Juan the analyst

162 posts

Juan the analyst

Juan the analyst

@cavecane__

I'm not a paid shill, I'm just intelligent.

Buenos Aires, Argentine Katılım Şubat 2019
13 Takip Edilen20 Takipçiler
Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
I can't lose Lopez, because I'm sure of myself. That loser is just taking advantage of the fact that I said I'd stop replying to him. You're all really losers, aren't you? Not one of you is any better than the other. He's talking nonsense without contradicting any of my arguments. He's almost more pathetic than you.
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
The $RSR burn exceeded expectations, reaching 9,830,000 RSR in December 🫡 The RSR burn continues to follow an exponential pattern 🚀 If the burn continues this trend, token burning should exceed token issuance (650 million per month) in..... six months 🤯
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
@HeathersideD It's killing me with laughter, you're really talking to yourself in some obscure, forgotten comment section😂
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ $rsr - this guy talks about overlaying a graphic of BTC vs $RSR is valid. Forgets to add the visual Later, when I mention BTC as a price comparison for 2025, has a meltdown about how he was talking about RWA projects, so up his own arse it’s laughable. Pick a fucking lane.
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
You no longer know what to think about RSR. Thread: Technical analysis of RSR👇 Many see the disproportionate drop in $RSR price and tell themselves "RSR is dead, the team is useless, the token issuance killed the project," and this is understandable. A situation that is not made easier by all the $RSR detractors who have invaded Twitter. However, you will notice one thing: none of these same detractors actually have any arguments besides "the $RSR price is collapsing," without providing any deeper analysis. Their only field of action is limited to elements based on pure emotion. To counter this, and to restore your confidence in this project you believe in, I propose to you a visual graphic analysis and a technical financial analysis of the evolution of the $RSR price to demonstrate to you that its evolution is in no way particularly worrying. Visual Graphic Analysis Firstly, we can see that by overlaying the $RSR chart with that of Bitcoin, or those of the main RWA tokens, we can visually observe that in reality, $RSR is simply following the general trend of the cryptocurrency market. The $RSR chart does not show a more "disproportionate" price evolution than other cryptocurrencies. However, we do observe that RSR is indeed recording downward performances (%) that are much more significant than other cryptocurrencies, and more specifically than those of the RWA sector. To explain this, we are going to analyze the evolution of the $RSR price in a more technical way. Technical Financial Analysis For this technical analysis, we will rely on the financial indicator known as Beta. Beta measures the sensitivity of an asset's price relative to the evolution of a business sector. For example, if the Beta of RSR relative to the RWA market is 2, this means that for a 10% drop in the average price of the RWA market, the price of RSR drops by 20%, and for a 10% increase in the average price, RSR increases by 20%. In 2024, the RSR / RWA Beta is 1.8 -> for a 10% drop in the average RWA price, RSR drops by 18%. This is a fairly high Beta, which seems logical regarding RSR. It is indeed a small market capitalization, not yet well-established at the institutional level and therefore naturally riskier (stronger downward evolution than the market), but thus with more potential profitability gains (stronger upward evolution than the market). It is this high Beta that explains why RSR, while following the general trend, records more significant downward performances, without this being worrying. This furthermore means that if the sector starts rising again, RSR will rise with more intensity. A cryptocurrency that does a x1000 must necessarily have a very high Beta. BUT in 2025, the RSR / RWA Beta goes from 1.8 to 1.5 -> for a 10% drop in the average RWA price, RSR only drops by 15%. We are observing a "Beta compression." This decrease in the RSR / RWA Beta means that RSR is moving closer to the average evolution of the RWA sector and that the token is therefore in an "asset maturation" phase. This is easily explained by the development of DTF projects during the period and the consolidation of whale positions. So in 2025, for the same drop in the average RWA price, RSR records a smaller drop than if it had occurred in 2024. This decrease in Beta shows that not only is the drop in the RSR price not alarming, but it is also lower than what we would normally have seen. RSR is therefore not dead but has, on the contrary, shown resistance during the collapse of altcoins and the RWA sector, and this despite the issuance of millions of new tokens (impressive, isn't it?). Conclusion 👇
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
Honestly, I'm starting to find this debate a bit long. I'm going to stop here. I didn't really see where you contradicted my arguments, but we're not going to tweet each other for ages. I suppose we'll each stick to our positions until the future proves one of us right. I hope it's me. In any case, it was an interesting discussion. Cheers.
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 But but but… grow up - we are talking about Crypto. Reserve emulated the BTC emissions, but you now discount a comparison because it doesn’t suit your narrative. You kept asking me about the 185% until you admitted it was right, now answer my question- Why are you here Juan?
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
@HeathersideD @Lopezo110 The price of the token, if you prefer. I work in the stock market, I have my vocabulary habits. That doesn't change the fact that you don't understand anything. Don't try to change the subject, I know what you're doing.
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
@HeathersideD @Lopezo110 But I'm talking about RWA, what are you going on about with your Bitcoin and ETH performance? 😭 Bitcoin is one of the safest cryptocurrencies, obviously it hasn't fallen as much as RSR. You really don't understand anything😭
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 It was down about 85% in 2025 Juan! Here’s the top 10, by Grok. If you want to head further down, the top 100 went down between 15-25%
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
Okay, I'm going to reply to all your tweets at once because I'm starting to find this tedious. Please try to understand because this is the last time I'm explaining. First, I never said the +185% was wrong; in fact, it's perfectly correct. I said that $RSR has evolved according to the general trend of RWA, which is true, and I've already demonstrated this to you with supporting figures. You're arguing that RWA has increased by 185%, and that I'm therefore talking nonsense and that RSR has evolved in the opposite direction to RWA. EXCEPT that the AI ​​gave you the increase in the MARKET CAPITALIZATION of RWA, not the average change in the RWA PRICE, which is indeed negative. Because, as you may know, price changes are not necessarily correlated with changes in market capitalization. So your point is OFF TOPIC. This shows that you're mixing everything up, and therefore you don't understand anything. Secondly, you say that RSR is dead because its price collapsed. That doesn't make sense. RSR simply fluctuated according to its sensitivity to the RWA sector, which I've already technically demonstrated to you. Besides, all the major RWA tokens have collapsed, so according to you, RWA is dead? Well, no, and it's the same with RSR. Thirdly, I'm not a shill, considering everything I've just told you, just someone who believes in the project and understands perfectly well that the project isn't dead at all, but is simply suffering from the general decline in cryptocurrencies. There's therefore no reason to stop supporting this ambitious project. I'm simply trying to explain this to people who, without any financial knowledge, claim that a project is dead because it's down 80%. All you're demonstrating is that you don't really know anything about it. You bought without knowing, you sold without knowing, and now you're criticizing without knowing.
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 You said you asked ChatGPT and got the same answer Juan. I used 2 LLMs to confirm (grok). It’s the same as research or internet search. I decided 2 LLMs would be correct (same figure), you have decided to argue that both are wrong. You keep asking for a real argument Juan…
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
Indeed, a one-year timeframe seems reasonable for a significant burn, but only IF the protocol continues to develop interesting projects, of course. We'll see in a year. Regarding the token issuance, I never defended it; I said that coupled with a good burn system, it wasn't necessarily counterproductive. Furthermore, I've already technically demonstrated that the issuance didn't have a significant impact on the RSR price. So, no defense here, but nuance, in response to those who were loudly proclaiming these decisions catastrophic, when, factually, the price simply followed the general trend without suffering from the issuance.
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 Although the burns have stopped, you said a 1 year timeframe was reasonable. Let’s review if 2026’s burn is more or less than 1 month of 2025 next year. I doubt it. You didn’t fight the emissions schedule, you supported it, so that was wrong too.
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
I'm not saying that using AI is a crime. But asking AI for information and then regurgitating it without even trying to understand it is dishonest (confusing market capitalization and share price growth shows a serious lack of analysis). This demonstrates two things: you don't truly grasp the subject in depth, and you don't have a real argument, being forced to ask the AI ​​for a pre-prepared one.
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 Firstly, the use of AI for research is not a crime, Grok says the same - you are arguing against billions of dollars of intelligence, not just some idiot on X. I don’t ask it to write for me, and I disagree with it and challenge it a lot. But those are the facts.
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
Despite our disagreements, I find you quite thoughtful, unlike that other crazy woman, Lopez. But let's be honest, firstly, whatever you say, you haven't answered my response regarding the so-called +185%. Secondly, as I told you in the previous tweet, I didn't say that the burns would continue to follow an exponential curve; I even said that this scenario was unlikely. So I don't see where I'm supposed to be wrong 🤔 We even agree on this point, in fact 😂 I simply pointed out that at a specific moment, $RSR burns were following an exponential curve, which was true at that moment, clearly stating that it was unlikely to continue. In the end, didn't I get it all right?!
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RSR Community
RSR Community@HeathersideD·
@cavecane__ @Lopezo110 There’s replies on other threads Juan. Whether it’s stopped or not, you were wrong. It’s a fluctuating number an not exponential, and nowhere near super exponential. Your data set was too narrow. It’s not logical to assume $RSR is going to moon when all evidence says it won’t.
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Lopez_o1
Lopez_o1@Lopezo110·
Seeing a few more paid shills promoting rsr, even bringing out the dead narrative of 'Peter Thiel' being involved. @nnevvinn must be getting a bit desperate now.... #rsr $rsr #btc $btc #eth
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Lopez_o1
Lopez_o1@Lopezo110·
@cavecane__ @nnevvinn What your tweet or Nevins. Go look at hai account. Bro I don't need to argue anymore with ty, I just look at rsr price.
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Lopez_o1
Lopez_o1@Lopezo110·
@cavecane__ @nnevvinn 'Thiel never announced his withdrawal' Your words. Isiot. Even Nevin himself (or this is possibly Nevins burner account) has said Thiel has nothing to do with the project. So proven by the man himself 🤡
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Juan the analyst
Juan the analyst@cavecane__·
Did I assume Thiel had any influence on $RSR ? Idiot. You're the one assuming the argument about Thiel is outdated, when, until proven otherwise, he still has a stake in the project. And even if it doesn't affect my belief in RSR, I'll always have more confidence in Thiel's investment choices than in those of a pathetic coward like you. Do you realize your life is so sad that you spend it criticizing a project you don't believe in? You're so invested that some people think you have five accounts 🤣🤣
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Lopez_o1
Lopez_o1@Lopezo110·
@cavecane__ @nnevvinn You have very little understanding of how investors work. He would be inbested in hundreds of not thousands of projects. He has zero say in anything involving rsr. The fact you don't k lw this doesn't surprise me.
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Lopez_o1
Lopez_o1@Lopezo110·
Hey can someone call @nnevvinn a cunt for me? He blocked me along time ago for calling out his scam. I'm sure he knows he's is a cunt, but just a reminder. Cheers. $rsr #rsr #btc
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Chihiro
Chihiro@CryptoChihiro·
@Adam_1057 my wish would be 100million $RSR get burned in 2026
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