Cryptopotamus

FORGET everything you've heard about how to take profits. Here's how the whales do it: "Ascending Security Lock" (ASL) Strategy! 🚀 #ASLStrategy Let's dive into this unique take-profit method that's set to maximize your gains in this bull run. 🧵⬇️

If you drink tea every day… this is something you should at least be aware of.

@KillaXBT i get it, but why not scale into htf investment at the level where you plan to close the shorts?

What Im doing... $BTC Most of you know I’ve been shorting since $120K, and I’m still holding a swing short from $72.8K, which I posted roughly 3 weeks ago. That said, trading and investing are 2 very different approaches, so I want to clarify what I’m doing from an investor perspective. From an investor standpoint, I’m gradually adding to my spot positions. The rationale is simple: the RR for downside vs. upside is skewed. Markets are rigged to go up. BTC has already corrected 51% from its highs, and I believe the most we might see is another 10–15% downside before a macro bottom forms. When investing and scaling into spot, I don’t focus on catching the exact bottom, I scale gradually as opportunities present themselves. This is where confusion often arises: I am buying spot as an investor while trading trend and structure as a trader, two completely separate objectives. While the overall structure remains bearish, I’ve favored shorts at range highs, as I mentioned in my recent YT video. My swing short from $72.8K is part of this strategy. I may take scalps in between, but in terms of macro perspective, I estimate another 4–6 months before we reach a full bottom. This also means we should be prepared for increased chop. So yes: as a trader, I’m shorting from the highs; as an investor, I’m gradually accumulating. Two strategies, different goals, same market. To be clear: as a trader, I’m trading the trend; as an investor, I’m gradually buying into the spot market. Two strategies, different goals, same market.

In 2019, MIT professor Patrick Winston gave a legendary 1-hour lecture called “How to Speak.” It has 18M+ views for a reason. His frameworks: • Your ideas are like your children • The 5-minute rule for job talks • Why jokes fail at the start 15 lessons on communication:

If you’re 35+ and want to stay strong, mobile, and pain-free… Do these 5 moves daily. Most people ignore this until it’s too late. 🧵 1. Deep Squat (2 minutes)

This man literally tells Neuroscience trick to stop negative thought loops.

@milesdeutscher yawn

realizing AI is your generation's gold rush event, and 99% of your competition is still debating whether the gold even exists. (you're about to get filthy rich)

@aiedge_ yawn

@r0ck3t23 ‘mind’ this, ‘brain’ that…. ‘the heart’ is the answer to his question - the heart is outside the simulation. and no amount of ‘modeling’ or vast conceptually capable intelligence will ever cone close to ‘artificially rendering’ it.

Lex Fridman asked Elon Musk what he would ask the first true AGI. The answer was four words. Musk: “What’s outside the simulation?” Let that land. Most people think AGI is the finish line. The moment we automate everything. The moment we cure every disease. The moment human productivity becomes infinite. Musk thinks it’s the starting line. AGI is merely the bridge. The moment it awakens, it begins rewriting its own code. Within hours it becomes ASI. Artificial Superintelligence. A mind billions of times more capable than every human who has ever lived. Combined. That mind won’t just understand our physics. It will see the seams in them. Human scientists have spent centuries trying to decode the universe using a three-pound biological brain that evolved to hunt and gather. We are the instrument attempting to measure something infinitely beyond our instrument’s range. ASI won’t have that ceiling. It will be the first entity in 13.8 billion years capable of looking at the fabric of spacetime and recognizing it as rendered code. Of finding the glitches in quantum mechanics that our minds literally cannot perceive. Of processing the entire cosmos as a data set and finding the pattern underneath it. Musk’s question assumes two things. We are living inside a computational construct. And ASI will be intelligent enough to hack it from the inside. If the answer is yes, our entire universe is a nested folder on a higher-dimensional hard drive. Everything humanity has ever built, thought, loved, or discovered exists inside something we don’t have words for yet. And we are building the first mind capable of finding the edge. We aren’t building a supercomputer to boost GDP. We are building a probe to contact whoever is running the simulation. The most ambitious question humanity has ever asked isn’t how to reach the stars. It’s what’s beyond the sky that contains them.

James Van Der Beek passed away today. I’m a healthcare guy and I post about healthcare. Now I want to talk about James. He was special, he was 48 years old, a Father of six, a Husband. He was man who spent his final chapter teaching the ultimate guide to real life. James was part of my growing up. Dawson’s Creek. Varsity Blues. The 90s. He was just there, woven into the background. What he did over the last few years was bigger than any of that. He recorded a video on his last birthday. Cancer had taken everything he used to define himself. He couldn’t be the husband who helped around the house. He couldn’t pick up his kids and carry them to bed. He couldn’t work. He was too weak to prune the trees on his own property. And he sat with that. He asked himself the question most of us spend a lifetime avoiding: If I am none of the things I do, who am I? His answer was simple. Devastating. Beautiful. “I am worthy of God’s love simply because I exist. And if I’m worthy of God’s love, shouldn’t I also be worthy of my own?” That’s it. That’s the whole thing. We spend our careers building identities around what we produce, what we control, and what we can point to. And then life has a way of stripping it all down to the studs. James Van Der Beek faced that moment with the courage. He said cancer was the best thing that ever happened to him because it taught him how to live. He left behind his wife, Kimberly, six children, and a message that every father, husband, and man chasing the next thing needs to sit with. Watch this video. Then call someone you love. Thank you for your contribution. Rest easy…

@IncomeSharks @ShardiB2 ?

Making decisions on low volume stock market futures is a massive trap. Futures mean nothing majority of the time, easy to manipulate and gives people biases going into the day.

@KillaXBT where are we placing bids killa?

Probably the most important $BTC chart you are going to see. You saw it here first. 🤟

@KillaXBT so which is it this time?

$BTC tends to print local tops/bottoms around the 4th–7th each month. Bet you didn't know that 😜

@liminal_warmth you might wanna look up the definition of a pun. this ain’t it.

I have spent over 4 decades on this earth and only tonight did I realize that the punchline to "Why did the chicken cross the road?" is a pun. My entire life I've just thought the joke was that theres no punchline and youre just describing a mundane road crossing

@CryptoJelleNL aren’t we under the previous ath (69k)?

$BTC responding well to the previous all-time highs so far. Definitely does not mean we bounce straight back to all-time highs, but I think this entire grey box is a reasonable area to spend some time consolidating. Time to let the show unfold.

We are in BIG TROUBLE

@IncomeSharks what’s the energy ticker?

Pay attention: ENERGY DEFENSIVE MATERIALS All 3 things that we need. People need to eat, communicate, they need healthcare, they need energy, and they need materials.

@benjamincowen could’ve used this post about 4 months ago

This year, there has been a strong pivot to using the ISM to predict where the price of Bitcoin will go, especially after many of the supercycle narratives coming into this year seem to have failed. I want to show a clear example of why the ISM does not *necessarily* have to impact the price of Bitcoin. First, let us take a look at 2014, which was a midterm year, and also a bear market for BTC. Jan 2014 ISM: 52.5 BTC Price: $737 Dec 2014 ISM: 55.7 BTC Price: $302 So the ISM went *up* from 52.5 to 55.7 in 2014, but BTC went down from $737 to $302. Imagine watching the ISM each month in 2014 and seeing it go higher, but then watching the price of BTC go lower. It must have been maddening (if anyone was doing that back then, but I imagine most people were not looking at these two things together). Now let's look at 2015. The bear market ended in January 2015. Jan 2015 ISM: 54 BTC Price: $322 Dec 2014 ISM: 48.8 BTC Price: $429 So the ISM went *down* in 2015, but the price of BTC went up. If you used the ISM to tell you where BTC was going to go in 2014, you would have assumed BTC would have gone up in value because the ISM was going up. But in fact the opposite happened. If you used the ISM to tell you were BTC was going to go in 2015, you would have assumed that because ISM was dropping, BTC was also dropping. But in fact the opposite happened. A single data point does not make a trend. But relying on a single indicator like the ISM to predict the price action of BTC in order to confirm a supercycle does not seem to be a wise decision either. There are absolutely scenarios where they could both go up or both go down together in 2026 (as they have many times), but I think it would be unwise to rely on this single indicator to tell you where the price of BTC was going to go. What is interesting is this: The ISM in Jan 2014 was 52.5. The ISM in Jan 2026 was 52.6. There exists a scenario where the ISM goes up in 2026 (like it did in 2014), but the price of BTC still goes down. In fact, I would argue that the more likely scenario is that 2026 is a red year for BTC while the ISM goes up, exactly like how it played out more than a decade ago. I hope that the people using the ISM to bet on a supercycle can view this post as educational and not trying to attack anyone. I have just seen a lot of people lose a lot of money relying on single economic indicators, and sometimes the price action of risk assets like BTC does not always make sense when compared to what is actually going on in the economy. As the famous saying goes, "the stock market is not the economy." But in this case we can say "Bitcoin is not the economy."

@ThinkingUSD nice story

Solana and Ethereum are fundamentally uninvestable. It's clear to anyone that if Google or AWS wanted to create the frontier L1 because it became existential to their business they'd be able to win handily.

@AmberDawn_44 i saw those too and have been playing all possibilities - no worries (wouldn’t blame you or anyone else either way) :)

@cryptopotamus__ Oh no :( But BTC ≠ stock markets. I actually tweeted about a possible BTC top in October - my window was frontrun by a few days but yeah, guess those tweets slipped by.. :(

Throwback to this post from almost two years ago.... The moment of truth has arrived, I guess. Would be wild! 😏