@Nadav_Eyal @biannagolodryga Isn’t attacking Iran’s energy infrastructure also complex and fraught with danger, and would also trigger a severe escalation?
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Katılım Şubat 2015
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Exclusive - Israeli security officials: The option of seizing islands in Iran (Kharg or others) or the Strait of Hormuz is “complex and fraught with danger,” and would likely trigger “massive Iranian attacks on energy infrastructure, the laying of mines, and, in any case, a severe escalation.”
Their recommendation, as conveyed to decision-makers: if Iran refuses an agreement- and in any case escalates attacks on regional energy- the allies should threaten (and, if necessary, carry out) strikes causing extensive damage to Iran’s energy infrastructure, and not immediately execute a ground operation.
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@cloneristic @annakhachiyan Men knowing their aging partner was probably a ho in her youth gives them the moral calculus to excuse their own cheating with youthful ho’s whenever the opportunity presents itself.
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Hate to burst any bubbles, but a woman's body count or slutty past costs her absolutely NOTHING in realistic dating market value. Even if it did, any woman can easily defeat her ho phase forever by simply not talking about it. Checkmate. Foids win. Flawless...victory.
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@perky_smiles @pr574168983635 @Steve_Sailer Only the antisemitic criticism of Israel is antisemitic. And if you think sometimes antisemitism is a good thing then you are an antisemite and should analyze the psychological roots of your envy and fear.
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@pr574168983635 @Steve_Sailer If ALL criticism of Israel is antisemitic that means that--SOMETIMES--antisemitism is a good thing.
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Lots of peoples are good at holding grudges for an inordinately long time, but you have to respect the Jewish ability to get _other_ people to care about trivialities like this four decade old ethnic grudge against Roald Dahl for getting angry over Israel's 1982 Lebanon invasion.
New York Post@nypost
'Giant' review: John Lithgow is superb as Roald Dahl in show about his revolting anti-Semitism trib.al/fjtu38M
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@pr574168983635 @tomsweissmann @Steve_Sailer Just curious, which Jewish group behavior contributes to antisemitism?
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@tomsweissmann @Steve_Sailer And that's simply a statement of fact. Dahl wasn't defending Hitler or justifying his treatment of Jews, but it would be absurd and bizarre to claim Hitler "picked on them" them at random. Jewish group behavior contributed to antisemitism; this should frankly be uncontroversial.
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@JimHansonDC @SpencerGuard What has been stopping us from doing this from the start?
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A plan to open the Strait of Hormuz
Place a blockade on the outflow of Iran's from Kharg Island
Any tankers filled with Iranian oil will be impounded until they allow free passage through Hormuz
There is no reason to allow any Iranian oil to reach market
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@WokeCapital @annakhachiyan Mediterranean or middle eastern Christian.
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@churrascooooo If AI steadily gets cheaper, faster, and better, enterprise will benefit from it. AI will do to workers what Amazon did to brick and mortar retail. Won’t replace all, but will offer a more convenient alternative that replaces many. It will be irresistible.
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someone explain the economics behind tying 50% of your essential businesses operations to a prohibitively expensive software enterprise license which cannot be laid off, replaced or negotiated with
CG@cgtwts
Anthropic CEO: “50% of all entry-level Lawyers, Consultants, and Finance Professionals will be completely wiped out within the next 1–5 years." grad students and junior hires are cooked.
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@InterestingSTEM So do populations in war zones, impoverished areas, natural disasters, etc tend to have more baby girls and fewer baby boys than typical?
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Stressed pregnant mothers are twice as likely to have girls because male fetuses are more fragile and die off while females survive the harsh conditions.
Physically stressed women had only 31% boys vs 56% in healthy mothers.
A solid 2019 study in PNAS tracked 187 women starting early in pregnancy and looked at a ton of stress signals: anxiety, depression, PTSD stuff, blood pressure, cortisol levels, inflammation, calorie intake, sleep- you name it, they measured 27 different markers.
They split the women into three groups:
- The "healthy" ones (about 65% of the group, basically low stress across the board) had the usual U.S. birth ratio: around 56% boys.
- The psychologically stressed group (17%, really high anxiety/depression scores) dropped to about 40% boys.
- The physically stressed group (another 17%, things like high blood pressure plus eating a lot more calories 500–600 extra a day but normal mental health) ended up with only 31% boys. That's roughly a 2:1 girl-to-boy ratio.
Out of all 88 boys born in the study, 69 came from the healthy moms, while just 8 came from the physically stressed ones.
The researchers put it pretty straightforward: really intense maternal stress early on seriously lowers the chances of a male fetus making it to term. Male embryos already start out a bit more fragile than females, and spikes in cortisol, inflammation, or other physical stressors seem to tip them over the edge.
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@amitisinvesting Or there are competing factions in the government, with one negotiating and the other refusing to negotiate, both acting like they’re in charge.
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IRAN RESPONDS TO THE US 15-POINT AGREEMENT:
- Iran rejects ceasefire, says it will not negotiate with parties that violated agreements
- Will only end the war after achieving strategic goals
- Accuses Israeli journalists in Western media of spreading propaganda and denies any direct or indirect talks with the U.S.
This is according to the Fars News Agency, essentially the official media outlet of the IRGC.
Now, there are two scenarios here:
1) Iran is actually negotiating but denying all negotiations to place maximum pressure on the US so that credit markets continue to price in further escalation which could make Trump give more concessions
2) There are zero negotiations happening, there is no peace deal in place, all of the reporting on this has been wrong and the war is continuing like it was before any of these headlines came in.
If it’s the latter, markets may start to give up the move they made yesterday after hours. If Iran is just saying this to create more leverage and markets figure that out, then the idea of a ceasefire becomes more real and potentially could get priced in to a greater extent than the move we saw yesterday.
amit@amitisinvesting
BREAKING: The United States has sent a 15-point agreement with terms to a one month ceasefire to Iran, as per the New York Times. The exact terms have not been disclosed but broad ideas are around Iran giving up full control of their nuclear weapons and the US lifting sanctions.
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@zriboua It all depends on execution. Both sides stalling until boots are on the ground. If US suffers high casualties, it’s over.
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One side is losing
And the other side is winning
Battlefield is the negotiation, all fun and games until it comes to replenishing units and staying alive.
A Rao@raoabhijeet
@zriboua Both sides are exchanging maximalist demands. Clearly negotiations haven’t progressed much at all.
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Does anybody read?
Unless US gives major concessions there is no deal happening here.
Anadolu English@anadoluagency
#BREAKING Pakistani sources tell Anadolu breakthrough expected within 48 hours in US-Iran talks as Tehran seeks guarantees, keeps missile program off limits, demands compensation
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@StealthQE4 By increasing its revenue in the future. People should care more about growth, market share, and stickiness. Worrying about maximizing revenue now is short sighted.
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How is this company ever going to pay any of this money back when its revenues are only $20 billion a year?
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: OpenAI to raise an additional $10,000,000,000.00 at a $730,000,000,000.00 valuation.
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@zriboua Is it quantifiable to what extent China was/is dependent on discount oil? When that changes, what is the effect on the Chinese economy?
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The point Trump is making is that the United States was never really competing in a "fair international order," it always had to pay a price for it, neglect some key aspect of national security, and obviously, an actor like China benefited, with Iran being the prime example of a discount oil station that Beijing took advantage of for years.
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Counterpoint:
These kids are more or less fine. They’re drunkenly enjoying their spring break.
Better to be socializing and partying with friends in real life than doomscrolling on X in isolation and hyperventilating about how awful America is.
Thomas Chatterton Williams@thomaschattwill
A lot of the problems in the world right now can be explained by this video. For one thing, it’s a big reason why the US government is so unaccountable to public opinion. These are *college students.* A significant amount of the country is totally checked out and comfortable enough not to think it matters.
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@KosherRedPill The Israeli is admirable but also more likely to mistakenly kill a fellow Jew.
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@JadeCole2112 That’s was only $1 billion. A drop in the bucket.
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I was wondering why OpenAI was suddenly trying to do another $10B raise literally weeks after their "record $110B raise".
Ed Zitron@edzitron
Oh looks like I was right and the deal is dead lol hollywoodreporter.com/business/digit…
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@munchymarks @DailySignal I’m pro Israel but no one is going to see “leave your house or else we’ll kill your whole family” as a noble or humane.
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@DailySignal They do it to save the family. It's a step outside, or stay inside and your family dies. Most choose to save their family. It's not creepy; it's called trying to be humane.
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Victor Davis Hanson: Israel Calls Iranian Security Forces Before Killing Them
The Israeli military is targeting those responsible for killing protesters in Iran months ago.
Israel has reportedly gone so far as to call its targets in advance to tell them they are about to be killed.
“There was a really bizarre story today where he called up a [Revolutionary] Guard officer and they said, ‘You’re dead [man].’ He said, ‘Yeah, I’m a dead man walking, but I didn’t do anything wrong.’”
@VDHanson
Full episode: youtu.be/jzm7oP9eC2w
YouTube
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@murder_turd @O_T_Lee @Techmeme Look into Standard Oil. Or even Amazon. You can drive out competitors by losing money. Dominating will bring in investment capital.
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Sources: OpenAI is offering PE firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5% and early access to new models to secure JVs, an improvement on Anthropic's terms (Reuters)
reuters.com/business/opena…
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@mtracey @EFischberger the Israelis have tricked the Saudis into tricking Trump into a war with Iran, who they tricked
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Can we get a big emotional Podcaster Reckoning over how Saudi Arabia is "dragging" or "tricking" hapless Trump into a ground troop deployment in Iran?
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