caleb.bets 🍀

CASH THOSE TICKETS 🫅✅ Recap | 5.15.26: +3.92u ✅ - Carter o13.5 Pts | +105 ✅ - Billings o13.5 PR | +105 ✅ - PP Flex 5 | 10x ❌ - Loyd o1.5 3PM | -125 With Sykes scoring 27, Clark nailing 7 threes & A’ja scoring 45 you almost think more was left on the table, but a full cash on Free Friday 🙂‍↕️✅

@Jaffrey_Capital Fever went deep today, Seattle was never competitive

@calebbets3 So what happened, why she only played 20 mins?

Mo Billings o16.5 PR | -115 5.17.26 Play #2 | #Fever🤒 Aliyah Boston was reinjured last game, and feels like she likely sits here after being rushed back. This seems to be the same meniscus issue she dealt with for Unrivaled. Dom Malonga suffered a concussion, and with Magbegor injured and Awa Fam still overseas, the Storm's only big is residing in Stefanie Dolson. Their defense is going to be pretty pitiful. Prior to this game, Seattle has given up the most OPP 3PM this season (11.3), and now will have an equally weak interior. Granted, their defense has limited paint success due to a (soft) collapse that should remain true here. Despite Storm collapse, Monique Billings gets big upside here. She had 10.9 FS in that 4th Q without Boston. Morrow had 33 PR (16 Reb), Griner 22 PR, and Conde 24. Full 30min in regulation last game, expect the same load here.

@Jingaling2000 cmon dawg

@calebbets3 There goes my parlay smh

Non contact knee injury for Rickea Jackson, twitched like it’s ACL - reacted like it was too. Real tough blow for Chicago.

7 THINGS TO EXPECT in the NBA TODAY, GAME 7: 1) We head to Detroit for Game 7 after The Pistons just held Cleveland to their lowest scoring output of the series - just 94 Pts, with 43 in the 2H. In this game, DET gave up just 26 points in the paint, which is 12 points fewer than the 38 PITP/gp they have gave up these playoffs -- which still leads the entire field. "If you don't rebound well, they just get too many opportunities. When you have disparity in those opportunities, it tends to bite you" - Atkinson 2) In Game 6 we saw Harden defended primarily by Daniss Jenkins as Detroit moved Duncan Robinson to the bench. This leaves Detroit being pretty okay with up top isolation sets from Harden, as it allows them to limit his facilitation, stay locked in on Donovan Mitchell, and protect the paint. Harden notched a team high 23 Pts off 8 3PA (62% of his FGA), and logged just 4 assists off of 11 potentials. He has shot just 35% in career Game 7s, and an even-worse 22% from deep. 3) Donovan Mitchell is having a tough time vs his new defensive assignment of Ausar Thompson, and Atkinson noted in postgame that they need to "Get him in the open court more, where they can't get his hands on him. When it's in the half court it's clutch, grab, hold... that was a log jam tonight." The Pistons gave up just 8 fastbreak points, which is their winning stat if they can repeat here. 4) Paul Reed is playing some incredible basketball. His offensive gap over Duren this series is crystal clear while his defensive mobility has added a disruptive element to Pistons' defense. This series he leads the Pistons in Player Impact Estimate at 26.1... where Duren sits at just 9.2. Still, his minutes have been upsettingly low. Bickerstaff noted ahead of Game 6 that he isn't going to give up on Duren, so expect no lineup change -- annoyingly. 5) Early in the series Atkinson made a note that the Cleveland offense needed to be intentional in feeding their big men of Mobley and Allen, who are each averaging over 15 PPG for CLE in the last 5 games of this series. However, Mobley is the only one that I would expect continued success for as a release valve from the new backcourt defense DET is bringing. On that same note, Duren is allowed to stay on Allen and not get caught in actions. In the 2H of Game 6, Allen scored zero points off non-putbacks. 7) Cade Cunningham will seemingly face increased pressure as the game progresses, as Atkinson noted, "[Doubling Cade] is a feel. I wish I could say when he hits 32 points we're going to start trapping. It's a feel... you have to know when to go to it and when not to". Unhelpful. CLE has had success with this strategy throughout the series as well, in Games 3+4 DET only generated 0.6 PPP when Cade-Duren PnR got two on the ball. Expect a 42min floor here for Cade and 8 assists as a floor.

@Trevordani11354 Yes

@calebbets3 Is 20.5 playable?

My only Game 7 look! Jarrett Allen u21.5 PRA | FD -128 5.17.26 Play #3 | #LetEmKnow The Pistons just held Cleveland to their lowest scoring output of the series - just 94 Pts, with 43 in the 2H. In this game, DET gave up just 26 points in the paint, which is 12 points fewer than the 38 PITP/gp they have gave up these playoffs -- which still leads the entire field. "If you don't rebound well, they just get too many opportunities. When you have disparity in those opportunities, it tends to bite you" - Atkinson Early in the series Atkinson made a note that the Cleveland offense needed to be intentional in feeding their big men of Mobley and Allen, who are each averaging over 15 PPG for CLE in the last 5 games of this series. However, Mobley is the only one that I would expect continued success for as a release valve from the new backcourt defense DET is bringing. On that same note, Duren is allowed to stay on Allen and not get caught in actions. In the 2H of Game 6, Allen scored zero points off non-putbacks.

@TheVicMacias Definition of matchup proof

@calebbets3 guess we gotta get use to Carter’s line being 17.5 from here on out 😂

@frgvchris Love it, just is a high number but equally high ceiling. Also a big fan of Jade

@calebbets3 What’s your thoughts on Flaujae against this putrid Indiana defense?

@Darius000008 @1 Unpredictable from what I’ve seen

@calebbets3 ausar thompșon 3 assists @1.7 isnt good?

@memehim1 They do, just relies on that Pullup 3PT to fall

@calebbets3 Even though, Harden has been horrible in Game 7s, his points look good no?

@Trevordani11354 I lean under yes, would love to see Cleveland show that trap earlier

@calebbets3 Would you bet Cade under 27.5

@HIM109372 I do favor it, just hard to take in a Game 7 environment

@calebbets3 So Cade 8.5 asts is a good look?

HUGE Sunday, let's start with Early WNBA! Angel Reese o26.5 PR | CZR -122 5.17.26 Play #1 | #DareToDream🌠 No Rhyne Howard here, so Sika Kone likely enters the starting lineup. Karl Smesko has not involved his bench much here, with Kone running just 1 minute last game yet PaoPao led all bench players with just 13 minutes. Allisha Gray averaged 29 Pts per 100 Poss without Rhyne since start of last season. Angel Reese has posted up 16+ Reb in three straight meetings vs The Aces, yet under 13 points in all of those games. It's likely that Naz guards A'ja here, so Angel is in room to collect. Actually think that Angel can be solid as a scorer despite facing the 3 time DPOY, mostly because A'ja will be more inclined to play at level to limit Gray. She has shot 12.8 FGA/gp in this MUP, and hasn't notched 12+ FGA so far this season, yet did end last season 13/13 with 12+ FGA for 18.7 PPG. Think she is a better finisher now.

@AudioJayy By end of May will have an end of year pass fs

@calebbets3 Need 6-12 months 🔥

We have a day of rest before a STACKED Sunday 👇 - 4 WNBA Games - DET/CLE Game 7 Free Friday was a banger, but if you want the full card + breakdowns every day, then join in here with code 'WNBA' for 50% OFF: 🫶🍀 dubclub.win/r/p/pri-2u467/…

✅ - A’ja o11.5 1H Pts ✅ - Clark o2.5 3PM ✅ - Loyd u1.5 TOV 🅿️ - Griner u6 Reb (DNP) All eyes on Slim. 🍿

STILL A BUCKET 🪣 Carter o13.5 Pts ✅ Ends at 18 in 22min, missed out on a couple more min bc CON kept it within margin, but we will take our profit 🫶