Pavel

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Pavel

Pavel

@baltabaev

Data Scientist & Management Consultant I build enterprise AI agents

New York, USA Katılım Kasım 2023
234 Takip Edilen788 Takipçiler
Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
1. Yes, we can use Lean toautomatically verify some (though not all) math solutions 2. The complexity comes from the many layers of abstraction and concepts needed to understand these problems and proofs. The jump from 2+2=4 to linear algebra and calculus is smaller than the jump from linear algebra and calculus to this.
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Artemonim
Artemonim@Artemonim·
@baltabaev Can you explain, for someone who's bad at math, what makes verification so difficult? Like, can't you just write a deterministic algorithm that will just calculate whether it's true or false?
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
I’ve spent well over 10,000 hours studying math in my life, yet I can’t understand these proofs, at least not without weeks of digging deep into each topic. What’s more, none of my math PhD friends know much about these problems either, and they can’t verify most of them without working directly in the field (yes, math is VERY diverse). LLMs are getting smarter than the experts themselves, and I’m not sure we have enough bright human minds to verify everything that will come out of them in the coming years. Remember when we compared AI intelligence to PhD students? I think we’re past that.
Noam Brown@polynoamial

An internal version of Astra, @OpenAI’s next major model family, solved 10 major open problems in mathematics, quantum complexity, and theoretical computer science. We believe it will be a major step for scientific reasoning. openai.com/index/ten-adva…

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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@bigmrrobert In math some solutions can be expressed in a formal language (Lean) and automatically verified which helps to avoid the need of human verification but otherwise these problems level of expertise required is increasing dramatically
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@bigmrrobert There are people who can validate it in reasonable time but these experts are very few. Probably hundreds globally for most of these problems. Random math PhD won’t be able to tell within 1-2 hours because they work in a different domain.
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@SlavaOPs Don’t get me wrong, I don’t question these results. Lean is super helpful but my understanding that not all problems/solutions can be converted to Lean. And then how we do it beyond Math.
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Vyacheslav Ops
Vyacheslav Ops@SlavaOPs·
The irony: Astra's proofs are actually the easy case for verification — Lean certificates make them machine-checkable, binary pass/fail. Compare that to verifying an AI agent's actions in production: no formal certificate, no clean proof object, just logs and hope. If we can't keep up with verified math, we're nowhere close to verifying unverified agent behavior at scale. TRIGGER→DO→VERIFY→STOP isn't optional anymore, it's the only thing standing between you and finding out the hard way.
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
We had 2 quarters of financial markets penalizing companies for data center Capex and over indexing on short-term FCF. Based on MAG7 reports in the last 24 hours, I think it’s shifting.
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@AndrewCurran_ Gpt-5.6 Sol was the best OAI release in the last year and it shows
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Andrew Curran
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·
In an internal meeting today, OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar told employees that OpenAI's ARR in July exceeded the entire second quarter of 2026.
Andrew Curran tweet media
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@pitdesi Funny enough, we almost hit our friend’s Tesla at a very similar spot in SF using FSD. The worst part that it tried to park in a stranger’s garage vs. road.
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
found out the hard way that FSD is bad at parking
Sheel Mohnot tweet media
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
Remember OpenClaw?
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Molly O’Shea
Molly O’Shea@MollySOShea·
David @friedberg explains the rise of socialism and the hypocrisy of @RoKhanna: "It's a lot easier to claim an enemy and get elected, than it is to fix a difficult policy problem." "Ro Khanna is the perfect example of this." "This is some dude who has a $300M net worth. His children have memberships at 3 country clubs." "The dude lives in a $10M house in Washington, DC." "And he used to be the moderate Silicon Valley guy who would go around to all the tech CEOs and founders and VCs and be like, 'Give me your money. I'm a moderate. We're going to make the Democratic Party work for you.'" "Then he saw the tides change, and he's like, 'Oh, this is yum, yum. I'm going to run for president in 2028.'" "Just to be clear on this, he is so unlikable, I think he'll likely end up being Secretary of Housing and Urban Development if AOC is elected president." "I do not disagree with him or Gavin or anyone else that tax policy in America is fucked up." "When billionaires borrow against their unrealized capital gains, they should pay capital gains tax. Capital gains tax should be 40%, not 15% or 18% or 20%. In fact, labor should pay less. Income tax should be much lower. Capital gains should be much higher. That would be a fair tax policy." "I don't know a lot of people who are wealthy who will look me in the eye and truly disagree with that." "It's a lot of bullshit when we all say, 'It incentivizes investment.' Great, it incentivizes investment. What are you going to do with your excess capital if the tax rate is 40% versus 20%? You're not gonna invest it now? Of course you're going to fucking invest it." "But instead of those practical solutions like I just laid out, they're all like, 'Let's go fire up the fucking socialist train because it's worked so well in fucking Cuba and Venezuela and the Soviet Union and all these other places.'" "What both parties are missing is a policy agenda that says: Here's the shit we have to do to keep America from going down the socialist death spiral. And they all should be fucking doing it, both sides."
Molly O’Shea@MollySOShea

BREAKING: David @friedberg on America vs Socialism FULL INTERVIEW Exposing the underlying problems no one wants to talk about. How the bottom 50% got left behind. "I don't blame Americans for finding themselves in the situation that they're in. I blame the bad policy that brought us to this moment." "Americans should feel good about America. We just have to fix the policies." "This can't just be a CCP psyop. It's coming from a place of hurt, of turmoil, of fundamental struggle." "I'm saying everyone is right, but we need to be honest about what has happened to get us here & what the right path is to get us out of it." We cover: › Real wealth data: $183T total US net worth, $8T held by billionaires, $4T by the bottom 50% › The 1982 Social Security mistake that cost the bottom 50% an extra $37 trillion (vs bankrupt !!!) › Why capital gains & labor taxes should reverse › Wealth tax as asset seizure › Invest America for Children, a 401(k) from birth, & flipping Social Security into equities › Joe Lonsdale: paying taxes that actually work 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 (00:00) David Friedberg, CEO at Ohalo Genetics & Co-Host at All-In (01:11) Is California functionally bankrupt? (02:28) The real reason Americans can't afford anything anymore (12:13) Why a wealth tax is really government theft (21:22) Why blaming billionaires is a political strategy, not a solution (25:33) How Socialism grows like a virus (30:40) Inside Trump Accounts: a 401(k) for every American (34:22) Why rational arguments can't compete with viral outrage (40:56) Jeff Bezos's radical fix for the wealth gap (45:47) 5 years till Social Security is bankrupt (46:35) Is AI actually coming for your job? (50:29) The K-shaped economy (55:39) Five things America needs to fix to survive (59:21) David's research process (1:02:54) "It's about making Americans feel good again"

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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@DmitryRybin1 The “think macrohard make no mistakes” meme went out of control with this one. Amazing.
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Dmitry Rybin
Dmitry Rybin@DmitryRybin1·
Dinitz-Garg-Goemans conjecture is false. This graph theory problem was open for ~30 years. The graph below has fractional flow cost 58. Any unsplittable flow (with capacity violation <=15) has cost at least 60. Chat with GPT 5.6 Pro where this was found: chatgpt.com/share/6a60b2eb…
Dmitry Rybin tweet media
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BuccoCapital Bloke
BuccoCapital Bloke@buccocapital·
Good point from a locked account: Prepare for VCs to be increasingly loud about the importance of open source + right for US companies to distill models This is because a world where most AI value accrues to the frontier labs makes the VC job difficult, if not impossible
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
Regardless of what kind of prompt chain and tool usage led to this discovery, it’s very impressive for an LLM to discover such counterexample given it’s not something you can grid search. I feel like we’re experiencing another major Leap in AI intelligence with Fable / Sol 5.6 / Kimi K3 after Opus 4.5 release last year.
levent@__alpoge__

hello there the jacobian conjecture is false thanx to my close friend akhil for asking about it and my other close friend fable for working during the world cup final ((1+xy)^3 z + y^2 (1+xy) (4+3xy), y + 3 x (1+xy)^2 z + 3 x y^2 (4+3xy), 2 x - 3 x^2 y - x^3 z): \C^3\to \C^3, has jacobian determinant -2, and sends (0, 0, -1/4), (1, -3/2, 13/2), and (-1, 3/2, 13/2) to (-1/4, 0, 0)

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SON LAİK BÜKÜCÜ 🇹🇷
SON LAİK BÜKÜCÜ 🇹🇷@TheLaikYobaz·
İspanya Başbakanı Pedro Sánchez ve ABD Başkanı Donald Trump final maçında bir araya geldi. Bunların arası kötü değil miydi?
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@stevehou True! There are years of agentic build and adoption to come to reach true potential.
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Steve Hou
Steve Hou@stevehou·
Unpopular opinion: AI basically became useful for enterprise use early this year with agentic AI acceleration. Everything before was basically consumer and hobbyist. 2026 is year 0 for AI enterprise use. So why would anyone have expected measurable productivity increase already.
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Pavel
Pavel@baltabaev·
@hollyoxcoburn @SenSanders Not saying it's solving anything, but this is the worst tax alternative out there, and here's my argument. A wealth tax is simply a populist move: the goal isn't to fund social programs, it's to make people feel "justice," fueled by jealousy.
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Holly
Holly@hollyoxcoburn·
@baltabaev @SenSanders How is confiscating others' earned income solving any issue? When is the arbitrary taxation enough? What has govt managed well? Please name just one sector, sir.
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Sen. Bernie Sanders
Sen. Bernie Sanders@SenSanders·
Sergey Brin is worth $276 billion. He could save healthcare for 3 million people. Instead, he’s spending $82 million against California’s 5% billionaire wealth tax. He’d rather see low-income Americans die & suffer than pay his fair share of taxes. That is a moral obscenity.
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