Ben Wright
82 posts


@adrivalue FCFA2S was always going to drop. 153% anomoly growth last year due to;
- conversion of prefs, eliminating a large recurring deduction
- completion of WideOrbit's post-acquisition margin improvement
- lower interest from debt paydown.
Headline was always going to revert
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$LMN.V kicks off the $CSU.TO family's Q1 2026 earnings season
- Don't be fooled by the -2% organic growth shown in the press release, because recurring OG was +6% (+3% in CC) ✅
- FCFA2S weak as hell with a -56% YoY, so I wouldn't be surprised to see LMN's shares down big tomorrow ⚠️
- The main reasons were higher WC changes (aka noise), higher taxes and some one-off costs related with acquisitions, so no worries from my side ✅




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@Larryjamieson_ baxterr inn or the doss house. Both great whisky collections
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@je41493029 With the lack of investment due to ESG, and lower prices sending smaller mines on the higher end of cost curve out of business, consolidation will happen and you get a supply crunch over the longer term that should support higher prices
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@benwrightx There is ALOT more of downside risk, they are gonna cash burn more than what you think and prices are gonna be here from here on out ($175 or lower). AMR will get down to $15 a share, I would be more patient. You can buy 6x as many shares
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@je41493029 Maybe, and if prices stay lower for longer, they will make less money, but over the LT, they’ll still make money and I see it as a heads I win, tails I don’t lose too much.
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@GaylordCapital I get that this year looks grim. It definitely can go down further - i just think the BV made up of PPE and cash + 40 years of reserves, over the long term I find it hard to see a point where I lose money.
Not looking for a ST trade here and have more powder for lower prices
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Never seen something like this before 😂
The new KraneShares 2X Long BABA Daily ETF $KBAB
KraneShares 2X Long BABA Daily ETF (KBAB) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 2 times (200%) the daily percentage change of the US listings or American Depositary Receipt (ADR) of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE: BABA).
$BABA $KWEB
kraneshares.com/kbab/
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@TihoBrkan Not everything is a “buy” at the right price. If it’s on its way to bankruptcy, there is no right price
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This lesson is yet to be learned by many young “quality investors”.
Finding Compounders@F_Compounders
A great business at the wrong price will result in a bad investment
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@BellaInves73913 @patientinvestor If uber has a 3min wait time, and the pure AV player trying to replicate Ubers network has a 12min wait time. Who gets the booking?
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@BellaInves73913 @patientinvestor People book hotels direct, they also book on Expedia.
People buy from the $MCD app direct, they also order on uber.
People can get a Waymo direct, but also on uber.
Cont
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@BellaInves73913 @patientinvestor Back to demand, the winner will be whoever has fastest wait times, and uber already do a great job of that.
There can be more than one player and things co exist.
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@BellaInves73913 @patientinvestor Issue is owners will likely also need their car, when demand is the highest, and a lot won’t want a stranger on their Tesla.
To replicate the current drivers, that’s 8m AVs someone has to supply, clean and manage ~ very capital intensive
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