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In 2020 I had land to double then double again by 2031 in regional. I bet every dollar, leveraged. Now it's already doubled and halfway through it's next double. The last bit is here mid 2028.
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Dollar Bill
3.2K posts
DXY update. NO changes per my original fit a few years ago. This is why I think BTC will range at lows for a while. DXY don't give it much breathing space.
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The scenario nobody is considering.... Lower for Longer..... My entire feed is bullish. Back in 2022 when I bought at 17.5k no fucker bought even when at 25k or 30k.... Those calling bottom is in also missed the top and got destroyed.
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If price fell the same below the last cycle top as the time before. Around 52k price. Just remember, the last time was THE 1st time the bottom went below the previous high. One could argue given the trend we go Lower this time
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Yet plebs claim nobody can afford anything. Things like this wouldn't exist unless the masses had buckets of money to blow.
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: Piles of garbage from Taylor Swift’s wedding have sold out, after being listed for $25/bag.
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Dollar Bill retweetledi
JUST IN: Piles of garbage from Taylor Swift’s wedding have sold out, after being listed for $25/bag.
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Everyone so focused on Saylor selling a piddly 200M they've forgotten the ETFs buy/sell 200M+ daily. Price dropped -50% while cumulative performs a rinse. ETFs wanting a lower price, not lower coins.
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BTC Gold levels in advance. Top is 201.5k. In 2022 the DCA crew got wrecked going too low. I see dip buyers planning now and 1 more. See my Gold cycle, once we fail 2nd top Q4 we could see BTC fail the 365d top to low and go lower. Fractals.suggest Apr-Jul 2027
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Gold cycles are triggered by a change of the BAU monetary policy. The trigger point was the first hike from 0% in Dec 2015, NOT COVID! This is where gurus will be entirely wrong about Gold. Once you see the next lower top, short it.
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BTC fractals. This is with both moved to fit the current pattern. Both suggest lows during Q2 2027. ETFs are the biggest buyers, if they are net sellers, price going up won't last. We got to 64k while they dumped.....
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ETFs have been dumping for a while. This latest price pump they dumped harder. This is the 1st bear market with ETF which 98% assume means higher bottom. They are human. Assume it's just as bad, just as long or it's worse.....
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ETHBTC eats a bag of dicks. ETH needs a huge nuke. There are so many grifters in the space it's insane.
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10yr Gold cycle. Uptick now just as the other cycles did. It's over though. It ran 10yrs basically to the month. Pretty crazy.
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@AvidCommentator Now consider the impact of skewed results when people answer based on how they believe they should answer. First home buyers are ballpark 25% of loans and this poll suggests the majority of those want to immediately lose money LoL. Do a poll asking FHB only....
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What voters believe is the best path forward for housing prices based on which party they give their primary vote to.
Full poll question in graphic below.
Data: YouGov
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@Globalflows It's plenty bullish out there. The number of buy the dippers is insane.
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$MSTR put volume blew out recently as we capitulated at the lows
However, we still saw a lot of net inflows into the leveraged vehicles that buy MSTR/MSTR products. So its clear that people are trying to btd with leverage despite BTC etf flows turning a bit negative recently
ill cover this more in the stream tomorrow
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@SimonCotter62 What data are you running in your model which confirms your view? I run land specifically and it's made so much money it isn't funny. Political policy also needs to be time based along with your access to credit. Be careful you don't get an "I told you so Dad".
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My son in WA wants me to go 1/2s in a land investment. Ive advised him to wait and probably not bother. Why? Albanese new tax laws stiffle ambition. However I bet china will still buy up large land areas and mines…
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@AvidCommentator No different to people on here reposting fake posts which become gospel and confirmed accurate data. Everyone on here shoots from the hip. Crazy stuff.
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For some insane reason some of the strange folks over on Threads have concocted a narrative that I'm some sort of property baron.
I dont even own a house, let alone multiple homes.
The delusion to support one's world view can apparently be strong.
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@AvidCommentator No. From early 2030s we begin the largest inheritance transfer in history. This is how the herd becomes dumber, by thinking accounts with followers post accurate insights. Pretty sure this account runs a script anyway.
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Yep, that pretty much sums it up...
Daniel Foch@danielfoch
The largest generation in history needs to sell the most expensive houses in history to the most indebted generation in history. What could go wrong.
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@Batman2242 People forget very quickly. No attention span either. Labour will change their policy stance come 2028 and people will forget all about today. It's how they got voted in last time.
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@AvidCommentator Probably better than the drivel users repost here. The problem is misunderstanding of data is posted as facts. Then reposted. Reposted. Consensus then learns errors as correct facts. Then they get everything wrong and have a meltdown over it. It's not healthy for people.
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I have a feeling this is what Albo wants and was alluding to with his Australians controlling the algorithm commentary.
Basil the Great@BasilTheGreat
🚨BREAKING: UK GOVERNMENT TO TAKE CONTROL OF YOUTUBE ALGORITHM This is pure authoritarianism Keir Starmer's/Andy Burnham's Government is set to control the YouTube algorithm by LAW stipulating that they must push "APPROVED CONTENT" to UK Citizens And independent voices who criticise the government will be pushed to the back of the queue making it harder for people to find YouTube has acknowledged this is happening This must be stopped
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