Bluw95.eth

Interesting market. "Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March" Regardless of how this should have resolved (I don't think it's obvious) it's clear that something quite important happened that caused the odds to drop from 81% to near 0%. Hint, it was not a clarification from @bosaurum. Rather, UMA Rocks (an influential group of UMA voters) decided that this market should go to No. UMA is supposed to be a so called, "decentralized" oracle. One of the many traders on this market was @aenews, a very active dispute trader, who also happens to be one of the 4 voters on the UMA Rocks committee. It needs no explanation as to why this system is incredibly problematic. github.com/lancelot-c/uma…

Free money on @Polymarket again or just another questionable UMA call? polymarket.com/event/iran-mil… Right now there are two active markets on an Iran attack on Oman: Mar 17–31 and Mar 24–Apr 30. We've got evidence of attacks on Mar 18–19, Mar 23, and Mar 28, with the most documented one being the strike on Salalah port on Mar 28. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran… So what we actually know: ✅ Videos show a drone (likely Shahed-136 / delta-wing type) hitting a container crane at Oman's Salalah port. You can clearly see the explosion, fireball, thick smoke, and a damaged crane - broken boom, parts hanging or collapsed into the water. ✅ Oman News Agency confirmed a two-drone attack on Salalah port, one worker injured, and crane damage. ✅ The next day (Mar 29), Oman's foreign ministry condemned the attacks and said no party officially claimed responsibility (even though Iran already commented on it). ❔ Khatam al-Anbiya rep (Ebrahim Zolfaghari) said Iranian forces struck a "logistical/support vessel of the aggressive US army" far from the port (1000+ km from Iran’s coast). Iran insisted it didn't violate Oman's territorial waters and respects Oman's sovereignty, framing it as part of ops against the US in the region. the US hasn't confirmed any hit on its assets. ✅ So bottom line - we've got solid, undeniable evidence of a drone attack on Oman's territory on Mar 28. Confirmed by official Omani sources, plus photo/video and multiple credible reports. ❔ The only "counterpoint" is that Iran didn't explicitly claim responsibility. But they did acknowledge strikes, just trying to frame them as happening outside Oman and targeting a US ship - which isn't backed by US statements or any hard evidence. Also, there’s strong reason to believe these were Shahed drones, which basically points straight to Iran since no other side in this conflict operates them. Personally, this market should clearly resolve to "Yes". Kinda wild that, as far as I can tell, no one has even tried to resolve the Mar 31 market yet. The current uncertainty doesn't really look like a potential UMA manipulation since trading volume on these markets is really low - $78k for the Mar 31 one and just $12k for the Apr 30 one. Feels more like these markets just haven't caught the attention of any whitelisted proposers yet.

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Free bet Polymarket 9%, 4% et 2% Edgex, Oui +400M 4%, Oui +500M 9%: polymarket.com/event/edgex-fd… Hezbollah, Oui 2%: polymarket.com/fr/event/hezbo… Si tu n'es pas encore sur Polymarket: polymarket.com/fr?r=DogePlayM… (Il y a aussi le +600M à 25% mais ce n'est pas un free bet, il y a un "risque") DPM

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@ws_3s 引き強すぎて羨ましいです🤤🤤 是非センタリングチェックはAXCIを使ってみてください！！🥹👍🏻 スマホのカメラで撮るだけで、一瞬でセンタリングの比率、参考価格、アルバム保存が出来ちゃう優れものです(｡･ᴗ･)_🍵

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