conditions—high shear, dry and stable mid-/upper-levels—are not conducive to heavy rainfall, especially for regions not very near the cyclone’s core. 3. Moisture Transport and Steering While some residual mid- to upper-level moisture associated with the decaying system could advect northeastward over northwestern Mexico into parts of the southwestern United States, this moisture plume will be elevated, and not guaranteed to produce surface-reaching precipitation. Depending on the day and steering flow, the remnant low and its moisture plume may or may not track far enough north, and the steering influences shift to low-level flow. So while moisture might be present, it’s not organized into strong vertical motion or broad coverage, limiting how widespread or heavy any precipitation would be. 4. Likelihood of Rain in Southern California / Los Angeles Given these structural and environmental factors: Convection is limited and sheared apart, with weak vertical organization. The upper-level environment is generally dry and stable, which is unfavorable for developing precipitation. Folks, when you look at your radars tomorrow, and think, oh, it is going to rain, it won't, it is virga!! Moisture transport may occur at mid- to upper-levels, but isn't guaranteed to reach the surface or produce rainfall. The system is forecast to weaken further and dissipate, reducing its potential impact window. Any rain (if it occurs) could be isolated, possibly confined closer to Baja or northwestern Mexico, with uncertainty for Los Angeles County. 5. Caveats and Uncertainty Forecast models vary—some bring limited rainfall near the Mexico border or nearby coastal zones, others keep things dry over Southern California. The uncertainty is high. The remnant moisture may produce higher humidity, and cloud cover, but not necessarily meaningful precipitation. There's some possibility of dry lightning or thunderstorms, especially if the moisture plume intersects with topographical or local instability, but this is not a given for Los Angeles County Rip currents and surf impacts are more certain, particularly along Southern California beaches, due to wave energy propagation offshore, even in the absence of rain. Summary Table: Factor Effect on Rain Potential in SoCal/LA Vertical Structure Weak, sheared—limits convective organization Mid/Upper Environment Dry and stable—suppresses precipitation Moisture Transport Possible mid-level moisture—but not guaranteed to produce surface rain Timing/Track Steering uncertain; system weakening and dissipating rapidly Forecast Certainty Low—some models show isolated showers, others show dry conditions Conclusion: Due to weak upper-level dynamics, high wind shear, a dry and stable environment, and a decaying shallow remnant system, Southern California and Los Angeles are unlikely to experience widespread or significant rainfall from Tropical Storm Juliette. Any precipitation that does occur would likely be isolated, light, or confined to southernmost coastal regions—not a substantial or even a rain event for Los Angeles. Folks, there you have it. I have modeled thru the Euro ENS and the Euro AI for the #SoCal rain fall numbers thru this weekend. Folks, they are meager, at best. Look at the images below. Baja might get some decent rain, but event San Diego County looks pretty scarce at best. Nothing north of SDC on any of the models. Might a rogue storm hit for a few minutes, maybe, but this ain't Hilary from a few years ago. There ya have it folks, this not in a big rain event, or anything. Moving onward, warm weather will return for the next 6-10 days, as you see below. I do think, #California, and #Socal will be above average temps for September, but I am not seeing any huge heatwaves in the long range scope. I do think the #pnw will get some very warm weather in the extended, so something to keep an eye on. The midwest, Northeast, and southeast, look to be done with summer, as much below temps have taken over from the oppressive heat that everyone, (including me) had experienced. Crazy weather patterns now, as the wave-lengths have completely flipped 180 degrees. Will keep you posted!! More tomorrow.... #cawx #tropicalstorm


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