Capital Optimism

@SquirrelMacro @ttmygh @GlobalForecastr "scintillating" and "provocative" in Gervais Williamspeak being synonyms for "online shilling for the rightosphere"

Grant @ttmygh - I did think this conversation was indeed "scintillating and provocative" until @GlobalForecastr said... Sorry - instant disqualifier...

@BehavioralMacro So that's the 'out' then? The hated socialist Eurotrash and the Yellow Peril (i.e. the grown-ups) actually sort out his mess and the prolapsed rectum then says he won? Can't wait to finally read his obit

@WolfOfOakville STIR traders are the biggest hysterics out there. I suppose when you're that levered up thanks to razor-thin margins it eats away the prefrontal cortex

Remember when the market was pricing in two or three cuts?

@memyselfandi006 I see your $Azelis and raise you $SYNT

Is there any sectot that is more contrarian than European Chemicals at the moment ? Asking for a friend ...

@stockspinoffss @accrued_int @AndrewRangeley A 20% position for me, this is going to be a banger

really enjoying this podcast with @accrued_int and @AndrewRangeley $VSNT yetanothervalueblog.com/p/accrued-inte…

@evfcfaddict Go on so, let's hear them 😉

Cash down to 25% Also built a mid- and large caps buy and hold portfolio for the wifey in the last weeks where I used to last cash yesterday and this morning. Might soon introduce the holdings in case anyone is interested.

@mfwarder Long $CNR so...

Extensive damage at Ras Laffan LNG… Long thermal #Coal #CoalTwitter

@InvestSpecial @CapitalVoss Why has the Street pegged the upside so low? A 25% uplift on today's price seems pretty bloody miserly for a company this cheap that's growing this fast?

$EEFT is a gift at these levels. Trading at 6.5x 2026 earnings despite double-digit growth and a high-value global payments rail. @CapitalVoss is pushing for change on top of it all. Worth checking out their activist letter for more detail.

I mean, Jesus. Really America? This guy?

@RealJimChanos At the risk of being blocked, what f***ing idiot is going to give this guy money? Or is this just another "dump whatever hyped-up piece of crap I can find to IPO" on the little guy (i.e. retail)?

@BehavioralMacro did you catch this?MW is Short SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI US) - Muddy Waters Research share.google/uj2crY3AVKp1PL…

@NestBetter Point taken

@capitaloptimism "vs market expectations priced in"

I have never been more bearish vs market expectations priced in.

@dirtcheapstocks Patience and not panicking? And I'm not even being facetious

In 25 years we'll look back and say: "Investing was so easy back then. You could just xyz..." What edge exists today, that will erode in the future? My guess: The brute force info arb thing is probably gone. Public data won't hide in plain sight on a company's website, etc.

@InvestSpecial Nice one mate, thanks 👍🏻

Amid commodity chaos, it’s time to learn more about energy markets. One of the best educational resources is Palgrave Handbook of International Energy Economics. Covers everything from replacement value of energy assets to detailed S&D dynamics👇

@wusatiuk And yet trades on 20x forward earnings

Zylox-Tronbridge $2190.HK FY2025 results (in RMB) rev: 1.06B (+35%) intl sales: 48.6M (+115%) net profit: 244.4M (+143%) current: net cash: 2.35B ev: 3.65B 2026e: ebit: ~280-300M ev/ebit: ~12x

@JoeValue It's up a lot more than 43% in the last two weeks, what happened there then? 😅

Don’t you just love it when your research tracker position blows up 43% days after you started looking 😅 $SIVE At least I’m looking in some worthwhile places 😂

@Carlos_MoraM The same day as $PRN, interesting

@capitaloptimism Nope, 31st March!

🎯Updated Equity Research on 4 interesting (L/S) situations: 🇮🇹 NewPrinces $NWL.MI 🛢️ Kosmos Energy $KOS 🟢 IDT Corporation $IDT ☀️Solaria #Solaria ✅Today we analyse: • The capital increase of Kosmos Energy and how its valuation looks in the current situation (post-Guinea, with Iran and the new shares) • The delicate situation of NewPrinces and expectations ahead of results, the situation of Carrefour and Princes 💎Furthermore, we review in detail IDT & Solaria: • Analysis of the results • Our independent valuation of the company • Our independent view on the stock (Long / Short / Neutral)

@BehavioralMacro Yeah, fair enough. My money is mostly in bombed out special situations where pretty much everyone else has fled. Not great for the cardiogram at times like these though