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Our End of Season NBA Draft prospects report.
Lineup data and situational splits that add context to player production.
Patterns that don’t show up in the box score and can change how a season is evaluated.
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CBB Analytics
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CBB Analytics
@CBBAnalytics
The most comprehensive college basketball analytics platform in the world | Business inquiries: [email protected]
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Pressure creators.
These NBA Draft guard prospects generated the highest percentage of their shot attempts at the rim.
Getting downhill consistently is one of the hardest skills to find at the next level. Converting efficiently once you arrive separates the good from the elite.
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If you're an NBA team with a top-10 pick and in need of a point guard, who are you riding with?
These are 4 of the 7 freshmen guards that dropped at least 40 points in a game this season.
Acuff: 49 points at Alabama
Wagler: 46 points at Purdue
Brown: 45 points vs NC State
Flemings: 42 points at Texas Tech
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CBB Analytics retweetledi
There were only 7 players in the transfer portal with 60+ threes, 16%+ assist rate, and a 2.5+ RAPM, per @CBBAnalytics.
Virginia has picked up two of them with Christian Harmon and Jurian Dixon. Shooting, passing, and on-court value to fit alongside a returning core. Love it.
Transfer Portal@TransferPortal
BREAKING: Arkansas State transfer guard Christian Harmon has committed to Virginia⚔️ Harmon averaged 12.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game this season. on3.com/rivals/christi…
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Darryn Peterson’s swing skill is on-ball decision making.
20.2 PPG
8% assist ratio
Lowest assist rate for a 20 PPG major-conference scorer since LSU’s Cam Thomas in 2020–21.
A finisher’s profile. His NBA role hinges on directing offense, not just ending it.
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There's plenty of size left in the portal, even with 7-9 Olivier Rioux off to UC Irvine.
There are 48 more 7-footers active in the portal, and here's the tallest of the tall.
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Two of the toughest projections in this draft: Chris Cenac and Nate Ament.
Both show midrange-heavy profiles at 6-9+, but the context diverges. Houston ranked 10th nationally in midrange rate. Tennessee was 119th.
Separating role from skill is where evaluation gets difficult.
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11 players transferred from D3 to D1 last offseason.
Justin Allen led Green Bay in scoring in 10 games and helped the Phoenix to a +14 win increase, the 4th-largest improvement in the country.
Real impact. #DontSleepOnD3
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Of the top 40 players in the WBB portal ranked by RAPM (@CBBAnalytics):
- 3 remain unsigned
- Big 12 has signed the most w/ 11
- TCU, Ok State, UCLA & Ole Miss lead as teams w/ 3 each
- 45 of 47 signed went P4, two went MM
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The NIL era is flipping the NBA Draft on its head.
Only 71 players entered the 2026 NBA Draft, per the NBA. Down from 106 last year and a peak of 363 in 2021.
That's the lowest early-entrant total since 2003.
College basketball stars are staying in school, overwhelmingly.
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Me'Arah O'Neal is a great fit for Kentucky.
Amelia Hassett is off to the WNBA after hitting an SEC-leading 99 three-pointers, the most by any 6-4 player in 13 years.
O’Neal made the most threes of any 6-4 player returning to school next season.
Clean replacement.
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Motiejus Krivas is returning to Arizona, and that's a very big deal.
The Wildcats allowed just 37% shooting to their opponents with Krivas on the court this season, the lowest percentage tied to any player in the country.
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Perhaps the biggest question about AJ Dybantsa's game was his consistency from the 1st half of games to the 2nd half.
Two examples:
— Shot 25% on three-pointers in 1st half and 41% in 2nd half
— Generated blocks and steals more than 2x as frequently in 1st half than 2nd half
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Darius Acuff Jr. is headed to the NBA.
— 3rd SEC freshman guard named First Team All-American (Chris Jackson & John Wall)
— 1 of 3 major conference freshmen to avg 20 PPG & 5 APG in last 30 years (Trae Young & Markelle Fultz)
— 1st freshman to avg 20 PPG and shoot 40% on three-pointers in 5 years (Cade Cunningham)
— Highest 3-PT Pct for an SEC freshman in 21 years (Chris Lofton)
What's he good at? Pretty much everything.
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These are the Top-15 teams in the final AP Poll.
Which contenders are losing the most to the portal 👇
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Thomas Haugh’s return to Florida brings a clear opportunity for growth.
He was efficient in transition (73%) but shot just 38% in the halfcourt, which accounted for 76% of his FGAs.
Improvement in halfcourt efficiency would have an outsized impact on his overall effectiveness.
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John Blackwell is a strong addition for Duke, but he struggled in clutch time this season.
Blackwell shot 26% in clutch time (7-27 FG), the last 5 minutes when the score was within 6 points. He was 1 of 6 major conference players to score 30 clutch time points on sub-30% shooting this season.
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It's a huge win for Duke. Ngongba is an absolutely elite defender ranking 5th in the country in DRAPM and 20th in Defensive Win Shares Per 40.
Kevin O'Connor@KevinOConnor
Huge news for Duke. The NBA is still awaiting decisions for at least nine other potential first round picks after Patrick Ngongba and Braylon Mullins both decided to return to college.
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