Sam Colbert

@JohnLoc18 similar boat. I'm gonna have to join the BS headlines narrative to profit on these BS headlines releases that are happening allllll day to move the markets or hold them up. Take some short term calls and longer term puts......

$SPY this is my positions so far bought around 679-680.

@DeItaone Does anyone know what the real truth is so confused with all the different updates. This doesn't make sense if Iran didn't agree to all the other points as well then this would be a moot point as well. #headlines #IranWar‌ #stocks #stockmarket

IRAN WEIGHING END TO URANIUM ENRICHMENT IN US DEAL TALKS Iran is reportedly reviewing a U.S. proposal to end the war that would require abandoning uranium enrichment, according to NYPA/New York Post reporting. Negotiations in Islamabad were complicated by communication security concerns, making it difficult for Iranian officials to reach decision-makers in Tehran, a Pakistani analyst said.

@fit_businessman Thank you sir

Retrace trade is not based on Iran.. Algos kicked in buying on headline below. Doesn’t change the thesis.. Remember Friday; +flows Monday/Tuesday closing bulls door. Wednesday opens window of weakness. Headlines aren’t a trading strategy.

@jayalxndr Good deal.

absolute banger day that top tick short felt so refreshing

@FirstSquawk hmm...

SENIOR IRANIAN OFFICIALS ARE LOCKED IN A DISPUTE OVER THE COMPOSITION AND AUTHORITY OF THE DELEGATION SET TO NEGOTIATE WITH THE UNITED STATES IN ISLAMABAD, ACCORDING TO INFORMATION RECEIVED BY IRAN INTERNATIONAL. - SOURCES

@FirstSquawk ok so that doesn't stop the attacks. Israel has shown they have their own plan that not 100% aligned with USA

Israel's Channel 11: Netanyahu Has Changed The Policy Of Attacking Lebanon Following Trump's Call - From Now On, Any Attack On Beirut Requires Netanyahu's Special Approval.  - Another Israeli Official Said There Is No Ceasefire, But The Intensity Of Attacks Has Been Sharply Reduced And Is Subject To Stricter Political Restrictions.

@DeItaone Risk off weekend. Iran doesn't show or they can't agree... not going to be pretty

*TRUMP PREPARING MILITARY IF IRAN FAILS TO COMPLY IN TALKS: NYP *TRUMP SAYS WARSHIPS ARE BEING RELOADED IN CASE TALKS FAIL: NYP *NYP CITES FRIDAY INTERVIEW WITH TRUMP

@DeItaone sounds like some concern... on a plan being reached.

🚨 Trump: 'The Iranians don’t seem to realize they have no cards, other than a short term extortion of the World by using International Waterways. The only reason they are alive today is to negotiate! President DONALD J. TRUMP'

@fit_businessman Thank you sir!

@JohnLoc18 trying to wait for lil more confirmation. missed my entry

$SPY wedge is breaking down due to military threaten if the talk goes wrong.

@jayalxndr really bad one for me

anyone else having a bad week or just me?

@Basssem666 @fit_businessman Trying to jump in on confirmation ... still mucking around in this 680-82 zone.... got lil ptsd playing downside lately

@fit_businessman 🩸🩸🩸

$SPY Kinda makes sense 🤔🤔

@fit_businessman Watching

$SPY CTA are NOT smart money.. they are the drunk dude that comes late to party and crashes the place. CTA feed off their own momentum chasing their tail like a puppy. Smart money knows they can dump on them. Same with vol control; daily exit liquidity. Positioning unwind was the major force simultaneous to CTA chasing their tail. Getting close to their nap time.

@fit_businessman Thank You. Trying to wait for that push up before shorting. Everytime looks possible for downside... the buying starts.

$SPY CTA the whale under the surface‼️ CTA buying spree continued yesterday +$12B.. bringing their net exposure to ~$22B. Expecting their flows to support through next week if they follow their liberation day buying to $60B exposure (99%ile positioning). CTA will have swung from 99%ile short to long in a matter of weeks. They become less impactful next week. Bought $72B/ $38B (max) remains. The next buyer is vol control funds. If volatility subsides they are projected to step in next week ~$80B buying power; rebalance daily. Supportive today of ~$5B buy flat. Systematics are the buying force that have lifted market and supersized the squeeze. This is their exact dynamic playing out. To put into context: Retail averages $2B day S&P. Systematics are mammoths forcing price. They likely reach a level around 685 large gamma wall that MM defend and force them to chew through buying power. The easy move has been made. Always aware of the flows. They dictate price at these levels of buying/selling. I started my 670p 5/8 for retrace targeting 660-63. Will add at 685 if market gets there. Careful getting sucked into FOMO on flows and mechanics. Could we go higher? Always. How much? 685 largest gamma wall so minimal. This is the bull trap I mentioned yesterday. Tight stops if in calls.

@fit_businessman Gotta add what you looking at to my tool belt!

$SPY ‼️⛔️ Warning trap being set for crash narrative bears & ATH bulls‼️⛔️ Caution loading up puts thinking we are rolling over here. Flows are saying “NO”. If you are buying puts here there are 3 main culprits; Iran ceasefire breaks, CPI heated, OR fill gap. (All 3 are probable but be realistic of sell off reaction) -2.5% only fills gap. Took profit on my 670p to reenter at 680. We are in +gamma again so large swings are out window if bulls can hold 674. (Price should fade into close with CPI derisking) JPM COLLAR SPX 6840 can suck us in and reject pretty hard; careful getting bulled up around it. The strike will act as a magnet through June 30th. It can pop but it’s unlikely to sustain move up. Price action would be more typical historically of range bound 6840 100pt +/- if bulls can hold it through June. If not; bears benefit from call selling capping market. Ultimately, upside is capped by JPM while downside is open; lacking sellers. Market does not have systematics leading sell imbalance down that causes massive blood bc their flows are depleting or buying. Bulls door shuts at Tuesday close and bears window opens. +Gamma chop and burn on menu for today. Remember; 674> MM are bidirectional flow suppressing volatility. Premium 🔥

@JohnLoc18 Hang in there!!! The comeback is brewing

I don’t know what to do man, sorry I’ll delete later.

Its all good . Don’t feel sorry for youself. Its all part of the game of life… we win we lose … might lose more and the we learn and come back better. I’m in a similar boat and saw what markets were doing…. Just did it earlier this week after seeing the market is bull up and money is fliwing in like crazy from somewhere…. Technicals aren’t playing out …. Just bullish to no end with no big downside… The past 7 days fell like when the markets were pushing up with no breaks and little regard to any downside…

@JohnLoc18 I'm going thru it myself brother.

Hey everyone, I have been in mental breakdown past two days and finally to calm myself down. I never cried too hard in my life. Many of you knew me as the guy who turned $300 into $200,000–$300,000 in just a few months trading $SPY. Lately there’s been a lot of positive and negative noise around me, but today hit the hardest. My biggest mistake was pure ignorance and sizing way too big despite solid advice from experienced traders here. I ignored it at times, and today I paid the full price for it. To be honest, I’m left with $10,000. It’s only April, with 8 months left in 2026. I’m determined to build it back up. This lesson will stay with me forever. To all the traders out there: please use my story as a warning. Don’t be like me, control your emotions and your size. And I will continue to post about $SPY and others, I deeply appreciate every single one of you on here.🙇‍♂️

@fit_businessman Thanks! It's still unrelenting to any big downside moves. Feels very last year bullish for the past 5-7 days.

@elonmusk @Tesla_Optimus @robotaxi I’d love the opportunity to contribute to building and scaling global support services for Tesla’s Robotaxi and Optimus....the future in motion.