CryptoGrim

Deciding Factor $USDT.D Main reason I am cautious of a pull back from current levels is that we broke down from the 7.310% neckline and reclaimed it. This is a breakdown that failed to sustain itself, so it can be free to revisit opposite red. Structure wise we are sitting at the bottom of the potential right shoulder of this inverse H&S that can send it back up to a lower high before the major breakdown of USDT.D. If we lose low red before testing orange, then upside is more in the short-term. For now the risk of us performing a lower high against USDT pairs is too high to commit for the breakout. I've added a green right above price, if that is made continuous support, retrace incoming - continuous resistance, more up.

Failed Cycle on multi year timeframe suggests $CRV has almost no chance of finding a low until late this year Also, if you use closes only (line chart) you can see this was one of the most heavily left translated and failed altcoins of all this cycle (chart 2) People argued against my no broad based alt season call all cycle, but the market validated it the moment the multi year cycles failed.

$CRV .2078 is the risk sweep target, and this chart shows how much of a sweep that can look like. If purple is ever made continuous 4hr resistance, lower. Chart has all the information.

$CVX Doing some fine tuning. Alts are losing continuous ground against BTC, so the BTC retrace could be a little more damaging from here. If 1.657 is breached, 1.618 is where I would look. Just preparing for risk here is all.

$HBAR You are at the risk target area. You want to see 4HRs show intention to hold/reclaim orange if it is swept. Afterwards, .09072 needs to be beat with a move above .09425 Risk for orange being continuous 4HR resistance is a sweep of .07216.

$XRP I have added a green here. If you get a move back up from there to red range, orange as 4HR resistance can still send you back for the sweep of 1.2910. You aren't out of the woods until red range sustains a breakout. Seeing a third hit under 1.2910 with intention to recover green at 1.3142 lessens risk. Watch for the 1.25 level if things get sideways. I don't have anything showing that level as a target, but I'm not going to ignore the possibility of a wick.

$BTC 🚨Alt Coin Risk Scenario Update (I saved this in case this sweep of 72665 happened) - Putting this out early BTC is at 71.9k, if it recovers 72655 on the 4hr without breaking down from 71194 and beats 74600, this plays. BTCD and total3esbtc are becoming increasingly unfavorable. If this trend continues, and BTC does this ⬇️, thats great for BTC but will slam our alts down to their risk targets. For BTC, use that 78729 level as 4HR resistance validation for this play. 📣On the BTC retrace, 69k is what structure needs for a valid retrace; however, daily wicks can break into red range or even lower to 67k CRV needs to get above .2358, CVX well above 1.87, XRP 1.42, and HBAR .09425. If you don't see the commitment to get past those levels and hold on the 4HR, add more salt that the Risk Scenario plays. Environments like this with a failing total3esbtc and strengthening BTCD disguise the reality of how low alts can go on a BTC retrace. Observations Liquidity is set up in a way this move is logical HBAR wicked its green @ .08668 on the dot(so far). That’s a red flag that MM is saving liquidity under for later. Stay Grim🤟

A cute little story

TOTAL3 lied about altseason and faked everyone out. TOTAL3ES did not. TOTAL3ES (alts, excluding stablecoins) is the superior chart to TOTAL3 (alts, including stablecoins). If you had been following TOTAL3ES for your altseason call, you wouldn't have been misled. Share this with anyone still using the TOTAL3 chart. It's garbage. 🗑️

$BTC 🚨Alt Coin Risk Scenario Update (I saved this in case this sweep of 72665 happened) - Putting this out early BTC is at 71.9k, if it recovers 72655 on the 4hr without breaking down from 71194 and beats 74600, this plays. BTCD and total3esbtc are becoming increasingly unfavorable. If this trend continues, and BTC does this ⬇️, thats great for BTC but will slam our alts down to their risk targets. For BTC, use that 78729 level as 4HR resistance validation for this play. 📣On the BTC retrace, 69k is what structure needs for a valid retrace; however, daily wicks can break into red range or even lower to 67k CRV needs to get above .2358, CVX well above 1.87, XRP 1.42, and HBAR .09425. If you don't see the commitment to get past those levels and hold on the 4HR, add more salt that the Risk Scenario plays. Environments like this with a failing total3esbtc and strengthening BTCD disguise the reality of how low alts can go on a BTC retrace. Observations Liquidity is set up in a way this move is logical HBAR wicked its green @ .08668 on the dot(so far). That’s a red flag that MM is saving liquidity under for later. Stay Grim🤟

💀Bitcoin. 🎙️Dubious Accumulation? Things to consider when looking at this chart: 🐻The "bear markets" since 2021 have been bull market corrections, not a true "bear." 📈BTCD is showing the possibility of high time frame weakness meaning alts can outperform BTC during this move. We may not get the typical "alt season timing," but an "everything season" with alts really shining towards the top of the move. ⏰This can play out quicker than what is depicted on the chart. If we want $CRV and all of our other *bleep* coins back up in the sky again, this chart would do it especially with total3esbtc's current structure and $BTCD's weakness. I wanted to wait and see if BTC closes above 78729 on February 22nd to add some salt to this chart, but here it is. In general, with the possibility for exceptions, for the "esbtc" coins, this move can test 2021's highs. Expansion? Not betting on it. $BTC