cryptonipz
3.2K posts

cryptonipz
@cryptonips2
Indicators/ML, bit of trading here and there
Katılım Haziran 2021
3.6K Takip Edilen589 Takipçiler

@FinanceLancelot If you work backwards and look at the visits deals and pipelines during 2025 this event looks more like a handover process than anything else
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Global energy supply is now down an astounding 60% in the last 60 days!
We've never seen anything like this before.
I don't think people fully grasp the tsunami on its way. We're talking lockdowns, travel restrictions and grounded flights.
Not only that, the fertilizer situation is even worse! Expect food shortages in 3-4 months, Arab Spring 2.0 food riots globally, and introduction of a CBDC for food rationing.

Financelot@FinanceLancelot
Tasnim News Agency reports that Iran plans to strike the following targets, taking a total of 32% of global oil supply offline: The Yanbu pipeline in Saudi Arabia, used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz The Fujairah facility in the UAE, which is used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz Complete closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by the Houthis
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@WrongVery1968 @Tom__Capital AI + the original post, energy crisis, aggressive central bank tightening, and a cost-of-living squeeze
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@cryptonips2 @Tom__Capital Ok, I’m not convinced that: cause gov ai people lose jobs.
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$AUDUSD
I’ve been a broken record on this, but the math is getting ugly.
Australia is facing a triple threat: an energy crisis, aggressive central bank tightening, and a cost-of-living squeeze.
The RBA’s move to 4.10% this week is an immediate handbrake on consumers. Between soaring fuel prices (fuelled by Middle East instability) and mortgage repayments jumping hundreds of dollars a month, the "tightening effect" isn't a future risk it’s hitting now and will smash consumption.
I expect one more hike to take the cash rate back to previous cycle highs after the next CPI, and after that the rate market is likely to start pricing in rate cuts in H2, you wait and see
AUD remains the ultimate "risk-off" proxy and as global growth is revised lower and Asia feels the economic weakness, I expect the AUD to lose the current gains and head back to its 2025 lows in H2
Tom Capital@Tom__Capital
$AUDUSD $ASX Hot take (that shouldn't be): Australia is dead last in the race for energy stability. Given our current supply chain mess and zero energy security, we’re a sitting duck for the global disruption. We’re rich in resources but poor in positioning. Prove me wrong."
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@WrongVery1968 @Tom__Capital They will aim for attrition merely because its politically convenient. PBO was pretty clear that the rate through attrition alone isnt enough
If you are waiting for sample sizes, you are always going to be reacting to a crisis rather than positioning ahead of it
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@cryptonips2 @Tom__Capital It won’t shed government jobs, they’ll aim to shrink the workforce through attrition. Plus, it’s to early to make a judgment on job loss from ai, not big enough sample size yet
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@antmillionsbot It means people are waiting for the physical settlement failure to play out for it to click
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@synternet_com x.com/cryptonips2/st…
He didn't take long to delete his account
cryptonipz@cryptonips2
$synt What a way to exit. Not surprised
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