
Capt. Don Gallagher
368 posts


@n718jm Where do cost calcs source maintenance pricing? I've always found these to be highly generalized. For example - on light jets, do you account for program fees such as SmartParts, ProTech, Embraer EEC, ESP Platinum, TAP Blue, etc? Genuinely curious how accurate these tools are.
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Built ACC in 2011. Sold it.
Watched it stagnate.
So I built something better.
New site + AviaCore enterprise plan now live at AviaCost.
Aircraft cost intelligence — actually built for the industry.
aviacost.com 🛫
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@BreakerzNshit @ShortSeller Seems clear to me. If weekly holds above trend, the way is higher. If it fails the trend, the way is lower.
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@ShortSeller real alpha would tell people if it will hold it
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@ShortSeller It’s fun going back and looking at these.
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I promised all of you that my Substack is 100% free till at least April...and that is my intent - Those fcks (Stripe) fcked me over yet again (I hate them-they still are holding all my Twitter earnings for past 2 years hostage)....THIS IS NOT ME and I am working on it....DO NOT LET THEM BILL YOU YET

ShortSeller@ShortSeller
Stripe is the most EVIL DISHONEST company on the planet FUCKYOU FUCK YOU
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Capt. Don Gallagher retweetledi

$SPX I made the simplest of indicators to keep you out of trouble...moving average cross....
ShortSeller@ShortSeller
$ES $SPX We have been suggesting two areas where we next find support - we violated the 1st one on ES...$SPX still holding but I still think we're heading to that lower level -that's a few % lower and would represent 5%ish from ATH's....normal in bull markets
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@ShortSeller Just put behind twitter paywall. Dont think you’d need an off platform developer, etc. just do what you do, but get paid for it. But I’m probably wrong.
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Please keep in mind that Slack takes (Monthly) $19 ....Affiliates take 30%....Stripe et al take 5% ...Tools ie Trading View - Finviz - Flowtopia cost $$ etc etc .....Admin/Developer $50K annual +
Sid@crypticTooth
@ShortSeller Above $30 but below $100….$50
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@preston_holland Agreed. But with that said, I had a great conversation with Tony Robins in an Atlantic FBO when he sat next to me.
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@Budgetdog_ Still so hard to believe when you look at the price of luxury real estate.
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@ModernDad My wife only texts — a call would be an obvious scam.
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My wife calls me, panicked.
The call is from her number, and her voice is unmistakable- that’s my wife.
‘Babe, our son is hurt. He got in a bike wreck. I’m at the emergency room but they won’t take our insurance and I need cash to get him help. Please send me 3000 dollars as soon as you can, he’s really not doing well.’
Me- ‘Wow, that’s scary. Tell me our passphrase and then I’ll send the money.’
Her (it) - ‘What? What passphrase? This is your wife, our son is hurt. Send the money now!!’
Me- ‘I’ll call you back. I don’t believe that this is my wife. If it is, I’m sorry, but we discussed this.’
The number? Spoofed. Easy to do and there’s no way to tell if a phone number is being spoofed aside from hanging up and calling back to confirm.
The voice? AI generated. Easily done. A few seconds of audio is all it takes to create a realistic audio deepfake.
What can you do?
1) Create a family safe word or passphrase. Ours is definitely not ‘Keep Going’ although we considered it. Discuss the passphrase far away from phones or any recording device. This is as analog as possible. Don’t forget that the trigger for the passphrase is just as important as the phrase itself. So instead of asking ‘what’s the safe word?’ have a separate triggering question. For example, you could say ‘I’m eating banana cream pie’ and this would trigger your spouse to respond ‘purple velvet pillows’ if that’s the safe word.
Make it fun, silly, and easy to remember. And DON’T WRITE IT DOWN.
2) Cognitive security is an essential skill in 2026. Assume every image and video you see online is fake until proven otherwise. Expect scams and spammers, and be pleasantly surprised when it’s not.
3) Figure out a backup communication option with people who you absolutely need to be able to reach. Don’t just rely on a phone number for communication. Have redundant, ideally encrypted methods of communication with family.
What did I miss? I think (hope) Nikita is wrong on the timeframe- agentic bots like Claude bot are impressive but not quite ready to flood the phone lines in just 90 days. But I think it’s going to be a huge problem by the end of the year. I already get dozens of increasingly realistic spam calls and texts daily- it’s only going to get more annoying. Have a plan to keep your family and your finances safe!
Nikita Bier@nikitabier
Prediction: In less than 90 days, all channels that we thought were safe from spam & automation will be so flooded that they will no longer be usable in any functional sense: iMessage, phone calls, Gmail. And we will have no way to stop it.
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@Budgetdog_ @buccocapital I’ve been experimenting with Gemini, Grok, ChatGPT and giving it a CFP role. I uploaded Monarch spending data and trying to give it an accurate avatar. It’s been interesting and I think overall solid advice. What have you found to be off?
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@buccocapital It’s not close yet. It will get there likely. But not as of now.
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Unless you have $5M+, AI is already good enough to be your financial advisor. Even then it’s probably good enough
Try it. Share net worth, where/how you’ve allocated assets, what your goals are. Ask it to analyze and identify opportunities for improvement. Stress test different scenarios
It gets basically everything right. Which tax advantaged accounts to use. Whether and which trusts to set up based on federal and state variables. Yup, estate planning advice too
Really remarkable. And speaks to the fact that even if the models don’t improve, what we have today is going to totally transform white collar work
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@Mike_TH1984 biggest drawdown less than 2% - 92% WIN RATE!!!
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@ShortSeller Thanks @ShortSeller! Very thankful for you!
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or how about 'hey Short thanks for spending hours on your Saturday building and sharing charts for others' - fckn maggot
Cameron Brooks🎉 🔥@cameron_br777
@ShortSeller begging for engagement again
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@zerohedge Come on people - the Global 7500 is a terrible plane plagued with maintenance issues. Don’t take the rage bait.
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"Tough Choices": Grant Cardone Puts Private Jet Up For Sale During Bitcoin Crash zerohedge.com/crypto/tough-c…
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@Budgetdog_ Hi Brandon, I'm a CFA, CIM, CIWM, FCSI and CEA. Working on my CFP. Would you be opposed to a zoom meeting to exchange some business ideas? I'll gladly pay for your time by way of a donation to your favourite charity (matching your hourly rate).
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@hcleaver @Teslaconomics My point exactly. It’s scary to see smart people think this is strategic. It would do 0 to help further Elon’s technologies.
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@Teslaconomics First of all, it's an airline company, not a manufacturer. Second, if he really wants to make a plane, he can start another division of SpaceX to do it, with all the engineering, facilities, etc at his disposal. This take makes zero sense.
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Now knowing the CEO of Ryanair, Michael O’Leary just openly insulted Elon, let’s me start with his exact words so there’s no confusion:
“Musk knows even less about airline ownership rules than he does about aircraft aerodynamics. Perhaps Musk needs a break?? Ryanair is launching a Great Idiots seat sale especially for Elon and any other idiots on ‘X’. 100,000 seats for just €16.99 one-way.”
After seeing that, I honestly think the chances of Elon buying Ryanair just went up SIGNIFICANTLY.
Anyone who’s paid attention to Elon for more than five minutes knows how this usually goes. When someone tries to embarrass or fight him publicly, he first might trade insults and go back and forth, embrace the moment, but then he’ll go quiet… he’s now plotting his next move behind the scenes, enough talk.
So, at this point, I might as well talk about the bigger idea that may be happening if Elon buys Ryanair, which is the Tesla-SpaceX inspired electric airplane.
FYI, this is not some new idea… Elon’s been talking about building an electric aircraft for years, and pretty consistently.
Back in 2019, Elon said he already had a design for an electric VTOL aircraft and explained that batteries would need to reach around 400 Wh/kg to truly outperform kerosene. This was not a joke, he clearly did the first principles work behind the scenes.
In 2020 and 2021, he kept repeating the same idea. He said he was “dying to build a supersonic electric VTOL jet” but was too busy, even joking that adding more work would make his brain explode. It was a real thing he wanted to do, but the timing wasn’t right.
Fast forward to today in 2026, and the timing suddenly looks a bit better.
Battery energy density has been climbing fast. Tesla’s cells have moved from the low 200s into the 250-300 Wh/kg range, and Elon has repeatedly said the path to 400 is achievable!
Electric motors are far more efficient than jet engines, it’s roughly 90% efficiency vs about 30% for combustion. That means electric planes need much less energy density than jet fuel’s energy density to compete.
Now imagine the electric plane:
1/ Electric VTOL fans for takeoff and landing
2/ Distributed propulsion for control and safety
3/ High altitude flight where drag is lower
4/ And aerospace engineering experience straight from SpaceX that Ryanair could’ve NEVER had.
Even in 2025, Elon hinted on the Joe Rogan Experience about short bursts of vertical lift tied to Tesla’s future designs (aka next gen Roadster), with demos teased for 2026. That’s exactly how Elon has always done it. First tease, then build it quietly, and then shock everyone.
And that’s why this Ryanair takeover is about to get crazy and awesome at the same time… If Elon steps into the aviation world, he’s going to change the whole system (maybe I’ll like flying more):
• Electric aircraft
• Lower operating costs
• Quieter flights
• Faster point-to-point travel
• Starlink & AI software-first focused aviation
Just like he did with cars that hasn’t been disrupted for decades.
So when Ryanair’s CEO laughs and throws insults, I’m not really laughing anymore. It reminds me of the same kind of noise people made when they said EVs wouldn’t work, rockets couldn’t land, and Teslas were just glorified golf cars.
History says when Elon gets insulted like this, the response may first be words, but then it results in an amazing product being built.
Michael O’Leary, your time is limited. You made a BIG mistake messing with Elon Musk here.

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@Teslaconomics Why would Elon need to buy an ULCCA to fulfill this tech? It’s not like owning a bunch of 737’s is going to get him closer to an electric airplane.
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@Budgetdog_ The kids Taxable accounts are auto funded weekly through our SFR accounts. We bought them super cheap in 2019, and they cash flow like crazy, so we drive by the rentals every few months and the kids know those pay for their stock accounts.
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@Budgetdog_ Here’s my breakdown for taxable brokerage and Roth automated buys…
70% VTI
20% VXUS
10a% VBR
Kids Taxable
75% VTI
25% VGT (just to give a little tilt)
Solo 401k and Employer 401k
100% VTI
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