Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦

182.9K posts

Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 banner
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦

Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦

@bdquinn

Permanent Secretary of the Department of Bad Takes

Madison, WI Katılım Temmuz 2009
2.7K Takip Edilen8.7K Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦@bdquinn·
The country wants this. I've just come to accept that. I think they'll regret it when they get it full force, but they clearly want it. Let them have it. Just pray the rule of law survives it.
English
42
130
1.6K
232.8K
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 retweetledi
John A. Daly
John A. Daly@JohnDalyBooks·
Agreed. For those who don't remember how disgusted Krauthammer had become with Fox commentators carrying water for Trump, here's just one reminder:
Andy@AndrewDevoss

@JohnDalyBooks The same with Charles Krauthammer.

English
14
45
444
56.5K
Politics_Follower
Politics_Follower@PoliticsFollow6·
@roon0292 @bdquinn The 2008 election was a bit unusual in that both candidates were popular. Obama’s favourability was over 60% but McCain was also hovering around 60%. It’s going to be a long time before we see something like that again.
English
1
0
1
29
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
The thing about Obama's 2008 campaign is that he managed to convince just about all portions of the electorate that he was really aligned with them. See this Politico article tagging him as a centrist in the summer of 2008: politico.com/story/2008/07/…
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende

I do think the idea that Obama ran as a centrist in 2008 overstates things. He wasn't a wild-eyed radical, but the whole premise of his campaign, particularly the primary was we needed to go beyond Clintonian centrist triangulation.

English
8
13
100
5.3K
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 retweetledi
Ernie Tedeschi
Ernie Tedeschi@ernietedeschi·
One issue when one is talking specifically about the effect of AI capex **on GDP growth** is that much of the capex being announced involves imported parts & equipment--and so doesn't directly add to GDP growth (though it *is* still represented in US final demand). Computer spending including data center construction has been adding about +1.1pp to growth gross (the final demand effect) but closer to +0.4pp net of imports (the GDP effect). If you tried to capture the ancillary power investment that complements data centers, both numbers would be modestly higher, though a good chunk of that is being imported too. To be clear, +0.4pp is solid and nothing to sneeze at but is a moderate GDP growth tailwind.
Ernie Tedeschi tweet media
David Sacks@DavidSacks

I’ve been saying for awhile that AI capex will be a 2% tailwind to GDP growth this year. In fact, according to a new report from Morgan Stanley, the numbers are even stronger — more like 2.5% this year and over 3% next year. And this understates the impact of AI for two reasons: (1) This is just investment by 5 hyperscalers; it doesn’t include all the startups and other companies investing in AI. (2) Capex is the investment to create the token factories; it doesn’t count the economic activity resulting from what happens inside the token factories. Those tokens are now being used to generate code (bespoke software) that will increase productivity throughout the economy. The ROI on capex is likely to dwarf the capex itself, which is why investment continues to grow. In Q1, AI was already 75% of GDP growth. That trend is likely to continue. Technology leadership has always been America’s great strength, and it’s driving the economy forward. Polls may show that AI is not popular, but economic growth is. At this point, stopping progress in AI would be equivalent to halting the U.S. economy.

English
3
12
44
7.8K
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
Goes to show that Marxist class analysis is pretty useless at predicting American politics.
English
1
1
34
877
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
Marx wasn't the only one who thought this, but it was pretty wildly wrong all the same. There were even some Radical Republicans who thought Andrew Johnson would govern with a vengeance toward secessionists since he had been a staunch unionist. Lol, nope.
LINCOLN+161@jfkplus60

London journalist Karl Marx writes to his colleague Friedrich Engels: "Lincoln's assassination was the most stupid act they could have committed. Johnson is stern, inflexible, and revengeful and as a former poor white has a deadly hatred of the oligarchy."

English
4
6
103
5K
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
@brianlebased Trump's endorsement pretty well cleared the field for Walker. He could've encouraged someone else to run, but nope. He thought he had a winner there. See Kari Lake as well.
English
1
0
0
14
brianthebased
brianthebased@brianlebased·
@bdquinn Causing the party to run Herschel Walker? That's adorable.
English
1
0
0
11
The Red One 🇵🇸
The Red One 🇵🇸@EndlesslyBigger·
@bdquinn Trolls live under Bridges, seeking to eat flesh. Then again, Trolls don’t waste their time providing you evidence that you are doing leaps and bounds of effort just to deny. You should know better than anyone, Mr. UKROP sycophant. Nazis tend *to act* the same…
English
2
0
0
43
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦
Going to have to take Mehdi's side on this one. I've seen a lot of progressives who have become utterly obsessive on Israel/Palestine see Tucker Carlson as an ally because of his positions on Israel without being sufficiently critical of how he got there.
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 tweet media
English
0
2
24
1.3K
(((Matt Boxer)))#СлаваУкраїні! 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇱🇹🇼
In fact avoiding Syria in 2013 in the name of not being perceived as imperialist did more to hurt the west than Iraq and Afghanistan combined. Ukraine and Gaza were not Biden’s fault tho better deterrence would certainly have prevented them.
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦@bdquinn

I keep being confused about what supposed imperialist wars Democrats have started in recent years. The left keeps saying it's a thing, but with no basis.

English
1
2
15
774
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 retweetledi
Nick Timiraos
Nick Timiraos@NickTimiraos·
@LowBeta Eccles is often held up as a founding father of Fed independence because of this. It's complicated. Eccles actually didn't originally much believe in the idea. He proposed one-year terms for Fed governors in the 1935 reforms (Congress didn't go along).
English
2
2
30
6K
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 retweetledi
frang
frang@frang_u99393·
@bdquinn Opposing the lionization of standout individuals seems like a standard left-wing position, no?
English
2
0
5
647
Sir Humphrey 🇺🇦 retweetledi
wnstr ᜃ
wnstr ᜃ@1wony1diva·
🇺🇸 U.S. House of Representatives election 2024 in a D'Hondt allocation system using states and their current house apportionment. First U.S. map I have made so far. Decided to post it now lol
wnstr ᜃ tweet media
English
36
62
1.1K
75.8K