Cole
2.2K posts


#NBA: Cavaliers @ Grizzlies
Cavaliers -13.5 @ -115 | 1 unit
Cleveland is at 119.3 points per game with a 119.1 offensive rating on the season. Over the last 10, that offensive rating is up to 122.7.
Memphis gives up 119.7 per game for the year. Over the last 10, the defensive rating has blown out to 127.8.
The last three Grizzlies home losses came with 131, 130, and 128 allowed. That's not one bad night. That's the same leak over and over.
The Cavs have still gone 10-5 and scored 125.1 per game in games without Evan Mobley this season. That matters when the injury report scares people off.
Cleveland takes 40.1 threes a game. Memphis just doesn't have enough clean possessions or enough stops to hang inside two touchdowns.

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🚨 𝗡𝗕𝗔 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗬 🏀
Rui Hachimura over 7.5 points
$50 to someone who 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘𝗦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing 🔥
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysis⬇️
Rui gets a nice matchup vs the Thunder tonight in a high leverage game for the Lakers. This is a big test for LA who has been playing well in the past month. With Marcus Smart still out and this being a big game, I expect a veteran like Hachimura to play solid minutes.
He has seen volatile minutes recently based on some guys being in/out of the lineup on top of blowouts. We just saw Rui get 19 mins last game, but this was a comfortable win and the 2nd game of the back to back where they have been cautious with Rui.
In the front end of B2B vs WSH, Hachimura got 26 minutes even in a blowout win. Both of these games were without Smart, I think mid 20's minutes should be a reasonable floor here.
I also love the upside of playing time considering the likelihood of this game going more towards small ball lineups. OKC is at their best with Chet at center, and Ayton has gotten played off the court at times this season.
I think it's reasonable for the Lakers to go with LeBron and Rui at small ball PF/C down the stretch since the Thunder often don't close games with Hartenstein. Both teams also want to be more switchable when the opponent has a superstar scorer rather than have a center get stuck on an island. To avoid that, it makes sense to go more small ball.
Regardless of that, this is also just a great matchup for Rui. OKC allows the 3rd most pts on 3rd highest frequency vs spot up, this is great as Hachimura gets 45% of his pts on spot ups. Thinder also give up 3rd most catch & shoot made FG's (49% of Rui's pts) and 3rd highest frequency of C&S 3's on 4th highest%.
OKC allows most made & attempted corner 3's, Hachimura has the highest catch & shoot 3-PT frequency of active LAL players and takes the most corner 3's on the team.
Already has scored 11, 13, and 12 pts vs OKC since Luka joined the Lakers. In the one game with Luka, Reaves and LeBron in vs Thunder, Hachimura had 11 pts on 10 FGA in 32 mins even in a blowout.
This line is too low in this spot and Rui has shown excellent efficiency in games with Luka, Reaves and LeBron due to the gravity they have. It opens up plenty of great looks for him.
Widely available on DFS sites and Sportsbooks, best line currently -118 on FD.
#NBA #Gambling𝕏

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