Robin Bremner
9.3K posts

Robin Bremner retweetledi
Robin Bremner retweetledi

@Brad_Setser If you see how Trump “TACO’d” 3x in 6 days from March 22-March 27 every time 10y UST yield hit 4.4% (red arrows), USD swap lines that prevent UST selling by UAE and others make a lot more sense.

English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

Swaps given "to prevent disorderly sale of US assets." Translation: some holders can't sell. ICYDK: hidden single-digit % sale cap limits some institutional holders.
Door closes if things escalate. Get out while open.
Their frontline is the yield curve.
nytimes.com/2026/04/22/us/…
English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

See you in 2 months as you come to Russia to beg for energy. Please save enough jet fuel for the flight.
Donald Tusk@donaldtusk
European Council meeting. For the first time in years there are no Russians in the room. Huge relief.
English
Robin Bremner retweetledi
Robin Bremner retweetledi

Why is a Pakistani🇵🇰 woman stripping an Englishman🏴 of his British🇬🇧 citizenship without him being charged with a crime?
Will the rest of us dissidents be un-personed next?
Shockingly on-point from Sky News.
Sky News@SkyNews
Mark Bullen is a former British police officer, who was stripped of his UK citizenship because of his links to Russia. In an exclusive interview, Mr Bullen tells Sky's @IvorBennett that the idea he is a threat to UK national security is "ridiculous". trib.al/89dJzpX
English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

@TraderPamplona I call bullshit.
Iran is a big country, but Israel is very small.
Israel will be back to the stone ages before Iran.
English

@GLandsbergis Maybe stop participating in the war against Russia?
Stop allowing Ukrainian drones to overfly your territory on way to strike Russia.
Stop supplying weapons to Ukraine for use against Russia.
And stop the perceived persecution of Russian speakers in your country.
English

If Zelenskyy is warning us that Russia might attack the Baltics, I think he probably has a pretty good reason. As a Balt, I am surprised that many of us are treating Zelenskyy’s warning with contempt, while I myself understand where he is coming from.
Some accuse Zelenskyy of spreading narratives that help Russia. Well, I very much doubt he is trying to help Russia, and I don’t think he would take that risk lightly.
Some say he is pushing a fake scare story to focus the West’s attention on supporting Ukraine. But Ukraine has been deprived of that support for a long time, and has unfortunately learnt to live without it. I don’t think he is playing games. I find it more likely that he is offering his honest analysis to his friends.
Anybody feeling instinctive anger whenever the issue of a possible Russian attack against a Baltic State is raised should have a think about these three questions:
1. Are we sure Putin has no good reasons to attack NATO? He only needs one, and it doesn’t need to be as ambitious as a full invasion and annexation. He might be thinking that a small incursion could fracture our alliance and reboot his popularity at home by providing a win for his war machine. He could use his reserves or divert some troops from Ukraine, which he sees is a much harder nut to crack than the Baltics. Are we certain that he isn’t even tempted to try?
2. If not the Baltics, then where? Even though the Baltic States have raised defence spending as a percentage of GDP to the highest levels in NATO, we remain vulnerable while the effect of that boost comes online. We have no conscription like the Finns, the German brigade won’t be here for at least a year, our militaries are less developed than other potential NATO targets, so why wouldn’t Putin choose us?
3. And are we 100% certain that Article 5 is still deterring Russia as much as it used to? Even if we still believe in the “ironclad commitment” of our allies, any expert would have to admit that some of our main allies are somewhat distracted right now while others have only recently started rebuilding their militaries. Should Putin wait until Europe gets stronger? Or until US attention returns to Europe?
Zelenskyy has good reason to doubt that the West would suddenly experience a surge of bravery if a second country in the East were attacked now, NATO member or not.
So I’m sorry, but this is why I see where Zelenskyy is coming from. The Baltics could be the target, Putin might be tempted, and our allies are currently in a tough spot. The window of opportunity is open.
My suggestion to my fellow Baltic statesmen is this: Instead of getting flustered, get ready.
Prepare contingency plans, learn Ukrainian survival techniques fast, and think about how to quickly extend the Ukrainian defence umbrella over the Baltic Sea — if indeed the merde does hit the ventilator.

English
Robin Bremner retweetledi
Robin Bremner retweetledi

@DebraG_Robins Wouldn't have to go so hard as death penalty.
Confiscate their wealth and make them live for 'x' years on standard state welfare.
English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

@54JohnBull @imetatronink Nah. Better to make it obvious to the world who the warmongering scumbags are.
English

@imetatronink Iran would do best just to restart missile and drone firing now.
Don't let the US make another surprise attack.
English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

Indeed, many trade union bureaucrats have betrayed the British working class by endorsing the Ukrainian proxy war on Russia and the funneling of billions of £ and arms to Zelensky whilst British conditions plummet.
Ukraine Solidarity Campaign 🇺🇦✊🏽🚩@UkraineSol
The "labour movement and trade union collaborators" they refer to are virtually the entire UK trade union movement. *No* UK union has anything like their pro-Russia policy, in contrast to the large and growing number with strong pro-Ukraine policy and active solidarity.
English

@vtchakarova Weimar hyperinflation came in a time of supply destruction.
Basically, Germany had to make large shipments of coal to the allies after WW1. When they missed a payment, French troops seized a major coal mining area of Germany.
English

Ooops. But this time the intervention of the Fed and the Central Banks through rate hikes won‘t stop the inflation because it comes from physical supply destruction contrary to previous global systemic crises. Central banks can‘t simply fight physical scarcity with rate hikes.
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
TRUMP: 'I'VE BEEN IN FAVOR OF INTEREST RATE RISES TO STOP INFLATION'
English

@BombastBram @vtchakarova Covid had mass public compliance, motivated by fear of a virus.
Don't think that applies this time.
English

@vtchakarova The government though can compel consumption lockdowns via an array of measures and behavioral influence operations, see covid.
English

@Conservlion @yashar No, Dummy.
He's saying IDF soldiers themselves admit to this.
English

@yashar Sorry polish FM is saying that Israel killed its own hostages that's Candace Owens level stuff
English

Why is Mike Huckabee, the sitting U.S. Ambassador to Israel, involving himself in a dispute between Israel and Poland?
This is outrageous.
Huckabee is in Israel to represent the interests of the United States, not the State of Israel.
Any issues or concerns the United States may have with the response of Poland’s foreign minister should be handled through appropriate diplomatic channels at the State Department level.
A sitting U.S. ambassador publicly cheering one foreign minister’s attack on another ally’s foreign minister, particularly from a NATO ally, would be unacceptable in most administrations.
Poland is one of the most strategically important NATO allies today.
It hosts both U.S. forces and a U.S. missile defense site, spends well above the 2% GDP defense threshold, and is the most important U.S. military partner on NATO’s eastern flank.
Poland is also a frontline intelligence partner for the United States, especially when it comes to intelligence on Russia.
A U.S. ambassador publicly applauding this kind of rhetoric with fire emojis in a bilateral dispute between Poland and Israel puts the United States in the position of appearing to take sides against a critical alliance partner.
Reminder: Huckabee also invited Jonathan Pollard, the unrepentant convicted former U.S. government employee who spied for Israel and betrayed the United States, to meet with him at the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem.
And now this?

English
Robin Bremner retweetledi

Elon Musk sweeping X clean of any Iranian accounts that put a dent in the Trumptown lies and propaganda. Bravo!
QUOTE - "They got Ali Alizadeh as well… Elon Musk’s X really caved in and is going after every single pro-Iranian account, one by one.
Meanwhile my account AryJeay (on X) is still suspended after 2 weeks."
t.me/FotrosResistan…

English










