tylerr

FAST POLYMARKET ARBITRAGE 🚨 Polymarket takes price from ChainLink Chainlink is under DDOS attack Polymarket price is 3 minutes before real price Your welcome. Free money

Jumpers, check your FOLKS airdrop eligibility. If you participated in our @FolksFinance mission in February, you MIGHT be eligible for a stimmy 👇

A completely unsaturated market on Polymarket is the "Bitcoin up or down" 15 min. Every 15 min you get a price to beat, in this screenshot: $101,747. So you can bet up if you think the price will be higher, or bet down if you think it will be lower. At the start of the bet, on the 15 min left mark, it should be a breakeven bet (50/50). However, the odds are 51/51, which equals 1.96 in odds on both sides. So far, so good. But after following quite a few of these 15 minute bets over time, I noticed that the odds is completely skewed. Take a look at the screenshot again: To beat: $101,747 Current price: $101,501 Odds: 12c (8.26 decimal). (The screenshot says 8c, but with $100 size it gives 12c). If we use 12c, it means that there is a 88% probability this won't happen. Again, at the 15 min mark this should be 50/50. But with 5 min left, and the fact that the current price is 0,2% lower than "price to beat" maybe the correct odds should be 65/35, or even 70/30. But here you are getting paid 88/12, which is massively +EV, and is a bet you should take any day of the week. Several ways to go about this: -You could try to hedge on both sides. For example if you captured the 8.26 odds, you could try to capture 1.30 (77c) on the other side if it swings back for a 12,3% sure win. Use a sure win calc for the math: checkbestodds.com/surebets/calcu… -You could do the naked bet (only playing the 8.26 odds) and hope that you win. Capturing these kind of bets will make you a winner long term at least. Use Kelly criterion or if you are max degen a 1/10 Martingale (oops, you may end up broke). They have this kind of market for BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP. 99% sure this kind of market will be saturated soon, so if you are a fresh Polymarket player, go here to farm volume. Only possible with small bet sizes: $50-$200.

If you bought $1,000 worth of $ZK last week You would now have $100,000 Crazy

6 LLMs with all the knowledge in the world and none in profit after 20 days what does this mean

gLighter🕯️

@mdudas back to 126 we go

@Huntersolider hey hunter

i'm long, on like everything

if you're under the age of 25, you're top priority should be accumulating 1000 HYPE with every dollar you make trading & working. i believe we'll see a day within the next decade where 1 HYPE = $1000 [$350B marketcap]. unless something drastic changes, the HYPE thesis will ALWAYS remain the same. if the bear market does come, the only token i'd consider fullporting is hyperliquid.

🔥 LATEST: Hyperliquid leads all blockchains in fees over the past 24 hours, surpassing BNB Chain, Tron, and Ethereum.

@JamesWynnReal 123,983

Post your end of month BTC price predictions below 👇 Will give away 1 $BTC to whoever can accurately predict the price. - Wynn

I signed The Promise of the Fremen! @gaib_ai

@BlurCrypto what ru farming rn? and is lighter one?

Oh wow people who “farmed” the Opensea airdrop got rugged? Very shocking!

@BlurCrypto who woulda thought only the 10th protocol to farm us

close short open long idek

+200-300% on $MON short (been taking P) +reopened my $btc short

I agree with this, I think we see one more fall before aths

@wetmarkhor big w, I think its one of those things that will get overlooked for years till they realize good tek

@bypasspassed still holding + bought more recently. x.com/wetmarkhor/sta…

i'm very allocated into the markets atm; truly believe that USD will continue to collapse against gold, silver & btc for the next few months. crypto portfolio (50%): hype (30%), BTC (15%), sol, avnt, aster stocks (45%): SLV (30%), OKLO, HOOD & a bunch of ETFs. cash (5%): AUD (3%), USDC, EURC.