
Koosh
4.5K posts

Koosh
@chef_koosh
A basic dude trying to do based things. Cooking, sneaker design, Bruce Lee, Hip Hop, Motown, History. NY Giants, Mets, Knicks, THFC.
The Wood Katılım Mayıs 2009
410 Takip Edilen209 Takipçiler

@jam_croissant But that flow is gone tomorrow? How’s the vol supply after vixperation?
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CODE SHARES - a review with links.
Since many of you keep asking for links to the Thinkscript studies I shared, I took some time to go back and scarf up the links.
Since October 29, I shared Thinkscript studies ... aimed primarily at intraday trading as the S&P 500 had become so punishing. Here are the prior tweets - with the code along with some use case examples:
On configuring Thinkorswim to show the studies:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
On applying the Thinkscript code for scanning (Scan tab):
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 11 - A review of the studies shared, displaying them in one tweet:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 11 - An precautionary example of accurate signaling vs unexpected reversals:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 10 - Examples displaying results from the shared Thinkscripts:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 10 - Thinkscript code for placing GEX values into your Options Chain:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 9 - Thinkscript for a moving average that highlights bullish/bearish changes in slope (a momentum proxy):
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 9 - Thinkscript for painting price bars with the same code used in the code that customized the Scanner:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 8 - Example displaying implementation of GEX into Thinkorswim's Options Chain:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 8 - Thinkscript for scanning for long positions, predicated on the notion that even in bearish markets ... there will be good long opportunities:
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 5 - Example implementing the Thinkscripts for Advancing/Declining and the slope-enhanced adaptive moving average. "I'm booking profits today," in a 20-day 1-hour timeframe.
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
Nov 5 - Thinkscript for highlighting Nasdaq market internals (Advancing/Declining issues):
x.com/TailThatWagsDo…
__________________________
Important Note:
There were tweets referring to two traders translating some of these studies into Pinescript for Trading View. Talk to them about those studies.
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@jam_croissant I thought of you when this was going down. Looks like small test runs towards that end
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@chef_koosh Only short vol shop that really got hurt (that I know of) is Lattice. Outside of that there were some “long vol” shops that lost a bunch of money in April (yes you read that correctly).
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I think the next “taily” thing to happen in the derivatives market is vol spikes hard and stays elevated at those levels while the curve actually rolls up for a bit. I feel like so many models are optimized for vol going up and coming right back down. That would put a hole in a lot of things. No clue when, but a lot of people and systems continue to believe that vol spikes only last a day or so lol.
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😂
Not sure why you crave my attention so much…. I can only think it has to do with your deep insecurity & my consistent running ⭕️’s around you for years.
You should watch my long form convos , so you better understand my views instead of randomly popping in every 3 months with some lazy uniformed comment.
But because you need spoon feeding here you go:
In December I stated a slowdown in Q2 & QE is what the admin wanted. That is why they were likely to push the market down. I called for the Feb-March OpEx cycle decline and a steep rally starting in April that likely failed somewhere below all time highs.
We were bullish all last year for over 20% of the rally. We called for the summer of George last year from early May to late July and the pivoted to long vol At July Vixperation.
Your 2 dimensional thinking had you bearish all year. No nuance. No pivots. Just short all the way up.
When the admin didn’t get the QE they wanted, they pivoted in full at the bottom. The budget changed in congress. The tariffs went on pause. And Elon was cut loose from the administration. The recession call was wrong because it didn’t foresee the speed of the admin pivot. But the reality is we got a big negative Q1 GDP print and a liquidity response equivalent to QE from the admin.
When the rally turned, like I called it would in April, you once again rode my coattail, turning late . But Not going long like us, but instead stating with a milketoast ‘flattening here’
You then turned short early again riding it up for more losses. More stubborn 2 dimensional thinking.
After a rally into my 5700-6000 range. a month ago I said publicly that we were looking for shorts again in that range for potential stair steps down. But that if it didn’t happen by end of month we would need to give up on the short for a few months, due to overwhelming vol supply. Only to be revisited in August.
We chopped and chopped, despite quite a few 2 sided opportunities, due to overwhelming vol supply…But, like we telegraphed a month ago, and have insinuated was likely coming, we have now pivoted to a ‘summer of George’. 2 month vol compression track. Same thing as last year until Aug 1. This is not necessarily bullish. Just choppy and vol compressing.
The 1 year view is still intact. -35-50% peak to trough by June 2026 with some coming later this year, but most likely coming early next year.
And yes I think this admin is intent to extend their presidency to a 3rd term, as they have publicly said they are. I have reliable info that says this is already being discussed. And martial law is their preferred To remind you, they already showed a willingness to go to great lengths to stay in office…
So yup all time frames and ‘bases’ covered.
This is the problem with your approach. Dogmatic 2 dimensional thinking. All arrows must be down or all arrows must be up. That’s not how the world works. Be water.
I’m happy to explain it all to you in more excruciating detail in person, if you would like a conversation. But I’m guessing you don’t want that. You just want engagement.
GIF
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Top Of The Morning!
$SPX MAIN PIVOT 6000
UPPER FLIP AT 6020 OVER SQUEEZE TO 6040-45
LOWER PIVOT 5975 UNDER 5950
Just remember who called for 6200 1st when it hits soon👇
#GreenRoom Data Powered by @OptionsDepth
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@ozzy_livin @jam_croissant Thanks guys. I’m guessing up Friday - Tuesday and then down Wednesday.
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Would people please post in comments all the "anyone here trade the summer of 2011? I did." Memes they've seen. They are hilarious. What a pompous ass I can be some times.
𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐞@EffMktHype
anyone on here trade the summer of 2011? I did.
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@maxanderson Just focus on Jesus’ words and how that resonates with you. Everything else is just noise.
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Never been religious
Been trying out church with my wife & 2yr old son past few wks b/c we like the values + community
Sitting thru sermon, trying to keep an open mind and no judgement
But it often sounds like crazy talk, super culty
Specially the references to scripture. Overly cryptic rather than just saying the lesson in plain english
And stuff like you need to “submit” — reminds me of the way religion was used historically to control people in some pretty dark ways
Causes this repulsive reaction
Finding it hard to “buy in”
Any advice from Christian folks on how to get past this?
Genuinely want to get into it because I see in the Christian friends I have it seems to add a lot of value to their lives
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