WKurtz

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WKurtz

WKurtz

@capgainloss

Watching Wall Street from Washington DC -- not sure which of those is more despised.

Arlington, VA Katılım Aralık 2016
366 Takip Edilen67 Takipçiler
WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@Peter_Atwater I'm old enough to remember when people got fired for profiles like that.
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Peter Atwater
Peter Atwater@Peter_Atwater·
FWIW - I suspect that if the Interview article on the young men of Wall Street had been published a few months ago, no one would have blinked. Mood is changing and with that our expectations of decision-making.
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Ironsides Macro
Ironsides Macro@barryknapp·
@jasonfurman Students actually suggest the government would be more efficient? Do they have driver’s licenses?
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Jason Furman
Jason Furman@jasonfurman·
Once a year I get a student asks “why do we need private banks, wouldn’t the govt be more efficient?” Previously I would give a long unconvincing answer like innovations in underwriting etc. This year I asked what they thought about Trump deciding who did and did not get loans.
Alex Imas@alexolegimas

It is useful for citizens who lean towards either party to engage in contingent reasoning: Yes, I want to give the govt more power to do X because I agree with X, but how will the govt use that power when the other party is in charge?

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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@bennpeifert potentially overwhelming circuit breakers/limit up/down thresholds?
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WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@bennpeifert What's the biggest risk from 0DTE options on single names once they're introduced?
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WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@janekleeb Not the best example. This is a great deal for prime beef, which is about 2-3% of U.S. beef. Don't check the price per pound at some other store.
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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@EpsilonTheory Other pending nominees were withdrawn, too. Expect to see vacancies act appointments.
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WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@markoinny Also maybe doesn't have a mortgage sold to a GSE
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WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@biancoresearch The dissenting Fed governor statements went out just after 8a this morning, following the end of the FOMC blackout.
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch·
Did Trump give us a "tell" about the coming payroll report, and everyone on Wall Street (including me) missed it? --- Here are Trump's three Fed-related "truths" in the 25 hours before the payroll report. In my subjective opinion, he was more strident and harsher than usual in his criticism of Powell. This is especially the case for the two "truths" this morning, in the two hours before the release, when he could have seen the full report. WITH HINDSIGHT, it does read like him lashing out against Powell, blaming him for a weak payroll report that was not yet released.
Jim Bianco tweet media
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch

What a Whipsaw!

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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@BharatRamamurti Powell's comment was the equivalent of a Pedro Martinez brushback pitch--he wanted to teach that journalist a lesson.
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Bharat Ramamurti
Bharat Ramamurti@BharatRamamurti·
It’s not likely, but people are underestimating the chances that the next Fed move is to raise rates, not lower them. If goods prices continue to rise as more tariffs go into effect, and that also leads inflation expectations to rise, while the labor market remains solid…
Skanda Amarnath@IrvingSwisher

A frustrating & foreseeable trajectory Without renewed goods inflation, the declining trend would’ve continues. The final lags to inflation would’ve driven us back to 2% Now inflation looks “stuck” above 2% Now we’ll hear the Fed needs to be tighter, labor mkt weaker 🙄

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WKurtz
WKurtz@capgainloss·
@MebFaber what if it's actually like 12?
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Janice Hough
Janice Hough@leftcoastbabe·
@igorbobic Every once in a while Louisiana Senator Kennedy loses the Foghorn Leghorn act and reminds us that he was a Phi Beta Kappa at Vanderbilt, and a U. V Virginia law graduate.
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Igor Bobic
Igor Bobic@igorbobic·
Sen. Kennedy woke up the Senate, loudly proposing his amendment to prohibit a mysterious $1B in Defense Production Act funds from being used without the approval of Congress. He said lawmakers should have say over how to spend, else “we’re just sucking our teeth.” Dems cheered him on and Welch spoke in support of his amendment. But Tim Scott urged a no vote and said he trusted Trump on how the funds would be spent.
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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@cullenroche Isn't the whole point of NYC, that there are great local pizza joints in every neighborhood? I can't speak to the leg press idea, but am sure that the pizza part is covered.
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Cullen Roche
Cullen Roche@cullenroche·
If I were elected mayor of NYC I would seize the means of production and then place a Dominos Pizza and a leg press machine on every block.
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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@TheStalwart I can't tell if it's the first inning, or the eleventh.
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
This is really the whole ballgame here
Joe Weisenthal tweet media
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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@biancoresearch I don't know if it's legal, but it would be hard for one person to take two (important) jobs like that for oneself. Others want those jobs, too!
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch·
And today there was a surge for Bessent (cyan) ... he took over the lead to replace Powell. Could he be BOTH Treasury Secretary and Fed Chairman?
Jim Bianco tweet media
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WKurtz@capgainloss·
@biancoresearch I appreciate the reverse alphabetical order, but the likelihood tracks the other way.
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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch·
Trump in his presser from the NATO meeting. -- President Donald Trump says he has three or four people in mind to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires next year. -- Presumably they are: Kevin Warsh Chris Waller Kevin Hassett Scott Bessent
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
JUST IN: JPMorgan, $JPM, has reportedly trademarked a stablecoin called ‘JPMD’
unusual_whales tweet media
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Arpit Gupta
Arpit Gupta@arpitrage·
Amazing how much more pleasant Manhattan is on a warm summer day now that the problem of trash bags sitting on the sidewalk has been largely solved
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