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As lots of people are liking a post I wrote that has the word "advice" in it, I need to issue my periodic reminder that my advice may in fact be terrible. I know very little, in general.
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Brad Shapiro
20.5K posts
Brad Shapiro
@btshapir
Marketing Professor @ChicagoBooth. Co-editor @QME_Journal. Tweeting about economics, advertising, dogs and sometimes soup. SSRN page: https://t.co/LcTRerqE
@ChicagoBooth Katılım Ağustos 2011
1K Takip Edilen6.9K Takipçiler
Yeah refusing to build housing is totally a solid policy choice.
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban
Every single one of the 15 fastest-growing US major metropolitan areas is in the Sunbelt. All 15 are also in a state Trump won. Only 5 are in swing states. Dallas and Houston added an entire Wyoming's worth of people.
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@alexolegimas Too much demand for specific narratives. Too little intellectual curiosity and wanting policy to be based on reality.
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I wish everyone had this framed on their desk. Imagine the world we would live in if changing your mind when you learned something new didn’t come with so many negative reputational/self image consequences.
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart
This is the schism of the left right here. By having staked the claim early on, that LLMs are a gimmick or a "stochastic parrot" that can't actually know anything, it's unacceptable, from the perspective of many, to actually take seriously the capabilities of the models.
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Glad we have our priorities straight.
I mean, dear lord, what the f*** are we doing?
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Pittsburgh Public Schools will operate remotely from April 22–24 as the city prepares to host the 2026 NFL Draft. With road closures, heightened security, parking restrictions, and heavy traffic expected, the city believes remote learning is the best option during that time.
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lol @nyjets
Football Crave@not_DovKleiman
Rule changes proposed today: #Steelers - Making it permanent for teams to not have talks with more than 5 unrestricted free agents during free agency period. #Browns - Ability to trade for picks 5 years out. #Jets - Reward bottom 5 teams with 2 2nd round comp picks.
Brad Shapiro retweetledi
11/14: Norman Borlaug didn’t just feed the world, he proved humanity can engineer its way out of crisis. In an age of new challenges, his story reminds us: the best answer to pessimism is bold, evidence based progress. Next time you eat a piece of bread, thank an Iowa farm boy who refused to accept hunger as human destiny.
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He made some timely plays for us and also committed some very untimely personal foul penalties.
The potential is there. I'll miss the timely tipped balls.
Adam Schefter@AdamSchefter
Former Bills DE A.J. Epenesa is signing a one-year deal worth up to $5 million with the Cleveland Browns, per source.
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@dylanmatt Uhhh.... it's entirely consistent with their economic worldview?
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Why is the Center for American Progress running interference for the Jones Act
americanprogress.org/article/how-th…
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Trouble with (1) is Ds and Rs have been quite bad (worse than nothing?) at persuasion recently on issues where they are out of step with the median voter.
Trouble with (2) is that it's true and it's what both parties are currently doing on taxes and spending.
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I like this thread and this paper. Very intuitive set of descriptive results that should be obvious, but depressingly are not.
Two issues with moving from this descriptive result to an optimal decision problem for parties and candidates, though.
David Broockman@dbroockman
New short paper w @j_kalla! Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect. Many conclude voters must not care about issues. This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵
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Brad Shapiro retweetledi
This suggests moderation is *more important* than many argue: a candidate/party will need to moderate on *lots* of issues where its positions aren’t popular in order to win more votes.
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The missing piece in this thread:
Lots of D voters (and possibly a non-negligible number of R voters) sincerely believe that by taxing *only* billionaires, we can fund the welfare state that they want.
Why exactly they sincerely believe this is another question for debate...
Megan McArdle@asymmetricinfo
Obviously I understood people were not necessarily doing n-dimensional strategic planning, but I thought this was how politics was cashing out. Then Democrats started promising tax cuts.
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Brad Shapiro retweetledi
If you are a billionaire and you don’t trust nonprofit structures and think they will get captured by communists—a concern to which I am genuinely sympathetic— you can consider buying some patents you think are genuinely cool, and releasing them to the public domain.
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits
A bunch of people are responding to this by complaining that nonprofits are wasteful or poorly run or left-wing or whatever. But nobody is asking anyone to give to every nonprofit! You can give to the most efficient or ideologically congenial ones or even start your own!
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We should to back to 140 characters.
The dumping of long, AI generated stuff into single tweets is really something to behold.
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Have we considered the possibility that Brandon Beane simply isn't very good at his job?
Kevin Siracuse@kevin_siracuse
I was busy tonight so I’m just seeing this… As a proud member of the Sebastian Joseph-Day fan club for the past three seasons, this makes me sad. $5-6 million/year is a such a reasonable number for a guy who can play multiple positions and in multiple alignments on the defensive line. This is the type of value that you’re trying to find at this point in free agency. Onward to D.J. Reader 🫡 #BillsMafia | #NFLFreeAgency
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@jasonc_nc Yup. Full-on insane.
And the best part is, the teamsters still vote against those pols.
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Rode in my first Waymo in Austin on Monday. It was amazing. Very comfortable ride. Followed traffic laws. No awkward conversation.
Jason,@jasonc_nc
“it’s also a story about a pernicious tactic of delaying-through-reports. This is a way of exercising a veto while still seeming reasonable,.” This is why we can’t build, and why what we do build is somehow expensive yet poor quality. Each time we delay moving forward what is really happening is we are robbing future generations of benefits in favor of an increasingly selfish status quo. It’s all the more galling that progressive language is used to hide increasingly regressive efforts that inevitably end in stagnation.
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