Jimmy Boyd
2.5K posts

Jimmy Boyd
@boydsbets
I bet on sports for a living and believe there is no point in being confident and having a small position. The money only goes one way
United States Katılım Temmuz 2009
962 Takip Edilen15.2K Takipçiler
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Whether you are looking for action on the court, ice or diamond today we have you covered.
For the complete, updated list check out boydsbets.com/free-sports-pi…

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Here’s the full list of free picks for Friday, April 3rd.
Shout out to my man @betfirmsjack who is on an epic 60-22 run in the NBA!

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@Woodsieeee Definitely. When he’s playing his best there’s nobody better
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@boydsbets Fitzy & Reed for value but if Scottie plays his best it’s his to lose 😁
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@gatorplays321 Circa is where I took it. They still have it at -125
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1* Free Pick on Illinois -125
Illinois enters this Final Four matchup with the most efficient offense in the entire country. They are averaging over 84 points per game and have looked unstoppable during this tournament run.
The biggest edge in this game is found on the glass where Illinois is a legitimate monster. The Illini have posted a massive +16.3 rebounding margin through four tournament games.
UConn is barely a top-100 rebounding team and they were bullied inside during their November meeting. While the Huskies won that early game, Illinois has completely transformed its frontcourt rotation since then.
Illinois has the size to punish these physical vulnerabilities with David Mirkovic and 7-foot-1 Tomislav Ivisic. Mirkovic is averaging a double-double in the tournament and will be a handful for Tarris Reed Jr. to manage alone.
UConn depends heavily on their defensive structure, but they cannot stop an Illinois team that is first in the nation in offensive rating. The Illini don't beat themselves with turnovers and they hunt high-quality looks on every possession.
The depth and health of the Illini will be the deciding factor in the final ten minutes.
I like the Illinois ML at -125
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🚨 NBA Sharp Play Tonight
Pacers Under 110.5 (-106) at FanDuel
The Indiana Pacers are deep in tank mode. They’re sitting at 18-58, eliminated from playoff contention, and have been resting key pieces while losing focus down the stretch.
Tonight in Charlotte against a Hornets team fighting for play-in positioning, expect minimal effort from Indy. This isn’t a competitive spot. The Pacers simply aren’t motivated to push the pace or grind out points.
Under 110.5 looks like the smart side here. Low motivation often equals low output, especially on the road in a meaningless game.
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@clip62 He’s got some of the best history here of anyone who hasn’t won
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@GODSWAYnfl I posted the screenshots above. Bet them right before I posted
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@boydsbets You didn’t get those lines bud, circa never had those 3 players at those odds
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@boydsbets There’s no way you got those odds. Xander is 1500. Fitz is 2000
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1* Free Pick on Auburn -7
Auburn is simply too fast and too physical for Illinois State to handle for 40 minutes.
The Tigers rank in the top 20 nationally in defensive turnover percentage and they hunt for steals on every possession.
Illinois State struggles against high-pressure guards and coughs the ball up way too often.
You cannot give this team extra possessions and expect to stay within the number.
Auburn is elite at turning those live-ball turnovers into easy transition dunks.
The Tigers also hold a massive advantage when it comes to the offensive glass.
They rank in the top tier of college basketball in offensive rebounding rate and second-chance points.
Illinois State does not have the size or the bench depth to battle in the paint all night.
The Redbirds rely far too much on the three-point shot to keep their offense moving.
Auburn’s perimeter defense is lockdown and contests every single look beyond the arc.
The Tigers are holding opponents to under 31% from deep over their last five games.
If those shots aren't falling early, Illinois State is going to be in a massive hole.
Illinois State is also coming off a high-intensity matchup earlier this week.
Legs get heavy in the second half when you are chasing a team that plays this fast.
Auburn is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against non-conference opponents for a reason.
They do not just win these games; they pull away late and cover the spread.
The Tigers are also 4-1 ATS this season when favored by single digits.
They know how to close out games and they make their free throws when it counts.
This line is only this low because of one lucky win by the Redbirds last week.
The market is overreacting to a single performance instead of looking at the season-long metrics.
Auburn has the edge in effective field goal percentage and defensive efficiency.
Expect the Tigers to pull away late in the second half as the fatigue sets in for the underdog.
The depth of this Auburn roster is the real difference-maker here.
Their bench minutes are just as productive as their starters, and that wears teams out.
I like Auburn -7
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