₿rett

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₿rett

₿rett

@brettmacro

Faith ✝️ Family & Freedom 🇺🇸 ₿itcoin since 2013 | Data & AI nerd | Investor not Trader | Stocks & macro enthusiast Old username: Brett_ETH

Katılım Aralık 2010
60 Takip Edilen31.7K Takipçiler
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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
#Bitcoin Cycles Timeline. I don't make the rules. 2016-2020 Halving to Peak: 525 days Peak to Bottom: 364 days Bottom to Halving 518 days 2020-2024 Halving to Peak: 532 days Peak to Bottom: 371 days Bottom to Halving: 532 Days The next halving date is March 26, 2028. Look how accurately the above timeline would put us at the halving... Will the pattern continue?
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LRHN cash
LRHN cash@LRHN_Cash·
Mustang drives into river when trying to evade Arkansas state police
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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
@_Mx414 He left room by saying he will buy it if it does lower. So he can post he was right then too 😂
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₿rett@brettmacro·
In short: Stock market crash. Bitcoin rally. Let’s see how this plays out.
Doctor Profit 🇨🇭@DrProfitCrypto

$BTC: Report of the Century: Today I am making one of the biggest announcements since I sold the top in September 2025. I am taking profit on every single crypto short. The Bitcoin short built between $115,000 and $125,000 is closed now with a gigantic gain. The $80,500 short, built between $79,000 and $82,000, is closed with another massive profit. The 100+ altcoin shorts I opened over the last several months are also closed, locking in another enormous win on top. The time of drinking tea is over. Congratulations to everyone who ignored the noise, trusted the framework and followed me from September 2025 until today. Buying Bitcoin Spot: For the first time since September 2025, I am buying Bitcoin spot again. Today, I entered at $64,000 for the absolute long term. For the first time since 9 Months I am buying Bitcoin for the long term! It is the beginning of a structured accumulation strategy, and I will execute it with the same discipline that allowed me to sell the top. The Accumulation Strategy Everyone who followed my strategy at $115,000–$125,000 remembers exactly how it worked. Every day Bitcoin traded inside that zone, I sold 10% of my spot position and added shorts. I did not care whether BTC was at $116,000, $120,000 or $124,000. Now I am doing the exact same thing in reverse. Every day Bitcoin remains between $54,000 and $64,000, I will buy 5% of my allocated capital in spot Bitcoin. Not 10% this time, but 5%, because I want to spread the accumulation across a wider period! If Bitcoin stays at $62,000, I buy. If it falls to $58,000, I buy. If it drops to $56,000, I buy. If it wicks into $54,000, I become more aggressive. If it returns to $64,000, I still buy. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this zone of 54-64k I am buying every day with 5% of my entire capital limited to 20 days. The Technical Zone and Sentiment Shift The legendary weekly MA200 sits in this region and is now being tested from below. Bitcoin already reached the lower section of this area last week. The top of the 2024 consolidation box also aligns with it. More importantly, sentiment has completely flipped. And I need to say, there are more bears, much more bears than bulls outside, and I dislike being one of many. The same people who were screaming for $150,000 at the top are now desperately waiting for $40,000. X is flooded with targets of $50,000, $45,000, $42,000 and $38,000. Retail is once again standing on one side of the boat, convinced the market owes them the perfect entry. Front-Running the Herd Since I announced the 50-40k region as my deeper bear-market target, most of crypto X has copied the same narrative. They copied everything, The market is not blind. The market knows retail is sitting in cash waiting below $50,000. They know people are terrified to buy at $64,000 because they have convinced themselves they will receive Bitcoin at $40,000. I am not going to stand behind the herd and beg the market for the same price as everyone else. I am front-running them. And the next that is following is also going to increase the price and so on, and the chain will be continued and those who are waiting for lower can stay there waiting forever. Just because the four-year cycle worked at the top does not mean it will work at the bottom. Right now, everyone is waiting for September or October as if the market has already programmed the bottom into the calendar. Do you understand how insane that is? Ask anyone when they plan to buy and they will tell you September or October. Ask them why and they will repeat the same answer: because of the four-year cycle. That is the 1+1 herd behavior. What if the real cycle is not exactly four years? What if it is three years and nine or ten months? What if the market bottoms before the date the entire crowd is waiting for? Bulls are waiting, bears are waiting, and everyone is using the same indicator to justify the same timing. That alone shold cause panic to all waiting for the 4 years cycle to happen. Markets do not reward the masses for memorizing a calendar. I am betting against the four-year-cycle bottom. It is not happening. The bottom comes earlier. The Structural Shift Around Bitcoin The deeper reason for the change is not technical. It is structural. The environment around Bitcoin is shifting at a speed most people still do not understand. Regulatory clarity, tokenization infrastructure and institutional adoption are all moving forward at the same time, and the legal framework being built right now has the potential to unlock trillions of dollars of institutional capital that has been sitting on the sidelines or parked in the stock market waiting for certainty. Combine that with Coinbase's institutional buildout and BlackRock's fully operational ETF ecosystem, and we are no longer looking at the same Bitcoin market that existed six months ago. The CLARITY Act could go through on August 10 depending on the Senate, and that is not a small event. There is a reason the entire world is now racing to regulate crypto with full speed. BlackRock, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange are already inside the DTCC live tokenization pilot. Microsoft shares, SPY, QQQ and US Treasuries are being tested as tokenized securities right now, with the official launch planned for October. Stocks, ETFs and Treasuries are moving on-chain, and the largest institutions in the world are adopting blockchain rails while retail is still debating whether the bear market is over. On top of that, Citadel just invested $400 million directly into Crypto.com at a $20 billion valuation. The biggest players are deploying capital now, at scale, before the crowd understands what is happening. The infrastructure is being built directly in front of everyone, and I move my capital when the biggest capital in the world starts moving, not after In Regards of the Stock Market Crash: I am keeping every single SP500 short open. Bitcoin and the stock market are not the same trade, and they are not at the same point in their cycle. The crypto bear market began in October 2025 and continued for nine months while the stock market refused to fall. Bitcoin dropped 52% from 125k to 60k. In the same window the SP500 made new all-time highs. Crypto has already been repriced while stocks remain over valued. Therefore there is a very high probability that the Crypto Market will benefit from a Stock Market crash, as profits will move from over valued assets into under valued assets, and in times of Tokenization Hype, Stablecoin talk and the Clarity Act, these funds will very likely move into the Crypto Market. One More Thing: I called 40-50k as the target and I was clear about it, I called 60k when Bitcoin was at 120k, and at 60k I said 40-50k is coming, But when the entire crowd on X starts waiting for the exact same level, the market almost never delivers it. Six months ago nobody was calling for sub-50k. Today every single account is. That is exactly when the target gets taken off the table. I now believe we will not see 40-50k at all this cycle. The setup that would have delivered that level is dissolving in front of the tokenization revolution, the CLARITY Act, and the biggest capital in the world moving in. Changing my view when the facts change is what a good trader should do. It is exactly why I made massive profits shorting from 120k, and it is why I am accumulating now while others are still waiting for a bottom that will not come the way they want it. That is why I am buying now. The crowd has become aggressively bearish and the conditions required for a much deeper collapse are beginning to weaken in front of the regulatory and tokenization revolution. I would rather begin building a position before the crowd understands the shift than chase Bitcoin after confirmation at much higher prices. Buy earlier before the mass starts to understand.

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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
My entire Bitcoin feed flipped bull this weekend.
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Luke Arcaini
Luke Arcaini@ArcainiLuke·
Boomer take (I’m 24) What happened to a good brown or tan leather glove?
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Suzee Q
Suzee Q@SusieM414141·
The owner of this gas station is pouring something down in the gas tanks. It wasn’t water it had a tint to it. Anybody know what that is?
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Roberto Rios
Roberto Rios@peruvian_bull·
FINANCIAL GRAVITY: If we divide the S&P 500 by the fed’s balance sheet, the line is basically flat since 2008. The correlation coefficient between central bank quantitative easing and the price of stock indexes is nearly 1. The money printed by the Fed, because of the structure of the Open Market Operations, is plugged directly into the Treasury markets, and from there, flows into equities and derivatives. This has served to primarily enrich the asset owners, financial institutions, and wealthy elites who own the majority of the stock market anyways. The entire rally has been an illusion, financed by the Fed and maintained through QE.
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Fugitive Caesar@ThomBrady5

The redpill on this is: America never recovered from 2008 and it's been 18 years of economic stagnation. Everyone wants to make this more complicated than it is, but it's exactly that simple. Dead zombie economy.

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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
@ColinTCrypto I must have been doing it on a higher time frame chart originally and didn’t snap it to the exact date.
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₿rett@brettmacro·
$QQQ & $BTC We're approaching 200 days (blue lines) into the midterm year. Historically, this is when equities have taken corrections and Bitcoin finds its bottom.
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₿rett@brettmacro·
The blue line represents times when the Fed is printing money. It’s called Quantitative easing. When this happens, the money supply goes up, and the value of the dollar goes down. In return, the equities market goes up. Not because the companies or stocks have increased their actual value, but because the USD is weaker. Hope that helps.
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₿rett@brettmacro·
@Topps @grok fix the centering of the NBA Debut Logoman so it fits inside of the gold cutout.
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Topps@Topps·
what’s your reaction if you pull Cooper’s Debut Patch?
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Hmmm do you like the recently updated X format and UI?
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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
@elrama_ @peruvian_bull Liquidity. The Fed Balance sheet is in blue. When that goes up, SPX/Fed Balance sheet chops.
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Rama 🍊
Rama 🍊@elrama_·
@brettmacro @peruvian_bull Something happened from 2008 through 2016, and then again from 2020 through 2024 that keeps destroying the market. I wonder what that is? What is the core driver from 2016 up till 2020 and since 2024 onwards that CREATES GROWTH!
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Did you make money this wild wild week?
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Teslaconomics
Teslaconomics@Teslaconomics·
SpaceX is a $100T company trading at $1.6T today. All the shorts and doubters of this company will be destroyed along the way.
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₿rett
₿rett@brettmacro·
@EricLDaugh Just for clarity, this is a proposed stage currently. If agreed to, it would take years for construction. Always DYOR when Eric post's on X.
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Eric Daugherty
Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh·
🚨 BREAKING: In a massive development, US oil giant Chevron is signing a deal with Iraq to *CIRCUMVENT* the Strait of Hormuz as they move into Iraqi oil fields This is HUGE, Iran is fuming! 🔥 "Chevron will sign a Memorandum of Understanding today with Iraq to enter into 2 Iraqi oil fields, and doing study to move oil from Iraq north AROUND the Strait, possibly through the Mediterranean Sea. This is all meant to add that global oil supply AVOIDING the issues." Trump just recently met with the Iraqi PM. HE KNOWS WHAT HE'S DOING The global oil order is being changed!
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₿rett@brettmacro·
@nodi_macro Testing it out lol. Prob go back to white, but the new PFP pops on the timeline.
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₿rett@brettmacro·
Potential bull trap on everyones $SPY breakout from last week.
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