Bobby

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Bobby

Bobby

@bbpla1201

Fell in love with trading. Lifts weights in spare time. Borderline anarchist. Anti-stupid. Embrace all the uncertainties of life. Out the gutter, On the go.

South Korea Katılım Mayıs 2025
136 Takip Edilen17 Takipçiler
Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@CFlanders7 So true. Yes, risk management is the big one that everyone stresses about, and rightly so, but the selling is something that always creates doubt.
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Christian Flanders
Christian Flanders@CFlanders7·
In my opinion, it's the hardest part of trading. Holding onto winners.
Christian Flanders@CFlanders7

Every single time I think about holding onto my winners I come back to this passage. "His name was Partridge, but they nicknamed him Turkey behind his back, because he was so thick-chested and had a habit of strutting about the various rooms, with the point of his chin resting on his breast. The customers, who were all eager to be shoved and forced into doing things so as to lay the blame for failure on others, used to go to old Partridge and tell him what some friend of a friend of an insider had advised them to do in a certain stock. They would tell him what they had not done with the tip so he would tell them what they ought to do. But whether the tip they had was to buy or to sell, the old chap's answer was always the same. The customer would finish the tale of his perplexity and then ask: "What do you think I ought to do?" Old Turkey would cock his head to one side, contemplate his fellow customer with a fatherly smile, and finally he would say very impressively, "You know, it's a bull market!" Time and again I heard him say, "Well, this is a bull market, you know!" as though he were giving to you a priceless talisman wrapped up in a million-dollar accident-insurance policy. And of course I did not get his meaning. One day a fellow named Elmer Harwood rushed into the office, wrote out an order and gave it to the clerk. Then he rushed over to where Mr. Partridge was listening politely to John Fanning's story of the time he overheard Keene give an order to one of his brokers and all that John made was a measly three points on a hundred shares and of course the stock had to go up twenty-four points in three days right after John sold out. It was at least the fourth time that John had told him that tale of woe, but old Turkey was smiling as sympathetically as if it was the first time he heard it. Well, Elmer made for the old man and, without a word of apology to John Fanning, told Turkey, "Mr. Partridge, I have just sold my Climax Motors. My people say the market is entitled to a reaction and that I'll be able to buy it back cheaper. So you'd better do likewise. That is, if you've still got yours." Elmer looked suspiciously at the man to whom he had given the original tip to buy. The amateur, or gratuitous, tipster always thinks he owns the receiver of his tip body and soul, even before he knows how the tip is going to turn out. "Yes, Mr. Harwood, I still have it. Of course!" said Turkey gratefully. It was nice of Elmer to think of the old chap. "Well, now is the time to take your profit and get in again on the next dip," said Elmer, as if he had just made out the deposit slip for the old man. Failing to perceive enthusiastic gratitude in the beneficiary's face Elmer went on: "I have just sold every share I owned!" From his voice and manner you would have conservatively estimated it at ten thousand shares. But Mr. Partridge shook his head regretfully and whined, "No! No! I can't do that!" "What?" yelled Elmer. "I simply can't!" said Mr. Partridge. He was in great trouble. "Didn't I give you the tip to buy it?" "You did, Mr. Harwood, and I am very grateful to you. Indeed, I am, sir. But --" "Hold on! Let me talk! And didn't that stock go up seven points in ten days? Didn't it?" "It did, and I am much obliged to you, my dear boy. But I couldn't think of selling that stock." "You couldn't?" asked Elmer, beginning to look doubtful himself. It is a habit with most tip givers to be tip takers. "No, I couldn't." "Why not?" And Elmer drew nearer. "Why, this is a bull market!" The old fellow said it as though he had given a long and detailed explanation. "That's all right," said Elmer, looking angry because of his disappointment. "I know this is a bull market as well as you do. But you'd better slip them that stock of yours and buy it back on the reaction. You might as well reduce the cost to yourself." My dear boy," said old Partridge, in great distress "my dear boy, if I sold that stock now I'd lose my position; and then where would I be?" Elmer Harwood threw up his hands, shook his head and walked over to me to get sympathy: "Can you beat it?" he asked me in a stage whisper. "I ask you!" I didn't say anything. So he went on: "I give him a tip on Climax Motors. He buys five hundred shares. He's got seven points' profit and I advise him to get out and buy 'em back on the reaction that's overdue even now. And what does he say when I tell him? He says that if he sells he'll lose his job. What do you know about that?" "I beg your pardon, Mr. Harwood; I didn't say I'd lose my job," cut in old Turkey. "I said I'd lose my position. And when you are as old as I am and you've been through as many booms and panics as I have, you'll know that to lose your position is something nobody can afford; not even John D. Rockefeller. I hope the stock reacts and that you will be able to repurchase your line at a substantial concession, sir. But I myself can only trade in accordance with the experience of many years. I paid a high price for it and I don't feel like throwing away a second tuition fee. But I am as much obliged to you as if I had the money in the bank. It's a bull market, you know." And he strutted away, leaving Elmer dazed. What old Mr. Partridge said did not mean much to me until I began to think about my own numerous failures to make as much money as I ought to when I was so right on the general market. The more I studied the more I realized how wise that old chap was. He had evidently suffered from the same defect in his young days and knew his own human weaknesses. He would not lay himself open to a temptation that experience had taught him was hard to resist and had always proved expensive to him, as it was to me. I think it was a long step forward in my trading education when I realized at last that when old Mr. Partridge kept on telling the other customers, "Well, you know this is a bull market!" he really meant to tell them that the big money was not in the individual fluctuations but in the main movements that is, not in reading the tape but in sizing up the entire market and its trend." - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@unusual_whales I've seen some really stupid things that make no sense at all and thought I'd seen it all, but sheeeesh...... and this is an elected official????
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
AOC: You can't earn a billion dollars.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@NickSchmidt Yeah, seriously. And that's the hard part.
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Nick Schmidt
Nick Schmidt@NickSchmidt·
@bbpla1201 Learn from it and remember how much it SUCKS to dig out of a whole so it doesn’t happen again
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Nick Schmidt
Nick Schmidt@NickSchmidt·
I know this market is crazier than normal but these windows where progress is easy always makes me mad at myself for trying to grind through choppy periods and stacking paper cuts
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@NirAoo7 Top of my watchlist as well. Been just chilling then held the earnings gap so will watch for it to get above the MAs and get tight.
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Nir
Nir@NirAoo7·
$BE - first pullback to 21ema, after new highs setup brewing. top focus next week.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@CFlanders7 Yeah, it's funny how I try to internalize this and stick to my rules, but the moment the candles start ticking, it's like I turn into a different person.
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Christian Flanders
Christian Flanders@CFlanders7·
The longer I trade the more true everything I’ve read in the classic trading literature turn out to be. There is nothing new in Wall Street, humans don’t change. The tickers change but the emotions are the same.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@ZaStocks 100% agree. And it may just be starting. Cerebras IPO this week kickstarts a host of unprecedented, monster IPOs, from Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX to name a few. That being said, respect risk. 🫡
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Za
Za@ZaStocks·
“The things being said today are what people said in 1998.” Ok and the stock market more than doubled in the final two years leading up to the dot com crash. If you spend all of your time worrying about a crash that *might* come, you’re going to miss out. Wouldn’t you rather take the chance and participate in the second greatest bull market in history (potentially the first by the time it’s over) vs. sit on the sidelines and wonder what if? As long as you don’t fully lever yourself and risk everything, the risk of being sidelined has far outweighed the risk of participating. Live for something. Take a risk. The worst thing that can happen is something you can and would recover from. This doesn’t mean go trade weekly options or gamble, but the fear of taking any risk at all is stunning.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@AlexHormozi Seriously, this is not talked about enough. AI removes the subjective/emotional and replaces it with the objective/logical where it's paramount.
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Alex Hormozi
Alex Hormozi@AlexHormozi·
It’ll be interesting when AI replaces judges and juries. Then eventually, attorneys (since they’re all using it to make both sides of the arguments anyways). Which means we’ll eventually just submit facts and get an outcome.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@Speculator_io Out of curiosity, how many of these did you catch? And congrats if you did. I caught one big-time move, only problem was it was to the downside, FSLY. Held 18% cushion into earnings then....yeah you know the rest.
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Lin
Lin@Speculator_io·
One of the best ways to find the next big winner is to track how stocks react to earnings. And this earnings season was insane... Here are some of the biggest 1-day earnings reactions: $INOD Innodata +85.91% $BLZE Backblaze +63.58% $STRL Sterling +52.22% $DOCN DigitalOcean +40.40% $FLNC Fluence +39.90% $FLEX Flex +39.71% $XMTR Xometry +39.18% $SILC Silicom +37.75% $HUT Hut 8 +35.31% $RKLB Rocket Lab +34.32% $AAON AAON +31.49% $DDOG Datadog +31.33% $HIMX Himax +30.01% $SITM SiTime +27.91% $BE Bloom Energy +27.21% When companies surprises to the upside, the market is repricing the company. Everyone raises their price targets. Funds that were underweight now need to buy. Short sellers rush to cover. And all of that buying pressure can push the stock much higher in a very short period of time. Sometimes it is just a one hit wonder and then gives back the entire move a few days later. Because the report was good, but not good enough to change the long-term story. But in other cases, earnings become the start of something much bigger. That is usually when the report confirms that growth is accelerating, demand is expanding, and the company is starting to separate itself from competitors. Institutions begin to realize they may be looking at one of the next major leaders. The stock keeps holding its gains, keeps making new highs, and every small pullback gets bought aggressively. Those are the names worth paying attention to. I track all the best earnings moves here: fullstackinvestor.co/earnings
Lin tweet media
Lin@Speculator_io

Another huge earnings week is coming up. 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆 After Hours: $PLTR $FN $BWXT $AEIS $FLY $ADEA $ON 𝗧𝘂𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $SHOP $PYPL $ENLT $ETN After Hours: $AMD $ANET $LITE $ALAB $NVTS $NRGV $SU $WOLF 𝗪𝗲𝗱𝗻𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $UBER $FLEX $SOLS $NRG $HUT After Hours: $ARM $COHR $UUUU $FSLY $SEZL $AOSL $APP $IONQ $SNAP 𝗧𝗵𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $DAVE $HWM $VST $DDOG $BSKY After Hours: $NET $CRWV $RKLB $IREN $LASR $PDFS $OPEN 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $WULF $UI Track all the key earnings reports here: fullstackinvestor.co/earnings

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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@ohiain On my radar as well. This one's been chilling while semis have been on a tear and could be one of the leaders the next leg up.
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iain
iain@ohiain·
Every time the market gets hot again, I see traders suddenly become volunteer rehab counselors for terrible stocks. “This one hasn’t moved yet…” Yeah. Probably because it sucks!? Meanwhile, the actual leaders are sitting there pulling back 10-15% into the 9/21EMA after a +150% move, tightening beautifully, and people ignore them because they’re busy trying to resurrect stocks that don't need any attention. For ex., $ BE is a name I'm watching after making a 160% run off the lows and tightening right into the 9/21 EMAs. Some of you treat laggards like toxic exes: “They’ve changed this time.” No they haven’t. They’re still emotionally unstable and bad for your portfolio. The market already told you where the real money wants to be! Stop trying to outsmart obvious strength. Chart: $BE.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@RichardMoglen FSLY..... just in the wrong direction. Had an 18% cushion going into earnings, thinking, "What are the chances it hits or undercuts my stop?" Well, it was what Nassim Taleb would call a "turkey" moment. 🦃🦃🦃
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Richard Moglen
Richard Moglen@RichardMoglen·
What have been some of the strongest recent Earnings and Catalyst Gaps? 👇
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@ZaStocks Yup, my only regret is I didn't discover it sooner.
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Za
Za@ZaStocks·
I love the U.S. stock market. What a game we play. There is nothing else I’d rather be doing than actively participating in the greatest game on earth.
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iain
iain@ohiain·
Leadership is the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs. People will spend 4 hours debating geopolitics, lunar cycles, and what Jerome Powell’s facial expressions “really meant." While $SNDK, $MU, $INTC + other leaders are literally screaming the answer directly into your face.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@CFlanders7 Thanks for the transparency 🙏. Every day, learning to embrace the bad and the ugly.
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Christian Flanders
Christian Flanders@CFlanders7·
Bought and added 2x to EVC, stopped out today. Above my entry price now. Tried RXT 3x yesterday, stopped out all 3x. Up 60% today. Bought INTC on the gap to 85. Stopped out same day. Bought NBIS around 140. Couldn't hold above 21ema. Exited. Took my eyes off it watching something else. Rallies to 190 in 4 days. Bought FLY on the earnings gap on 3/20. My buy stop triggers around $25.50, I see the price start going vertical. I can't cancel the order in time. $1.30 of slippage on 50k shares, 20 cents of slippage on the same day stop out. I watch it go to $45 over the next few weeks without me. Bought CRWV above the HVE day on 4/13. Rallies 18%, pulls back to entry. Takes out LOD and stops me out by 80 cents. Rallies 31% straight up over the next 6 days. Everyone who trades goes through this. I've lost 75% of my trades this year and most of them go like that. Stop out, round trip, etc. There's no secret, there's no magic. Just execution. Trusting the few winners will be enough to make up for all the losers.
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Oliver Kell
Oliver Kell@OliverKell_·
Have shares these stats @dennisc230 gave me years ago....maybe a little outdated without exact parameters but have always found the top 10% zone to be helpful....Bracco good info below
Oliver Kell tweet media
Bracco ⚡️@Braczyy

Many people been reached out asking about parabolics on $SNDK $MU $INTC etc. Here is a small database I did a while back studying some prior big cap parabolic reversals. Studied their ATR multiples from 50MA the day before the peak as well as the % extension above specific moving averages ATR multiples above the 50MA from @jfsrev beat simple percent gains because they adjust for the stock's unique volatility. That is what I like to focus on the most. Helps reveal true overextensions in parabolic moves that just straight up percentages often mislead imo. The average ATR multiple above 50MA on these listed is 17x and that is BEFORE the climax day, some have hit highs of 25-30x the day they peak. $SNDK is only sitting at 11.35x as of the close, notably below the average. It also is below average for all of the % above MA readings besides 200ma. These names can get much more extreme than you think. You need strict criteria for these setups or it's a waste of time.

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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@mmonis What's your price?
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Monis
Monis@mmonis·
@bbpla1201 I like it, started a position pre-market
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Monis
Monis@mmonis·
What are we trading today? I have a few candidates.
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Nathan Bancroft
Nathan Bancroft@n_bancroft2·
What I’ve found helpful to hold for bigger moves: (Fully prepared for this to top the market 😂) 1. Turn off your PnL. Absolutely no reason to be staring at it everyday. Will only cause you to make emotional decisions over objective ones. I just track my positions in charting software apps and only log in to my broker when I need to do something. 2. Weekly charts. Once I have decent cushion I try and track my positions using mostly weekly charts. They smooth out the noise and make healthy pullbacks look less violent. Also much easier to see the bigger trend and find it makes it easier to stay objective. 3. Get off the screens. Once I’m heavily invested and have cushion I try to disengage a little from the markets. A stock is going to do what it wants whether you check it 2 or 50 times throughout the day. But just like the snack cupboard, the more you look the more likely you are to do something you know you shouldn’t. 4. Give them a little wiggle room. Once I have significant cushion I try to give them the benefit of the doubt. So if they crack a key MA or price level I like to give them chance to reclaim it. So if they break it intraday I try and wait until the close to see if they recover. If they break it midweek, I try to give them until the end of week. Some discretion here, if they break hard and 20% below the key level then that’s different to 5-10% for example. Sometimes it won’t work and you’ll sell a little lower than you’d like, but rarely significantly lower. A lot of other times it will be a shakeout and they’ll recover. 5. If a stock is doing nothing wrong then leave it alone. SNDK a great example from the last run from 1/2-1/30. The entire leg up it just rode the 5ema. In cases like this I leave them alone until I see a change of character, in this case either a break of the 5ema or an upward acceleration away from it. 6. Accept you’ll never sell at the top. Another reason why staring at PnL isn’t helpful. You’ll always drawdown off highs, and that’s fine because it’s not the goal anyway. The goal is to catch the meat of the move and to make significantly more than your average loss over a long period of time. Process over outcome. The goal should be to follow your process as strictly as possible. The money is just a side effect of doing this. I don’t typically trim positions as I don’t see the point in taking a ~2-5R gain from a trim when my goal to to maximise the few big outliers each year. And it also doesn’t help me to hold for longer. But if trimming helps you to hold for a bigger move and you’ve ran the numbers for your strategy then that can be helpful as well.
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Bobby
Bobby@bbpla1201·
@gbstocks Immaculate take as always.🫡
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breakout stocks
breakout stocks@gbstocks·
5/8 Morning Watchlist News: - Big Tech pitching offers to fund SK Hynix production lines & $ASML machines for AI chip supply $DRAM $SNDK $MU Earnings: - $IREN $CRWV $AAOI $RKLB $AKAM $INOD $WULF $MP $FROG - Watching for possible delayed moves in recent earnings $LITE $AMD $HUT $ARM Focus: - Today's focus $SNDK $MU $AAOI $LITE $BE - Memory remains my main focus as it's tightening and held so well yesterday $SNDK $MU $SIMO $STX $WDC $DRAM - Still watching photonics, especially how they react today on $AAOI earnings $LITE $AXTI $AAOI $AEHR $CIEN - Tight $AMD $INTC $DELL $NBIS $TWLO $CRCL $MSTR
breakout stocks tweet mediabreakout stocks tweet mediabreakout stocks tweet mediabreakout stocks tweet media
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