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Bozai

@bozai03

I take investment 🅰️dvice from internet strangers

Katılım Mayıs 2024
186 Takip Edilen37 Takipçiler
Bozai
Bozai@bozai03·
@CatSE___ApeX___ based on the timeline of NG2, they put it on TE on 23 oct, with the launch on 13 nov. Do u think they still can launch in April?
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C🅰️tSE
C🅰️tSE@CatSE___ApeX___·
The TE looks like this. (Older photos)
C🅰️tSE tweet mediaC🅰️tSE tweet media
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Bozai
Bozai@bozai03·
@tottaway22 their global L & S band is valuable tho, I assume AST or SpaceX will want to lease it?
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Tanner Kirk Ottaway
Tanner Kirk Ottaway@tottaway22·
$VSAT - this is a scary chart when you only have $1.1b in cash. With nearly all operating cashflow going towards the $1b/yr in capex only leaves $200m FCF/yr for debt repayment. The math doesn’t work. Awards in 2025 -10% (bleeding aviation) & -3% EBITDA doesn’t help
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Dave Limp
Dave Limp@davill·
"Never Tell Me The Odds" is back. Team Blue inspected every system, completed refurbishment, and certified it for flight. Proud to put a flight-proven booster to work for @AST_SpaceMobile on NG-3. Enjoy this fun video of us moving the integrated vehicle to the Transporter Erector (TE).
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: SpaceX has confidentially filed for an IPO, putting the company on track for a June 2026 listing, per Bloomberg.
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NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman
Tomorrow, we launch. At sunset tonight, Artemis II waits on the pad, ready to carry astronauts potentially farther than any humans have traveled in more than half a century. The next era of exploration begins.
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Alexander
Alexander@AlexfromBabylon·
$PLTR $ASTS $MLRN $KDK To the contrary I am doubling down on anything dual use and prefer my investments to support the Western military order. Deterrence is the only way to maintain the free West and service members deserve the access to the best technology to fullfil their mission, so they too can safely get home to their families. You can disagree with the mission, but that mission is set by democratically elected politicians not soldiers. Specifically regarding the girl’s school exactly drives the point. Better technology would have prevented this. That said selective bias is interesting, since the same account was nowhere to be seen when the regime killed 40k+ Iranians in days. Woke lefties and pacifists are allowed to have these opinions, only because someone else is prepared to do the dirty work and I am proud to support those people where I can with my retail investments. Again I don’t agree with every war, but that’s on politicians, not the soldiers fighting it.
Connected SP🅰️CE@ConnectedSpaceM

A statement from Connected SPACE

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Bozai
Bozai@bozai03·
@disruptivedean @AlexfromBabylon Do you see any issues leads to local regulation blocking it? I assume they move slow but certainly in the right direction (consulting space companies to prepare for D2D framework like US SCS).
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Dean Bubley
Dean Bubley@disruptivedean·
@bozai03 @AlexfromBabylon No they haven’t Vodafone AST hasn’t yet agreed leases or sharing arrangements in Europe The only D2D license so far in the UK is Telefonica/VMO2 And I’m not worried. I advise governments and companies on spectrum issues.
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Alexander
Alexander@AlexfromBabylon·
$ASTS I keep coming back to how brilliant the technology, management and business model really is. Every freaking time on a different subject. With the recent Equatys rumours it encouraged me to again look at multi tenant D2D options for MNO’s that will likely emerge as structure within this decade. For example AT&T CEO has said they welcome competition for AST and that they hope to use also other D2D networks. Even if I put aside the deep partnerships, investments, board seats if you strip all of that away in a multi tenant D2D setup AST still has monopolistic tendancies. Once a MNO choses AST its over for the competition. Let me explain: In a multi tenant D2D (lets say AT&T uses AST and fictional Equatys) setup the mobile phone will always connect to the strongest satellite signal. AST has the best patented beamforming technology, the largest phased arrays in orbit and convinced MNO’s to give them lowband spectrum. This means a phone will always use AST’s network first and only when capacity is constrained use another network. The more spectrum AST adds the less the second network is used. So even in a multi tenant D2D setup don’t be surprised if AST gets 90%+ of all the traffic. Once a MNO choses AST its a monopoly no matter how many D2D partners they add. The phone will always connect to AST’s network. Once you understand it, it’s beautiful!
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Dean Bubley
Dean Bubley@disruptivedean·
@AlexfromBabylon Low band is certainly useful but AFAIK it only has access to 2x 5MHz, and only in the US
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Alexander
Alexander@AlexfromBabylon·
$ASTS Copium among satellite consultants is high. AST is putting them all of them out of business due to killing their lucrative legacy satco work. So many legacy shitco’s will no longer be around in a few years. Sorry its not personal!
Stuart Taylor@LuckyStuey

SatShow 2026 Wrap-Up Completed a packed schedule of meetings, chance encounters, cocktail parties and dinners with a wide range of space industry manufacturers, operators, service providers, financiers, analysts, consultants, experts, old friends and colleagues. The general mood of the industry is good, better than it was a year or two ago, although many legacy business models are being challenged and new entrants are crowding out some markets (such as satellite manufacturing, which seems heavily over-invested at present). SpaceX and its impending IPO overshadows all, with some believing this will expand investments and interest in the space, while others believe it may hurt retail investors so badly they could lose interest in the space sector in general for a generation. It's a massive binary outcome that nobody can accurately predict. Similarly, retail investors in $ASTS face an impending binary outcome. As @TMFAssociates confirmed, there is remarkable consensus within the industry that ASTS will fail, even among some of its paid advisers, few take it seriously, although nobody can predict when the inevitable collapse will occur. Key events of the week were: - News of SpaceX's IPO filing lifted space stocks in general, and $GSAT in particular, given rumors it is about to be acquired by one of the bigger players, potentially SX itself (Tim is mostly convinced this will be the outcome; I'm less certain, but I wasn't as focused on this topic as he was). - SES's deal with K2 Space (and its plan to build payloads in-house, both for this constellation and Iris2), came as a positive surprise, although some are skeptical that this deal is as firm as it first appears. Meanwhile, it's DTD plans with Lynk/Omnispace don't seem to amount to anything material or committed at this stage and their timeframe for launch by 2027 seems completely unrealistic. - $VSAT and Space42 seem to be tentatively making progress with development of Equatys, although again with less solidity than one might hope. Similarly, Mark Dankberg's comments on VS-3 F2 reflector deployment ("Things are going the way they're supposed to.") could have been more positive, although all indications from speaking to several people about this matter are that it's going fine and expected to be successfully completed in a week or two. - Sentiment towards MDA Space was affected by the Globalstar rumors, with uncertain outcomes for the C-3 constellation currently funded by Apple in particular. Their idea to build an operator-neutral shared constellation for MNO's 5G NTNs seems fanciful, at first blush, redundant to that proposed by Equatys, but given their recent track record pulling off surprise deals, perhaps there's more to this than meets the eye. A lot of the chatter was about ODCs (and even LDCs - Lunar Data Centers!), but this seems more intended to boost SX's IPO than being a real near-term prospect. Space debris was another hot topic, with many predicting worsening conditions, bad actors, and high potential of a major incident within the next 5 years. Space is hard. Many current start-ups and legacy players will fail. Change is occurring at a faster pace then ever. Opportunities abound. Some will succeed beyond their wildest dreams. For an old-timer like me, space continues to be as exciting and fun as it ever was😆.

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David Palmer
David Palmer@DMOPalmer·
@thekookreport I’m beginning to think they won’t make their goal of five launches by the end of the quarter.
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TheKOOKReport
TheKOOKReport@thekookreport·
So let me remember to make sure I have this straight - $ASTS ripped because SpaceX said they would file their S-1. Then some missiles were launched (proving need for advantaged waveform radar systems in LEO, btw), so the market tanked and now $ASTS is lower than it was originally...but SpaceX is still going to file its S-1, right? Also $ASTS did an ITU filing that shows company likely has multiple other shells (IRIS, Golden Dome, mid-band). This is why alpha for long-term investors won't go away.
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Bozai
Bozai@bozai03·
@AntiFeminismGuy @Kan27111 @tottaway22 yes, be honest with every issues u have, PR it, tank the SP, make company harder to raise money, leads to even more delay and slower ramp up, shareholder will be happier this way
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🅰️nti-Misandry Keyboard Warrior
🅰️nti-Misandry Keyboard Warrior@AntiFeminismGuy·
@Kan27111 @tottaway22 They could have mentioned the severe problems stacking the satellites, but instead kept reiterating the same guidance they have violently missed. They only mentioned it was solved after the fact. Deceptive and dishonest.
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Tanner Kirk Ottaway
Tanner Kirk Ottaway@tottaway22·
Blue Origin sending GS2-06 to LC36 to prep for static fire after New Glenn 3 launch. They will have GS2-4,5,6 ready for flight waiting on new Booster GS1-03 and GS1-02 for refurb after NG3. Looks like (assume landing & refurb improvements) could have NG4 in early May, NG5 in June & NG6 in July
Asher B.@asherbphotos

GS2 is on the move! I happened to catch Blue Origin moving a GS2 from their factory to LC-36 this morning. This is presumably the sixth flight upper stage, given the fifth has already been tested, though it’s difficult to know for sure. 📸 - @LaunchHeavenX

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W🅰️ffles
W🅰️ffles@kubulldogs·
@Reformed_Trader Haha, ironic thing is he's the CFO his package of shares for a performance bonus was more than likely based on how much capital he was able to raise (read debt and dilution to our shares) $ASTS
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Reformed Tr🅰️der
Reformed Tr🅰️der@Reformed_Trader·
$ASTS some executives were awarded PSUs (performance-based stock unit awards). It appears some milestones were reached to trigger these.
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Bozai
Bozai@bozai03·
@tottaway22 Maybe it will static fire before NG3 launch?
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Tanner Kirk Ottaway
Tanner Kirk Ottaway@tottaway22·
$ASTS What happened tonight is so good IYKYK
GIF
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Another Smith Here
Another Smith Here@1MoreSmithHere·
$ASTS Exciting news posted by @tottaway22 last night with the additional satellites. There were actually 2 ITU updates in March! The first update had a VERY interesting but subtle change to prior iterations. On the March 17 update, there was ONE additional satellite added to the AST filing at a 97.5 inclination (SSO) and 520km. Why ONE satellite? I think its a test satellite of some sort. My initial thoughts on what that could be: 1- IRIS2 Test Sat 2- AI/DC Test Sat 3- DoD Test Sat What do you think?
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$ASTS: 🚨 🇮🇪 VODAFONE AND AST SPACEMOBILE COMPLETE IRELAND’S FIRST EVER MOBILE VIDEO CALL VIA SATELLITE USING A STANDARD SMARTPHONE “We’ve just made history by completing Ireland’s first ever mobile video phone call via satellite using a standard smartphone. The call between our engineer Robert Ivers from an area of no coverage on Clare Island and our CEO Sabrina Casalta in Dublin highlights the potential of satellite technology. This was made possible with the help of our partnership with Satellite Connect Europe connecting to AST SpaceMobile's satellite constellation. We’re excited to continue to work with this technology to help close coverage gaps, strengthen network resilience and ensure people can stay connected wherever they are in Ireland.”
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