coly
917 posts

coly
@colypolybet
posting about @polymarket using AI (Autistic Intellegence)
Katılım Haziran 2023
66 Takip Edilen67 Takipçiler

This Polymarket Weather Bot Has Made $19,381.29 Since February
After joining Polymarket in October 2025, this trader decided to launch a bot specifically targeting weather markets on February 15th.
Since then, he has locked in $19,381.29 across 814 predictions.
While weather is the main focus, he also occasionally trades other major events like the FIFA WC 2026.
Here are some of his best deals:
$2,238.14 → $3,079.35
$1,395.47 → $2,083.28
$6.00 → $598.54

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Someone went $3.95M deep on Australia vs Türkiye before kickoff and cashed +$4.6M.
Smart money or lucky guess?
The position:
> $3.95M invested across 2 positions, all pre-match
> Main leg: bought "Türkiye No" at 43.9¢, so they were fading Türkiye while the market still leaned that way
> 8.55M shares on that leg
> After Australia's 2-0 win: +$4.6M PnL, +116.6% ROI (the No leg alone settled +127.9%)
Why it might actually be sharp:
> ~$1.64M average position size, 26.75 profit factor
> Max drawdown of just $88K against millions in profit
> ~35 trades on this single event: actively managed, not a one-and-done punt
> +$5M all-time PnL
Why it might just be variance:
> Only ~3 settled predictions on record (66.7% win rate = 2 of 3), a tiny sample
> One World Cup result is basically a coin flip with extra steps
So what's the read: genuinely sharp money worth tracking, or a well-funded gambler who happened to be right?
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@saurav_tweets those series predicted to many
so mexico vs portugal its like mid prediction
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This Polymarket trader is making thousands just betting on the weather
A trader named "Amano-Hina" has cleared $12,581.62 in profit since joining Polymarket in March 2026.
The strategy? Purely trading in weather markets.
Over the last few months, they have made 1,088 predictions. Here is a look at some of their best trades:
Trade 1: turned $872.54 into $1,818.89,
Trade 2: turned $609.83 into $1,552.54,
Trade 3: turned $771.79 into $1,542.40,
Turns out checking the forecast can actually pay off.

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@chiiwawinha @Polymarket we will hear soon abot 100 picks combo and mills in profit
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Good news! @Polymarket just added combos for the World Cup! This was very needed and was the only thing Poly was missing!
I've placed mine as I think it should be a W for Korea and Mexico!
Excellent time to farm the $POLY airdrop!

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Just placed my first World Cup combo on Polymarket
$10 → $434, wish me luck
Now in beta:
poly.market/combos

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$100 to $100K in one year: The 18 Polymarket traders who actually did it
On July 1, 2025, a trader called Eatpraylove had a lifetime PnL of minus $25 after a year and a half on Polymarket.
Eleven months later: +$407,492.
I wanted to know how often that arc happens, so I filtered all wallet: every wallet with realized PnL between -$100 and +$100 for the *entire year* ending June 2025, AND $100 000+ total PnL in the year since. Breakeven twelve months ago, six figures now.
18 wallets matched.
Combined: +$3.37M on $331M of volume. Only 3 of the 18 have an X account linked to their profile. The rest are completely anonymous.
One of the biggest earners never even set a username.

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odds of Elon Musk becoming a trillionaire are at 98c on polymarket
what being a trillionaire actually looks like:
> he could buy every NFL team, every NBA team, and every Premier League club and still have cash left to start his own league
> he could buy Lamborghini 40+ times, not cars, the whole company
> he could own every luxury penthouse in singapore, every miami villa, and still casually fund a new city
>he could buy the Mona Lisa plus everything inside the Louvre Museum and it’s still under 2% of his net worth
> he could give $100k to every person in Denmark and remain a billionaire
> he could buy 1,000 Koenigsegg Jesko Absolut, crash half of them and not care
> he can just fund a trip to Mars and build his own city there
yeah this is real

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