
BayFolio
622 posts

BayFolio
@bayfolio
Your trusted #mutualfund investment partner for hassle-free investing: • Read 👉🏼 https://t.co/FhXuKTMbJK • Rate 👉🏼 https://t.co/PdtEPKPAqt • Watch #buildingbayfolio


People will tell you that they never ask you to sell. My question is why sell if you don't need the money for a long time? Just as an example, this is one of the oldest funds in my portfolio. Started SIPs in 2012. You can see the transaction dates. The portfolio XIRR is 13.61%, even after the current correction. Not a single unit sold till date. That's the point of long term investing. You read multiple books. Think you are smart and will follow the principles of the book but get carried away with news and people peddling their own agendas during such markets. What did Morgan Housel say in Pyschology of money? "Define the cost of success and be ready to pay it. Because nothing worthwhile is free. And remember that most financial costs don’t have visible price tags. Uncertainty, doubt, and regret are common costs in the finance world. They’re often worth paying. But you have to view them as fees (a price worth paying to get something nice in exchange) rather than fines (a penalty you should avoid)." "If you want to do better as an investor, the single most powerful thing you can do is increase your time horizon. Time is the most powerful force in investing. It makes little things grow big and big mistakes fade away. It can’t neutralize luck and risk, but it pushes results closer towards what people deserve."








🌎 Citrini Research just dropped a provocative thesis: ⚠ We’re heading toward a “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis.” ⚠ ➡ The core idea? AI is making intelligence abundant — and the global economy isn’t built for that. Here’s the breakdown 👇 1/🧠 AI agents are removing friction everywhere. *By 2026–27: • Autonomous AI handles shopping, taxes, insurance, legal work • Commerce shifts to automated optimization • Industries built on complexity & information asymmetry collapse 2/💼 White-collar displacement accelerates. AI replaces knowledge work → Displaced professionals move down the wage ladder → Labor supply rises → Wages compress across sectors. *This spreads beyond tech. 3/🏢 SaaS & private credit are exposed. Many leveraged software deals assumed perpetual growth. But AI reduces demand for service-heavy SaaS. *Results: • Downgrades • Defaults • Risk repricing 4/🏠 Households weaken quietly. Prime borrowers still pay mortgages… But they’re tapping savings & credit. Income compression → Spending slows → Debt-to-income rises. 5/ 🔁 A negative loop forms: AI → layoffs → lower income → weaker demand → more automation → repeat. At the same time: Income stress → tighter credit → weaker wealth effect → slower economy. 6/ 🏛 Governments face structural strain. Tax systems rely on labor income. AI shifts income toward capital & compute. Less payroll tax. More pressure on safety nets. ⚠ The big idea: For 200 years, human intelligence was scarce. Now it isn’t. The report argues we’re entering a painful repricing as “intelligence premium” unwinds. Not necessarily collapse — but transition. Agree or not, the thesis is clear: AI isn’t just a tech cycle. It’s a macroeconomic restructuring event. Worth thinking about. *Link: citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic




Direct mutual funds subsidized by cross-selling other products was the default fintech model. It failed, except where F&O was sold. Now many fintechs are nudging mutual fund customers back into regular plans. Fee vs 'free'. Story by @PosteAnil in thefynprint.com magazine










A few clarifications on change in SGB taxation Selling your SGBs on the secondary market before April 1, 2026 won’t help save taxes. Because sales in the secondary markets are taxable even now. At your marginal tax rate for holding period < 1 year. At 12.5% for holding period > 1 year. Yes, if your SGB is trading at a sharp premium, you can benefit from price deviation by selling in the secondary market. You will not get any tax benefit. Capital gains will be taxed. Buying SGBs in the secondary market won’t help either. Why? Because you buy SGB in the secondary market, you have no way out. Your gains on maturity, surrender during premature withdrawal window, or secondary market sales will be taxed as capital gains. If you bought SGBs during primary issuance, you do not have to worry. You can avoid paying taxes by simply holding the bonds until maturity. As I understand (but am not sure), the only SGBs (bought in the secondary market) that are still exempt from capital gains are those: 1. Are maturing before April 1, 2026 OR 2. That have premature withdrawal window available before April 1, 2026, and you redeem those bonds with RBI during that window. #Budget2026 #SGBs #Gold






