小瓜
308 posts


The @btc faucet is a temporary, promotional drop designed to educate users on self-custody. Limited funds available, one claim per @tether.me user. ⚡
Read the full T&Cs at wallet.tether.io/giveaway-2026-… before participating!

English

无意中 看到一篇文章,coinglass发布的Q1加密货币报告,
这篇报告证实了我一直以来的看法,
那就是在这个圈子已经沦为赌场,哪怕是比特币,也已经没有人再买了。
我身边认识的所有人,无论是有钱的还是没钱的,没有一个人持有比特币,一个都没有。
哪怕是牛市时,也没有,都只是玩合约。
肯定有人反驳,那是你的感觉,你是玩合约的你身边肯定都是玩合约的,
那就看数据吧:
这篇报告说 2026 Q1市场衍生品$18.63万亿,现货只有$1.94万亿,衍生品对现货的比值是9.6倍。
换句话说,每10块钱的交易,只有不到1块钱是在买卖真实的币,剩下9块多全是合约、永续、期货。
市场里愿意直接买币的人减少到了历史低位,剩下活跃的参与者几乎全在用合约管理仓位、对冲风险、短线博弈。
说人话就是币圈已经没人买币了,都TM是来赌博多空的!
交易所中,币安还是无可争议的老大,属于单独一档的领先,尤其是大户还是更钟情于币安,
币安的用户资产规模占比达到恐怖的73.5%,是其他所有交易所加起来资产总和的大约三倍,拥有超强的支配地位。


中文
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The biggest question for crypto:
will AI use it?
Say an instance of ChatGPT, or Claude, wants more compute.
Does it pay by wire transfer, credit card, or crypto?
On the one hand, trad finance doesn't work well for AIs.
Like—how do they KYC? They have no passport, address, social security number, or even name.
Crypto works much better—it's already digital, it's permissionless, AIs can already query the blockchain, etc.
On the other hand, we might see an 'agent' model:
each AI is treated as an agent of some specific human, and that human does the KYC, is responsible for what the AI does, etc.
(Which brings up a related question: who is legally responsible for what an AI does?)
Either way, some work needs to be done to plug the world of AI into the world of trading and payments. Either that work will be natively digital and crypto-based, or it'll be reliant on a human 'master' for the AI.
Which direction it goes in has huge implications for the world.
One of those is the future of crypto.
English
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