chatSBC

2.3K posts

chatSBC

chatSBC

@chat_SBC

“If I knew the way, I would take you home”

New York, USA Katılım Ocak 2020
1.1K Takip Edilen2.9K Takipçiler
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
investment thesis by vintage: 2015: good management, earnings grow, long 2021: TAM $500bn, only 20x sales, covid win, long 2026: AI maybe hurt, chart bad, short
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
Investing with a margin of safety prob the easiest way to lose money now
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TBU
TBU@TBU12345678·
we have once again decided to send both $MU and $DELL / $HPQ / $NTAP / $HPE limit up today. so...is memory the chokepoint or not guys? you can't have it both ways!
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Jensen's Bicep
Jensen's Bicep@BillyTheKid_59·
periodic thread: what businesses are 'dead in the water' with 75-80% confidence from AI on a terminal look? i'll add some below. bonus for under the radar names. looking to compile a worst of the worst. set and forget type list
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
@ChairliftCap The best business has - good acceleration - easy comps - bottleneck in obscure substrate - chart breaking out
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chatSBC retweetledi
dalibali
dalibali@dalibali2·
Hypothesis: this quarter is the first quarter where actual automation capabilities started to permeate through enterprise SaaS and we will start to see the feature benefits trickle up. Making SaaS the next leg of the AI trade.
dalibali tweet media
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
@bucketshopcap if you're not learning about microcap European lasers and substrates you're ngmi
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
Hating on the best $CSU analyst for a very legit question is why the CSU investor base has a bad rep for being complacent/dumb (speaking as a long-time s/h) Esp when AI and implications to growth/mgns are changing so quickly, understanding quarterly datapoints is critical
Drew Cohen@DrewCohenMoney

$CSU had their first earnings call in over 8 years And the sell-side did not disappoint. First question? How did 1Q payroll taxes impact margins for the quarter...

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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
@pekwat not saying standalone valuations are correct, but Quantinuum very real asset (on tech side at least), and Honeywell has scarcity value as one of a few investable quant co. institutionally ex. IBM (which as own issues)
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
AMZN should double over N2Y with not much downside. Best combo of starting multiple/quality plus exposure to trainium, robotics leverage, AWS upside to anthro, HALO premium Stock +60 over last five years QQQ +120 40% upside just to catch up 11x 2027 EBITDA, numbers too low Likely trades for high teens on much higher #s in a year
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Hunter SPX Thompson ❎
Hunter SPX Thompson ❎@CoorsLightCEO·
are there some insane buyside numbers for ARM out there or what cuz i dont get it
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
@OnodaCapital orbital data centers $VRT tbf - will see this as bear case
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Hiroo Onoda
Hiroo Onoda@OnodaCapital·
Gavin clearly short $GEV, prob $VRT too
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chatSBC retweetledi
Ernie Tedeschi
Ernie Tedeschi@ernietedeschi·
Next: The SaaSpocalypse of early 2026—software equity falls on fears that agentic AI would cannibalize SaaS revenue—was primarily prospective: actual transaction volumes for the 100 largest non-AI SaaS companies on Stripe showed a brief dip, then recovery & continued growth. /4
Ernie Tedeschi tweet media
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chatSBC
chatSBC@chat_SBC·
space data centers feels like one of the cleaner themes (no ROI/AI debates, good positioning) for 2027-2030 best ways to play? $RDW $RKLB $PL, any others strongly believe this becomes a bear case for terrestrial DC layer over time (think starlink to telcos, seemed like implausible bear case, then happened all at once)
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